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  The Official Obama Approval Ratings Thread
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Author Topic: The Official Obama Approval Ratings Thread  (Read 1022906 times)
fezzyfestoon
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« Reply #2050 on: August 24, 2009, 10:18:32 pm »

I worry for the future of today's youth if Huckabee is that popular.
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change08
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« Reply #2051 on: August 25, 2009, 06:24:39 am »


He's folksy and his best friend's Chuck Norris... of course Republican young'uns like him.
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Rowan
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« Reply #2052 on: August 25, 2009, 06:25:40 am »


He's folksy and his best friend's Chuck Norris... of course Republican young'uns like him.

Those aren't just Republican 18-29 year olds, it's all of them...
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Vepres
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« Reply #2053 on: August 25, 2009, 08:04:51 am »

Gingrich is surprisingly strong with the youth. No doubt his intellectualism attracted some independents. I suspect that he would win more if he was the party's nominee because of the higher profile.
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War on Want
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« Reply #2054 on: August 25, 2009, 09:10:41 am »

Gingrich is surprisingly strong with the youth. No doubt his intellectualism attracted some independents. I suspect that he would win more if he was the party's nominee because of the higher profile.
Having a net disapproval is not surprisingly strong.
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Fmr. Pres. Duke
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« Reply #2055 on: August 25, 2009, 10:38:11 am »

The youth seem to be drawn to the hopeful message both Obama and Huckabee espouse. To tell you the truth, if I didn't know Huckabee was batsh*t crazy, I'd probably be a supporter of his. I have a favorable view of the man, his politics are just too, well, out there for me.
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DariusNJ
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« Reply #2056 on: August 25, 2009, 11:58:43 am »

The youth seem to be drawn to the hopeful message both Obama and Huckabee espouse. To tell you the truth, if I didn't know Huckabee was batsh*t crazy, I'd probably be a supporter of his. I have a favorable view of the man, his politics are just too, well, out there for me.

I think much of his 40% among 18-29 year olds is because of his likable personality. If he is the Republican candidate in a general election vs Obama, and young people see how nutty his views are, I am certain Obama will get a similar margin among young voters as he did in the 08 election vs McCain.
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Phony Moderate
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« Reply #2057 on: August 25, 2009, 12:32:29 pm »

Gallup:

Approve - 51%
Disapprove - 42%
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Guderian
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« Reply #2058 on: August 25, 2009, 04:07:40 pm »

I remember being shocked when Huckabee got a huge standing ovation from undergraduates at Brown University (probably the most liberal Ivy League school) after giving a speech there. It's not really all that suprising when you think about it, he comes across very friendly and authentic and two things 18-29s really dislike in politicans is mean-spiritedness and hypocrisy, which explains why they shunned Hillary and McCain for Obama and are not very supportive of Romney, Gingrich or Palin.
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Rowan
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« Reply #2059 on: August 25, 2009, 04:45:09 pm »

Arkansas(PPP)

Approve 40%
Disapprove 56%

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_AR_825.pdf
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pbrower2a
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« Reply #2060 on: August 25, 2009, 04:49:41 pm »

Arkansas:


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Fmr. Pres. Duke
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« Reply #2061 on: August 25, 2009, 04:56:29 pm »

Huckabee could be dangerous, which scares me. His message is a good one, and if he can keep his theocracy cravings to himself until election day, he could give Obama a run for his money. As I said, I would vote for him if I was unaware of his politics.
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #2062 on: August 25, 2009, 05:13:30 pm »


That's not actually as bad as I would have expected it to be at the moment.
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War on Want
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« Reply #2063 on: August 25, 2009, 05:15:18 pm »

I don't see how it could be much worse. That is about the amount of people that voted for Obama, it makes sense.
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Nhoj
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« Reply #2064 on: August 25, 2009, 05:17:55 pm »

I don't see how it could be much worse. That is about the amount of people that voted for Obama, it makes sense.
Its actually a few points better, but probably within the margin of error.
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Rowan
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« Reply #2065 on: August 25, 2009, 05:18:22 pm »

I don't see how it could be much worse. That is about the amount of people that voted for Obama, it makes sense.

PPP had a good article on their blog explaining that Obama has higher approval than his vote percentage in states with large black populations, compared to states with low black populations(CO to name one).
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Rowan
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« Reply #2066 on: August 26, 2009, 06:22:41 am »

NYC(Quinnipiac)

Approve 76%
Disapprove 19%

http://www.quinnipiac.edu/x1302.xml?ReleaseID=1368
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change08
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« Reply #2067 on: August 26, 2009, 09:19:10 am »

Clarus research

Nationwide
Approve - 49
Disapprove 39

http://www.clarusrg.com/press_releases/2009/Obam-Aug09-Clarus-poll-aug24%20ppt.pdf
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pbrower2a
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« Reply #2068 on: August 26, 2009, 11:20:50 am »


Against opponents most likely to run against him (page 12 of the 13-page PDF in the report):


Obama      47
Romney     38


Obama      48
Huckabee  38

Obama      52
Gingrich     34

Obama      53
Palin          34

Split the difference that falls short of 100% as the sum of support 3/2 R/D (a cautious division), and assume that the remainder would go for third-party candidates, and you get:

Obama     53
Romney    47

Obama     52
Huckabee 46

Which are about what Obama did in 2008 anyway. Huckabee and Romney have different patterns of nationwide support, resulting in different maps of electoral success or failure.

Palin and Gingrich are apparent jokes:

Obama    56
Gingrich   42

Obama     57
Palin        42

which would be a victory on roughly the scale of Eisenhower in 1956 for Obama against either.

The health care mess has been sapping support for Obama without creating support for Senate and Congressional Republicans. If Obama is seen as ineffective in getting health care reform, his Republican opponents get fault, too, for failure to do what is usually expected of the "loyal opposition" -- not so much to roll over and play dead, but instead to smooth the edges of the big programs that the majority promotes.

The Republicans don't have control of any economic issue other than taxes, and they will be in huge trouble if they try to defend the "enhanced interrogation techniques" that seem to have been approved very high in the prior administration.

People may have their doubts about Obama, but they are developing little confidence in the GOP. Core support of the GOP will be insufficient for keeping the number of House and Senates that it now has, let alone ousting Obama in 2012.




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Phony Moderate
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« Reply #2069 on: August 26, 2009, 12:49:49 pm »

Gallup:

Approve - 51%
Disapprove - 44%
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #2070 on: August 26, 2009, 01:15:05 pm »

Georgia (Strategic Vision)Sad

37% Approve
56% Disapprove

The results are based on telephone interviews with 800 likely voters in Georgia, aged 18+, and conducted August 21-23, 2009 by telephone. The margin of sampling error is 3 percentage points.

http://www.strategicvision.biz/political/georgia_poll_082609.htm

To East Coast Republican: Look, Im posting a biased poll in favor of Obama ... ! Tongue
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Ronnie
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« Reply #2071 on: August 26, 2009, 01:15:31 pm »

I think this is the lowest Gallup has ever had it.
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #2072 on: August 26, 2009, 01:36:23 pm »

US - Public Opinion Strategies (R)

54% Approve
43% Disapprove

August 11-13 poll of 800 registered voters (MoE +/- 3.5%)

http://pos.org/inthenews/heathcare_interviewschedule.pdf

Florida - Public Opinion Strategies (R)

45% Approve
50% Disapprove

August 4-5 poll of 600 likely Florida voters (MoE +/- 4%)

http://blogs.tampabay.com/buzz/2009/08/gop-poll-bill-mccollum-47-alex-sink-38.html
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change08
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« Reply #2073 on: August 26, 2009, 02:26:07 pm »

US - Public Opinion Strategies (R)

54% Approve
43% Disapprove


August 11-13 poll of 800 registered voters (MoE +/- 3.5%)

http://pos.org/inthenews/heathcare_interviewschedule.pdf

And from an (R) pollster?

But anyway, Pollster's high sensitivity has it at 49.7/47.4 and RCP has it at 51.8/42.2. Obama needs a good few good news cycles.
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Rowan
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« Reply #2074 on: August 26, 2009, 04:48:03 pm »

Nebraska(Research 2000)

Favorable 36%
Unfavorable 61%

http://www.dailykos.com/statepoll/2009/8/19/NE/349
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