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  The Official Obama Approval Ratings Thread
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Author Topic: The Official Obama Approval Ratings Thread  (Read 1002730 times)
DariusNJ
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« Reply #2325 on: September 06, 2009, 08:54:21 pm »

Rasmussen has Obama back at 49%.
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Sam Spade
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« Reply #2326 on: September 06, 2009, 10:21:56 pm »

Folks, it's Labor Day.  Means the polling sucks worse than normal.
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Sam Spade
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« Reply #2327 on: September 06, 2009, 10:27:55 pm »


Duke, I told you in February/March what was going on within the Republican party (or where it's headed for the time being).  I'll repeat it if I have to, but it was as obvious then as now.
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zclark1994
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« Reply #2328 on: September 07, 2009, 02:37:19 pm »

Is gallup not posting anything today, I hate Labor day so much.
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change08
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« Reply #2329 on: September 07, 2009, 02:48:41 pm »

Is gallup not posting anything today, I hate Labor day so much.

Labor day polling is horrible anyway.
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zclark1994
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« Reply #2330 on: September 07, 2009, 03:00:21 pm »

Is gallup not posting anything today, I hate Labor day so much.

Labor day polling is horrible anyway.

Yeah, it's just my first Labor Day in which I wanted to look at the polls.  Just got into politics last year.
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Small Business Owner of Any Repute
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« Reply #2331 on: September 09, 2009, 09:34:48 am »

Obama went down in today's Gallup:

Favorable: 53% (-2)
Unfavorable: 40% (+2)

Close to where Bush was 8 years ago and he didn't even propose a health care plan.

September 710, 2001: Bush 51% approve, 39% disapprove. The final Gallup poll of our pre-war era.
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Rowan
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« Reply #2332 on: September 09, 2009, 12:08:22 pm »

AP/GfK

Approve 50%
Disapprove 49%

http://www.ap-gfkpoll.com/pdf/AP-GfK_Poll_Healthcare_Politics_Topline.pdf
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Fmr. Pres. Duke
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« Reply #2333 on: September 09, 2009, 04:46:38 pm »


Duke, I told you in February/March what was going on within the Republican party (or where it's headed for the time being).  I'll repeat it if I have to, but it was as obvious then as now.

No need to repeat your little caveat. I remember what you said. No matter what happens, the Republican Party is still the lesser of the two evils when it comes to the things I care about.
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Sam Spade
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« Reply #2334 on: September 09, 2009, 05:01:14 pm »


Duke, I told you in February/March what was going on within the Republican party (or where it's headed for the time being).  I'll repeat it if I have to, but it was as obvious then as now.

No need to repeat your little caveat. I remember what you said. No matter what happens, the Republican Party is still the lesser of the two evils when it comes to the things I care about.

What do you care about?  And I mean this in a serious sense.
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Rowan
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« Reply #2335 on: September 09, 2009, 05:42:08 pm »

Massachusetts(Rasmussen)

Approve 58%
Disapprove 41%

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections2/election_2010/election_2010_senate_elections/massachusetts/toplines/toplines_massachusetts_interim_senator_september_8_2009
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change08
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« Reply #2336 on: September 09, 2009, 06:00:32 pm »


Nationwide + 8. About right probably.
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« Reply #2337 on: September 09, 2009, 06:00:42 pm »

I never thought that he would drop below 60% in Massachusetts.

[waiting for people to start complaining about the fact that it is Rasmussen]
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fezzyfestoon
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« Reply #2338 on: September 09, 2009, 06:02:42 pm »

I just went and fooled around at Pollster.com and interestingly, the most drastic change was removing Rasmussen.  The lines were much cleaner and the points were much closer together.  And his net approval jumped.  No other filters did that.
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change08
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« Reply #2339 on: September 09, 2009, 06:14:27 pm »

I never thought that he would drop below 60% in Massachusetts.

[waiting for people to start complaining about the fact that it is Rasmussen]

Rasmussen has Obama at 50 nationwide, Mass is at 58%. Mass was D+8 in November. So it's about right.
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pbrower2a
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« Reply #2340 on: September 09, 2009, 06:50:31 pm »

Nothing really new:



This time orange indicates that a state had a positive poll for Obama when it was last polled, but long ago and now unlikely to have any value.

White would be for an exact tie.
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Fmr. Pres. Duke
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« Reply #2341 on: September 09, 2009, 07:11:02 pm »

How old is NE-02? I know Obama's more popular there, but he only got 49% of the vote on election day. I doubt he still has a 50% approval there.
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Smid
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« Reply #2342 on: September 09, 2009, 07:13:11 pm »

Yeah, NE-02 should probably be orange.
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Lief 🐋
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« Reply #2343 on: September 09, 2009, 07:22:29 pm »

I just went and fooled around at Pollster.com and interestingly, the most drastic change was removing Rasmussen.  The lines were much cleaner and the points were much closer together.  And his net approval jumped.  No other filters did that.

Yes, Rasmussen is a large outlier (that and Pollster adds a new Rasmussen poll every three days, which aside from Gallup, makes it weigh much, much more).
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tmthforu94
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« Reply #2344 on: September 09, 2009, 07:31:43 pm »

Yeah, NE-02 should probably be orange.
Obama's still doing decent nationwide, and he won NE-02, so it'd be close. But once you factor in the Age Wave, Obama would comfortably win it if the election was today.
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pbrower2a
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« Reply #2345 on: September 09, 2009, 07:45:48 pm »

How old is NE-02? I know Obama's more popular there, but he only got 49% of the vote on election day. I doubt he still has a 50% approval there.

The South Carolina, South Dakota, Tennessee, and  Utah polls are from the winter of 2009. That from NE-02 is much newer, and the district votes very differently from the rest of Nebraska.

If the state is re-apportioned in a way in which Nebraska's Congressional districts are allotted latitudinally  (so that districts split Omaha) instead of longitudinally, then I would make the change.

NE-02 votes more like Missouri than like Nebraska as a whole.
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« Reply #2346 on: September 09, 2009, 09:04:56 pm »

I would say eastern CO and western/central Nebraska vote similarly.  Same goes for southern CO and New Mexico.
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Rowan
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« Reply #2347 on: September 10, 2009, 11:13:56 am »

North Carolina(PPP)

Approve 45%
Disapprove 51%

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_NC_910.pdf

North Carolina(Civitas)

Approve 44%
Disapprove 46%

http://www.nccivitas.org/files/CFP%20Obama%20Sep%2009%20CTs.pdf

New Jersey(Rasmussen)

Approve 53%
Disapprove 45%

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections2/election_2009/new_jersey/toplines/toplines_new_jersey_governor_september_9_2009

Illinois(Chicago Tribune)

Approve 59%
Disapprove 33%

http://www.chicagotribune.com/news/local/chi-090903-poll-obama,0,5074975.graphic
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« Reply #2348 on: September 10, 2009, 11:16:12 am »

Obama's Illinois approvals are almost as surprising as his Massachusetts numbers, and for the same reason.
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #2349 on: September 10, 2009, 01:17:50 pm »

Obama's Illinois approvals are almost as surprising as his Massachusetts numbers, and for the same reason.

lolwut
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