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  The Official Obama Approval Ratings Thread
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Author Topic: The Official Obama Approval Ratings Thread  (Read 1023320 times)
ConservativeIllini
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« Reply #3225 on: December 16, 2009, 09:21:50 pm »

Why is Virginia blue on the map?

Didn't PPP have a poll that was around 51% disapproval for Obama recently?

I believe that PPP is a relatively reputable polling agency...

That was back in November. Another pollster, SUSA, had a disapproval rating in the high fifties. That was the last brown shade for November/

The latest poll rules if nothing less than two weeks old is available. The latest one is from a couple days ago and it was 50-50. It's aquamarine as a tie at 50%, and not blue.


Thanks for the clarification!
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pbrower2a
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« Reply #3226 on: December 16, 2009, 09:51:50 pm »

Why is Virginia blue on the map?

Didn't PPP have a poll that was around 51% disapproval for Obama recently?

I believe that PPP is a relatively reputable polling agency...

That was back in November. Another pollster, SUSA, had a disapproval rating in the high fifties. That was the last brown shade for November.

The latest poll rules if nothing less than two weeks old is available. The latest one is from a couple days ago and it was 50-50. It's aquamarine as a tie at 50%, and not blue.

A tie at below 50% is better for Obama than a tie at 50% because it implies fewer people disapprove of him and more people are uncertain and could swing back in support of him. A 30% Green shade should not be used for a 50% tie.

It's the lightest shade of green available, a compromise between the pale shade that I have for a positive difference that I have with an approval (or favorable) rating under 50% and a white for an exact tie under 50%.

An exact 50-50  tie is rare.
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Sam Spade
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« Reply #3227 on: December 16, 2009, 11:20:39 pm »

A few more...

NBC/WSJ (1008 Adults, 12/11-12/14)
Approve 47%
Disapprove 46%

http://msnbcmedia.msn.com/i/MSNBC/Sections/NEWS/A_Politics/___Politics_Today_Stories_Teases/091215_NBC_WSJ_Poll.pdf

AP/GfK/Roper (1001 Adults, 12/10-12/14)
Approve 56%
Disapprove 42%

http://surveys.ap.org/data%5CGfK%5CAP-GfK%20Poll%20December%20Release%201%20Topline%20121509.pdf

Pew Research (1504 Adults, 12/9-12/13)
Approve 49%
Disapprove 40%

http://people-press.org/reports/pdf/572.pdf
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #3228 on: December 17, 2009, 01:45:57 am »

California (PPIC)Sad

Adults: 61% Approve, 33% Disapprove

Registered Voters: 57% Approve, 37% Disapprove

Likely Voters: 54% Approve, 40% Disapprove

PPIC Statewide Survey: Californians and Their Government, December 2009. Includes 2,004 adults, 1,565 registered voters, and 963 likely voters. Interviews took place December 1–8, 2009. Numbers in above table are for all adults. Margin of error ±2%.

http://www.ppic.org/content/pubs/other/APR_Obama1209.pdf
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Umengus
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« Reply #3229 on: December 17, 2009, 06:12:11 am »

Party id

NBC: D: 40 % R: 34 % I: 19 %

AP: D: 37 % R: 32 % I: 7 % dont know (Huh?): 24 %

Pew: D: 32 % R: 25 % I: 38 %

In the NBC poll: perception of the tea party: positive: 41 % negative: 23 %

All polls say the same: health care plan is unpopular.

The AP poll is very strange: only dem +5 in the party id but job approval at 56 %... Probably the outlier.
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ConservativeIllini
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« Reply #3230 on: December 17, 2009, 05:33:42 pm »

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections2/election_2010/election_2010_senate_elections/missouri/toplines/toplines_2010_missouri_senate_december_15_2009

New Rasmussen poll on Missouri

Obama @ 47-53, pretty good numbers for him right now IMO
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pbrower2a
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« Reply #3231 on: December 17, 2009, 07:50:23 pm »
« Edited: December 17, 2009, 07:53:46 pm by pbrower2a »

California (PPIC)Sad

Adults: 61% Approve, 33% Disapprove

Registered Voters: 57% Approve, 37% Disapprove

Likely Voters: 54% Approve, 40% Disapprove

PPIC Statewide Survey: Californians and Their Government, December 2009. Includes 2,004 adults, 1,565 registered voters, and 963 likely voters. Interviews took place December 1–8, 2009. Numbers in above table are for all adults. Margin of error ±2%.

http://www.ppic.org/content/pubs/other/APR_Obama1209.pdf





Maybe SUSA didn't do so badly in California -- if one goes with "likely voters". Otherwise it would be another dust-biter for SUSA. Missouri? I need say nothing more.


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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #3232 on: December 18, 2009, 12:49:02 am »

North Carolina (PPP)Sad

48% Approve
47% Disapprove

"For the first time since July in PPP’s polling Barack Obama’s North Carolina approval rating is back in positive territory. He has support from 77% of Democrats, 46% of independents, and 9% of Republicans. Since Obama’s numbers hit a low point of 45/51 in the state back in September he’s seen a significant increase in his support from independents (seven points) and a smaller one with Democrats (three points). His poor reviews from Republicans have remained steady."

PPP surveyed 593 North Carolina voters from December 11th to 13th. The survey’s margin of error is +/-4.0%. Other factors, such as refusal to be interviewed and weighting, may introduce additional error that is more difficult to quantify.

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_NC_1217.pdf
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Sbane
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« Reply #3233 on: December 18, 2009, 12:54:22 am »

North Carolina (PPP)Sad

48% Approve
47% Disapprove

"For the first time since July in PPP’s polling Barack Obama’s North Carolina approval rating is back in positive territory. He has support from 77% of Democrats, 46% of independents, and 9% of Republicans. Since Obama’s numbers hit a low point of 45/51 in the state back in September he’s seen a significant increase in his support from independents (seven points) and a smaller one with Democrats (three points). His poor reviews from Republicans have remained steady."

PPP surveyed 593 North Carolina voters from December 11th to 13th. The survey’s margin of error is +/-4.0%. Other factors, such as refusal to be interviewed and weighting, may introduce additional error that is more difficult to quantify.

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_NC_1217.pdf

Hmm...Obama seems to be doing better than expected along the south atlantic coast. More polls are needed of course.
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #3234 on: December 18, 2009, 01:09:17 am »

Obama slipping in Michigan (EPIC-MRA):

44% Excellent/Good
55% Fair/Poor

49% Favorable
45% Unfavorable

(Gov. Granholm)

29% Excellent/Good
70% Fair/Poor

41% Favorable
55% Unfavorable

The EPIC-MRA poll of 600 likely voters was conducted Dec. 6-9. It has a margin of sampling error of 4 percentage points.

http://www.woodtv.com/dpp/news/politics/Poll-Support-for-Obama-Granholm-slip
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #3235 on: December 18, 2009, 01:12:17 am »

Rasmussen has also polled Michigan on Wednesday:

How would you rate the job Barack Obama has been doing as President… do you strongly approve, somewhat approve, somewhat disapprove, or strongly disapprove of the job hes been doing?

48% Approve
50% Disapprove

How would you rate the job Jennifer Granholm has been doing as Governor… do you strongly approve, somewhat approve, somewhat disapprove, or strongly disapprove of the job she's been doing?

32% Approve
66% Disapprove

http://www.myfoxdetroit.com/dpp/news/Polls-on-Granholm-2010-Governor%27s-Race
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Mr.Phips
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« Reply #3236 on: December 18, 2009, 01:27:02 am »

I think Obama will lose Michigan in 2012. 
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Хahar 🤔
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« Reply #3237 on: December 18, 2009, 01:36:37 am »

I think Obama will lose Michigan in 2012. 

I think you're wrong.
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Mr.Phips
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« Reply #3238 on: December 18, 2009, 01:37:38 am »


Just look at his approval ratings there.  Its not like the economy in Michigan is suddenly going to be good again in 2012. 
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Franzl
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« Reply #3239 on: December 18, 2009, 06:12:38 am »


Me too.
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You kip if you want to...
change08
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« Reply #3240 on: December 18, 2009, 09:58:19 am »

I think Obama will lose Michigan in 2012. 

If he loses Michigan, then it's a pretty easy win for the Republican whoever it is.
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Biden If Buttigieg
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« Reply #3241 on: December 18, 2009, 11:09:09 am »

I think Obama will lose Michigan in 2012. 

If he loses Michigan, then it's a pretty easy win for the Republican whoever it is.

We all know who it is.
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Psychic Octopus
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« Reply #3242 on: December 18, 2009, 11:12:20 am »

I think Obama will lose Michigan in 2012. 

If he loses Michigan, then it's a pretty easy win for the Republican whoever it is.

We all know who it is.

Hmm...? Mitt?
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Biden If Buttigieg
ShadowOfTheWave
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« Reply #3243 on: December 18, 2009, 11:15:26 am »

I think Obama will lose Michigan in 2012. 

If he loses Michigan, then it's a pretty easy win for the Republican whoever it is.

We all know who it is.

Hmm...? Mitt?

Of course.
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ConservativeIllini
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« Reply #3244 on: December 18, 2009, 11:46:53 am »

New Quinnipiac poll from PA has Obama Job Approval at 49-45 there. 

http://www.quinnipiac.edu/x1327.xml?ReleaseID=1407
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Umengus
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« Reply #3245 on: December 18, 2009, 12:28:04 pm »


it matchs with a national approval at 48 % (PA was D +1,5 % in 2008, compared to the national result of Obama)
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pbrower2a
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« Reply #3246 on: December 18, 2009, 02:33:31 pm »
« Edited: December 18, 2009, 02:35:12 pm by pbrower2a »

Three electorally-large states appear this time (MI, NC, PA)

North Carolina (PPP)Sad

48% Approve
47% Disapprove

Obama slipping in Michigan (EPIC-MRA):

44% Excellent/Good
55% Fair/Poor

49% Favorable
45% Unfavorable


http://www.woodtv.com/dpp/news/politics/Poll-Support-for-Obama-Granholm-slip

Rasmussen has also polled Michigan on Wednesday:

How would you rate the job Barack Obama has been doing as President… do you strongly approve, somewhat approve, somewhat disapprove, or strongly disapprove of the job hes been doing?

48% Approve
50% Disapprove



http://www.myfoxdetroit.com/dpp/news/Polls-on-Granholm-2010-Governor%27s-Race






"Michigrim" has an economy in transition -- to a Third World economy, that is, and few people like that. For the first time in nearly a century Michigan's #1 industry could soon be agriculture, a non-growth activity. Michigan's rating is an average of approvals.  The Governor's approval ratings are putrid.

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ConservativeIllini
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« Reply #3247 on: December 18, 2009, 04:46:49 pm »

Did anyone notice the crosstabs in that PPP poll on North Carolina? 
47% D, 34% R is questionable, but the poll favors the president, so let it be. 
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ajc0918
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« Reply #3248 on: December 18, 2009, 04:52:06 pm »

Did anyone notice the crosstabs in that PPP poll on North Carolina? 
47% D, 34% R is questionable, but the poll favors the president, so let it be. 

Wow, almost half democrats and favorability is only 1 point ahead... not good for Barack.
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Biden If Buttigieg
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« Reply #3249 on: December 18, 2009, 05:05:30 pm »

Did anyone notice the crosstabs in that PPP poll on North Carolina?  
47% D, 34% R is questionable, but the poll favors the president, so let it be.  

Ignore him and his absurd map.
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