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Author Topic: The Official Obama Approval Ratings Thread  (Read 1002159 times)
RIP Robert H Bork
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« Reply #4100 on: March 10, 2010, 01:35:57 pm »

Massachusetts (Rasmussen)Sad

54% Approve
46% Disapprove

(Sen. Scott Brown):

70% Approve
26% Disapprove

(National/Obama):

43% Approve
56% Disapprove

This state telephone survey of 500 Likely Voters in the state of Massachusettes was conducted by Rasmussen Reports on March 8, 2010. The margin of sampling error for the survey is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections2/election_2010/election_2010_governor_elections/massachusetts/election_2010_massachusetts_governor

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/general_state_surveys/massachusetts/toplines/toplines_massachusetts_scott_brown_march_8_2010

Wow.
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« Reply #4101 on: March 10, 2010, 02:08:56 pm »

If MA votes for a Rep in 2012, Obama is done!
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You kip if you want to...
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« Reply #4102 on: March 10, 2010, 02:14:48 pm »

If MA votes for a Rep in 2012, Obama is done!

LOL, if Obama loses MA i'll eat my hat.
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J. J.
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« Reply #4103 on: March 10, 2010, 02:40:30 pm »

These numbers are starting to look brutal, if they hold.

They mostly resemble Reagan`s numbers at this point, who was also at 45% in March of '82.

So nothing to worry about yet, especially considering the horrible crop of Presidential candidates the Republicans currently have.

And Carter's were higher.  I think that Reagan's disapproval numbers were lower.
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Oakvale
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« Reply #4104 on: March 10, 2010, 02:47:57 pm »

If MA votes for a Rep in 2012, Obama is done!

LOL, if Obama loses MA i'll eat my hat.
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pbrower2a
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« Reply #4105 on: March 10, 2010, 07:49:20 pm »

These numbers are starting to look brutal, if they hold.

They mostly resemble Reagan`s numbers at this point, who was also at 45% in March of '82.

So nothing to worry about yet, especially considering the horrible crop of Presidential candidates the Republicans currently have.

And Carter's were higher.  I think that Reagan's disapproval numbers were lower.

Approval ratings for Congress are far lower -- and especially for the Republican Party.
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xavier110
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« Reply #4106 on: March 10, 2010, 08:38:47 pm »

All of these Rasmussen approval numbers make zero sense to me and are wildly inconsistent.
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J. J.
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« Reply #4107 on: March 10, 2010, 09:29:59 pm »

]


Approval ratings for Congress are far lower -- and especially for the Republican Party .

Fixed.

Actually the Republicans have held a lead on the generic congressional ballot since late June of 2009.

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/mood_of_america/generic_congressional_ballot
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pbrower2a
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« Reply #4108 on: March 10, 2010, 10:46:12 pm »
« Edited: March 11, 2010, 02:31:06 am by pbrower2a »

]


Approval ratings for Congress are far lower -- and especially for the Republican Party .

Fixed.

Actually the Republicans have held a lead on the generic congressional ballot since late June of 2009.

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/mood_of_america/generic_congressional_ballot

Any challenge to President Obama from the Republican Party will come from either a current or former State governor or a US Senator.  How popular some right-wing Republican is in his own  right-leaning State will matter little a state near the middle of the spectrum (i.e., Virginia, Colorado, Ohio, Florida, Iowa... not his own)
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Mr.Phips
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« Reply #4109 on: March 11, 2010, 04:29:15 am »

These numbers are starting to look brutal, if they hold.

They mostly resemble Reagan`s numbers at this point, who was also at 45% in March of '82.

So nothing to worry about yet, especially considering the horrible crop of Presidential candidates the Republicans currently have.

And Carter's were higher.  I think that Reagan's disapproval numbers were lower.

Rasmussen was not around back then.  You cannot possibly compare Gallup polls to Rasmussen. 
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Zarn
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« Reply #4110 on: March 11, 2010, 05:40:23 am »

]


Approval ratings for Congress are far lower -- and especially for the Republican Party .

Fixed.

Actually the Republicans have held a lead on the generic congressional ballot since late June of 2009.

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/mood_of_america/generic_congressional_ballot

Any challenge to President Obama from the Republican Party will come from either a current or former State governor or a US Senator.  How popular some right-wing Republican is in his own  right-leaning State will matter little a state near the middle of the spectrum (i.e., Virginia, Colorado, Ohio, Florida, Iowa... not his own)

Republicans are not that popular among Republicans.
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J. J.
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« Reply #4111 on: March 11, 2010, 07:55:14 am »

]


Approval ratings for Congress are far lower -- and especially for the Republican Party .

Fixed.

Actually the Republicans have held a lead on the generic congressional ballot since late June of 2009.

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/mood_of_america/generic_congressional_ballot

Any challenge to President Obama from the Republican Party will come from either a current or former State governor or a US Senator.  How popular some right-wing Republican is in his own  right-leaning State will matter little a state near the middle of the spectrum (i.e., Virginia, Colorado, Ohio, Florida, Iowa... not his own)

Which has nothing to do with your claim.
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #4112 on: March 11, 2010, 12:14:49 pm »

Missouri (Rasmussen)Sad

42% Approve
56% Disapprove

This statewide telephone survey of 500 Likely Voters in Missouri was conducted by Rasmussen Reports March 9, 2010. The margin of sampling error for the survey is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections2/election_2010/election_2010_senate_elections/missouri/toplines/toplines_2010_missouri_senate_march_9_2010
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Umengus
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« Reply #4113 on: March 11, 2010, 12:16:51 pm »

All of these Rasmussen approval numbers make zero sense to me and are wildly inconsistent.

lol

Humility
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #4114 on: March 11, 2010, 01:27:14 pm »

Obama hits a new low at Gallup today:

46% Approve
45% Disapprove
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J. J.
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« Reply #4115 on: March 11, 2010, 01:39:04 pm »

[


Rasmussen Obama (National)

Approve 43% (+1)

Disapprove 56% (-3)

"Strongly Approve" is at 24%, +2.  "Strongly Disapprove" is at 42%, -1.

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Oakvale
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« Reply #4116 on: March 11, 2010, 01:40:02 pm »

Obama hits a new low at Gallup today:

46% Approve
45% Disapprove

Gallup's having ridiculous swings these days.
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Dan the Roman
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« Reply #4117 on: March 11, 2010, 01:56:50 pm »

If MA votes for a Rep in 2012, Obama is done!

LOL, if Obama loses MA i'll eat my hat.

Obama was never liked in MA. He lost the primary badly, and was holding a single-digit lead until Palin. It would depend on who the Republicans nominate,  but don't expect MA to be the most pro-Obama state in 2012. Not by a long-shot. The Democrats are a weird split between the urban liberal who love him and the sort of ethnic traditional Democrats who he is  having so much trouble with in West Virginia and Arkansas.
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pbrower2a
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« Reply #4118 on: March 11, 2010, 04:53:15 pm »


MA, MO, NH, WA



Key:


<40% with Disapproval Higher: 40% Orange (50% if 60% or higher disapproval)
40-44% with Disapproval Higher: 50% Yellow  
45-49% with Disapproval Higher: 30% Yellow
<50% with Approval Equal: 10% Yellow (really white)

<50%  Approval greater: 30% Green
50-55%: 40% Green
56-60%: 60% Green
>60%: 80% Green


Months:

A -  January     G -  July
B -  February   H -  August
C -  March        I -  September
D -  April          J  -  October
E -  May           K -  November
F -   June         L -   December

S - suspect poll (examples for such a qualification: strange crosstabs, likely inversion of the report (for inversions, only for polls above 55% or below 45%...  let's say Vermont 35% approval or Oklahoma 65% approval), and more than 10% undecided. Anyone who suggests that a poll is suspect must explain why it is suspect.

Z- no recent poll (maximum 180 days) before December 1, 2009 except Montana (November 2009), which rarely gets polled.
 





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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #4119 on: March 12, 2010, 01:07:48 am »

Minnesota (Rasmussen)Sad

49% Approve
49% Disapprove

This statewide telephone survey of 500 Likely Voters in Minnesota was conducted by Rasmussen Reports March 10, 2010. The margin of sampling error for the survey is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections2/election_2010/election_2010_governor_elections/minnesota/toplines/toplines_minnesota_governor_march_10_2010
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Devilman88
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« Reply #4120 on: March 12, 2010, 01:12:32 am »

Minnesota (Rasmussen)Sad

49% Approve
49% Disapprove

This statewide telephone survey of 500 Likely Voters in Minnesota was conducted by Rasmussen Reports March 10, 2010. The margin of sampling error for the survey is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections2/election_2010/election_2010_governor_elections/minnesota/toplines/toplines_minnesota_governor_march_10_2010

Them aren't good numbers for Obama at all.
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #4121 on: March 12, 2010, 01:14:42 am »

Minnesota (Rasmussen)Sad

49% Approve
49% Disapprove

This statewide telephone survey of 500 Likely Voters in Minnesota was conducted by Rasmussen Reports March 10, 2010. The margin of sampling error for the survey is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections2/election_2010/election_2010_governor_elections/minnesota/toplines/toplines_minnesota_governor_march_10_2010

Them aren't good numbers for Obama at all.

You forget that Obama is at 43% at Rasmussen's national poll. Minnesota having 6% higher approvals than the nation is pretty damn good for Obama at this point. MN was only 1% more DEM than the nation on Election Night 2008.
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pbrower2a
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« Reply #4122 on: March 12, 2010, 05:26:03 am »

First tie in a long time, and it's not where I would expect it (Minnesota):



Key:


<40% with Disapproval Higher: 40% Orange (50% if 60% or higher disapproval)
40-44% with Disapproval Higher: 50% Yellow  
45-49% with Disapproval Higher: 30% Yellow
<50% with Approval Equal: 10% Yellow (really white)

<50%  Approval greater: 30% Green
50-55%: 40% Green
56-60%: 60% Green
>60%: 80% Green


Months:

A -  January     G -  July
B -  February   H -  August
C -  March        I -  September
D -  April          J  -  October
E -  May           K -  November
F -   June         L -   December

S - suspect poll (examples for such a qualification: strange crosstabs, likely inversion of the report (for inversions, only for polls above 55% or below 45%...  let's say Vermont 35% approval or Oklahoma 65% approval), and more than 10% undecided. Anyone who suggests that a poll is suspect must explain why it is suspect.

Z- no recent poll (maximum 180 days) before December 1, 2009 except Montana (November 2009), which rarely gets polled.
 
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #4123 on: March 12, 2010, 08:57:41 am »

Louisiana (Rasmussen)Sad

37% Approve
62% Disapprove

This statewide telephone survey of 500 Likely Voters in Louisiana was conducted by Rasmussen Reports March 10, 2010. The margin of sampling error for the survey is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections2/election_2010/election_2010_senate_elections/louisiana/toplines/toplines_2010_louisiana_senate_march_10_2010
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J. J.
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« Reply #4124 on: March 12, 2010, 09:43:21 am »



Rasmussen Obama (National)

Approve 44%

Disapprove 54%

Both numbers are unchanged.

"Strongly Approve" is at 26% +2.  "Strongly Disapprove" is at 42%, unchanged.

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