Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
December 08, 2019, 04:00:28 pm
News: 2019 Gubernatorial Predictions close today at noon

  Atlas Forum
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2012 Elections
  The Official Obama Approval Ratings Thread
« previous next »
Pages: 1 ... 173 174 175 176 177 [178] 179 180 181 182 183 ... 410 Print
Author Topic: The Official Obama Approval Ratings Thread  (Read 1022682 times)
Alcon
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 30,911
United States



Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4425 on: April 04, 2010, 02:19:36 am »

http://weaskamerica.com/

"MI-3 Poll: Does Battle Creek think health-care reform is GRRRREAT?"

I can't decide if this makes WeAskAmerica my new favorite, or new least favorite, pollster.
Logged
○∙◄☻•tπ[╪AV┼cVÍ└
jfern
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 46,685


Political Matrix
E: -7.38, S: -8.36

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4426 on: April 04, 2010, 02:20:22 am »


Moderate heroism must not play well in Illinois.
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 50,969
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4427 on: April 04, 2010, 02:22:13 am »


LOL !
Logged
pbrower2a
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 21,515
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4428 on: April 04, 2010, 02:25:08 am »
« Edited: April 04, 2010, 02:35:44 am by pbrower2a »

Two college polls (CA, NC) and one obsolete poll (MI -- it's from during the HCR debate).




Mixed approval and favorability (the latter Wisconsin only):



The same key applies to both maps. Take your pick.

Key:


<40% with Disapproval Higher: 40% Orange (50% if 60% or higher disapproval)
40-44% with Disapproval Higher: 50% Yellow  
45-49% with Disapproval Higher: 30% Yellow
<50% with Approval Equal: 10% Yellow (really white)

<50%  Approval greater: 30% Green
50-55%: 40% Green
56-60%: 60% Green
>60%: 80% Green


Months:

A -  January     G -  July
B -  February   H -  August
C -  March        I -  September
D -  April          J  -  October
E -  May           K -  November
F -   June         L -   December

C* -- March 2010, after the passage of Health Care Reform legislation in the House.

S - suspect poll (examples for such a qualification: strange crosstabs, likely inversion of the report (for inversions, only for polls above 55% or below 45%...  let's say Vermont 35% approval or Oklahoma 65% approval), and more than 10% undecided. Anyone who suggests that a poll is suspect must explain why it is suspect.

Z- no recent poll (maximum 180 days) before December 1, 2009 except Montana (November 2009), which rarely gets polled.

Fifteen states have checked in, and of these Alabama has two polls saying the same thing.  We can now add California and North Carolina. Because the North Carolina poll is of adults it is not as strong as a "likely voters" poll.  



deep red                  Obama 10% margin or greater  88
medium red              Obama, 5-9.9% margin  10
pale red                   Obama, margin under 5%  33
white                        too close to call  3
pale blue                  Republican  under 5%  14
medium blue             Republican  5-9.9% margin   20
deep blue                 Republican over 10%
 13  




Logged
Poundingtherock
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 917
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4429 on: April 04, 2010, 03:11:48 am »

The North Carolina poll is also before the HC debate.
Logged
You kip if you want to...
change08
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 8,947
United Kingdom
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4430 on: April 04, 2010, 08:06:29 am »


LOL! No.
Logged
pbrower2a
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 21,515
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4431 on: April 04, 2010, 08:33:15 am »

The North Carolina poll is also before the HC debate.

It also ends after the HCR debate; thus the asterisk.
Logged
tmthforu94
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 21,053
United States


Political Matrix
E: 3.94, S: 1.35

P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4432 on: April 04, 2010, 08:37:23 am »

Why is the Illinois poll not included, other than you don't like it's numbers?
Logged
You kip if you want to...
change08
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 8,947
United Kingdom
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4433 on: April 04, 2010, 09:03:13 am »

Why is the Illinois poll not included, other than you don't like it's numbers?

Isn't it a GOP pollster? :S
Logged
Rowan
RowanBrandon
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 6,692


Political Matrix
E: 1.94, S: 4.70

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4434 on: April 04, 2010, 10:07:28 am »

The California poll was conducted by Greenberg, Quinlan,  Rosner. If you are excluding the Magellan one because it is a Republican firm, should you not include the GQR one because it is a Democratic firm?
Logged
tmthforu94
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 21,053
United States


Political Matrix
E: 3.94, S: 1.35

P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4435 on: April 04, 2010, 10:42:42 am »

Why is the Illinois poll not included, other than you don't like it's numbers?

Isn't it a GOP pollster? :S

Is it? I didn't know, so I was asking.
Logged
J. J.
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 32,909
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4436 on: April 04, 2010, 11:59:22 am »

Rasmussen Obama (National)

Approve 46% u

Disapprove 53% u


"Strongly Approve" is at 32%, u.  "Strongly Disapprove" is at 42%, +1.


Logged
pbrower2a
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 21,515
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4437 on: April 04, 2010, 12:52:38 pm »

The California poll was conducted by Greenberg, Quinlan,  Rosner. If you are excluding the Magellan one because it is a Republican firm, should you not include the GQR one because it is a Democratic firm?

Quote
You must be logged in to read this quote.

It is a university-based poll with some oversight to prevent undue bias.  This isn't a "poll your buddies" effort.
Logged
Poundingtherock
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 917
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4438 on: April 04, 2010, 06:59:37 pm »

Wenzen Strategies National Poll

Obama: 41/47

http://wenzelstrategies.com/wp-content/uploads/2010/03/wnd-election-preview-full-crosstabs-3-23-2010.pdf
Logged
You kip if you want to...
change08
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 8,947
United Kingdom
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4439 on: April 04, 2010, 07:11:31 pm »


Oh wow, a poll for WorldNetDaily. That's as useful as a poll for Kos.
Logged
Poundingtherock
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 917
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4440 on: April 04, 2010, 09:46:03 pm »

Do you understand the distinction between commissioning and conducting a poll?  Kos and World Net Daily commissioned the polls but had nothing to do with conducting the poll.

In any event, the Kos poll is being questioned because of its far too favorable sample for Obama and the Democrat Party.

http://hotlineoncall.nationaljournal.com/archives/2010/04/in_polls_demogr.php

The funny thing is that R2K concedes in the article that the sample it is using is unreasonable.
Logged
Хahar 🤔
Xahar
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 39,116
Bangladesh


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4441 on: April 05, 2010, 01:24:42 am »

What's Vejjajiva polling in the Kos poll?
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 50,969
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4442 on: April 05, 2010, 01:51:04 am »

The California poll was conducted by Greenberg, Quinlan,  Rosner. If you are excluding the Magellan one because it is a Republican firm, should you not include the GQR one because it is a Democratic firm?

Take a closer look again:

The Los Angeles Times/USC College of Letters, Arts and Sciences poll was conducted by Greenberg Quinlan Rosner in conjunction with American Viewpoint, both based in Washington, D.C. The findings are based on a random sample survey of 1,515 registered voters in California conducted from March 23 to 30, 2010. The maximum sampling error for results based on the overall sample of 1,515 registered voters is plus or minus 2.6 percentage points at the 95% confidence level.

http://www.amview.com/amview_contents/stories/political.shtml

Who We Help

Political Clients:

GA House Republican Caucus
IL House Republican Caucus
Illinois State Senate Republican Caucus
IN House Republican Campaign Committee
MO Senate Republican Caucus
RNC
NRCC
NRSC
The WISH List
Republican Governors Association
Republican Mainstreet Partnership
Republican Majority for Choice

So, this poll is totally bipartisan and is also in line with other recent CA results from PPIC.

BTW: This GQR poll also has Whitman ahead of Brown in the Governor race.
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 50,969
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4443 on: April 05, 2010, 01:55:16 am »


Excellent/Good/Fair/Poor poll. Toss.
Logged
Badger
badger
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 24,347
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4444 on: April 05, 2010, 07:33:36 am »

Why is the Illinois poll not included, other than you don't like it's numbers?

Isn't it a GOP pollster? :S

Yes.

http://www.swingstateproject.com/diary/6672/on-those-we-ask-america-illinois-polls
Logged
You kip if you want to...
change08
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 8,947
United Kingdom
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4445 on: April 05, 2010, 07:37:48 am »

In any event, the Kos poll is being questioned because of its far too favorable sample for Obama and the Democrat Party.

And WND hasn't got a sample which is far too unfavourable for Obama and the Democrats and far to favourable to the Republicans?
Logged
J. J.
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 32,909
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4446 on: April 05, 2010, 08:34:30 am »

Rasmussen Obama (National)

Approve 49% +3

Disapprove 53% -2


"Strongly Approve" is at 34%, +1.  "Strongly Disapprove" is at 41%, u.


My guess would be a bad sample, but we'll see.
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 50,969
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4447 on: April 05, 2010, 08:35:15 am »

The horror scenario for Republicans concerning 2012 is taking shape.

Obama creates jobs and his poll numbers rise:

Fridayís report on job creation has provided a boost in both consumer and investor confidence. Confidence is now back to where it was when Lehman Brothers collapsed in the fall of 2008. Since release of the employment data, the number of unaffiliated voters who Strongly Approve of the Presidentís performance has increased from 20% to 27%. Forty-five percent (45%) of unaffiliateds still Strongly Disapprove.

The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Monday shows that 34% of the nation's voters Strongly Approve of the way that Barack Obama is performing his role as President. Forty-one percent (41%) Strongly Disapprove giving Obama a Presidential Approval Index rating of -7. These are the Presidentís best ratings since February 1.

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/obama_administration/daily_presidential_tracking_poll

Overall:

49% Approve (+3)
51% Disapprove (-2)

Also: Thx to all for the already 200.000 clicks on this topic ... Smiley
Logged
You kip if you want to...
change08
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 8,947
United Kingdom
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4448 on: April 05, 2010, 08:40:42 am »

The horror scenario for Republicans concerning 2012 is taking shape.

It's 2 and a half years out. Don't jump the gun.
Logged
Democratic Hawk
LucysBeau
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 14,671
United Kingdom


Political Matrix
E: -2.58, S: 2.43

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4449 on: April 05, 2010, 08:42:43 am »


I concur because "fair", in itself, is not necessarily a negative assessment
Logged
Pages: 1 ... 173 174 175 176 177 [178] 179 180 181 182 183 ... 410 Print 
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length
Logout

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

© Dave Leip's Atlas of U.S. Elections, LLC