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Author Topic: The Official Obama Approval Ratings Thread  (Read 1016386 times)
nhmagic
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« Reply #4475 on: April 06, 2010, 05:21:30 pm »

Isn't it remarkable that Rasmussen has shown few polls with Obama with approval over 50%? Read between the lines on Alabama and the Dakotas. He did show Hawaii and Rhode Island as extreme outliers for America as a whole.

I wouldn't be surprised to see Rasmussen polls from  Utah, Louisiana, Kansas, Oklahoma, and West Virginia at any moment.  


Michigan? Oregon? Washington? Minnesota? Massachusetts? Maine? New Hampshire? Hmmm.

I wonder about Georgia, Florida, Indiana, South Carolina, Virginia, Montana, and Colorado.


... Does anyone have any problems if I remove the recordings of the most recent polls in Montana and Utah? Those are the last 2009 polls on the map. Spring housekeeping, so to speak.

New Hampshire is surely anti Obama right now.  I dont think he's holding off on poll releases just because...
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pbrower2a
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« Reply #4476 on: April 06, 2010, 05:34:13 pm »

Isn't it remarkable that Rasmussen has shown few polls with Obama with approval over 50%? Read between the lines on Alabama and the Dakotas. He did show Hawaii and Rhode Island as extreme outliers for America as a whole.

I wouldn't be surprised to see Rasmussen polls from  Utah, Louisiana, Kansas, Oklahoma, and West Virginia at any moment.  


Michigan? Oregon? Washington? Minnesota? Massachusetts? Maine? New Hampshire? Hmmm.

I wonder about Georgia, Florida, Indiana, South Carolina, Virginia, Montana, and Colorado.


New Hampshire is surely anti Obama right now.  I dont think he's holding off on poll releases just because...

How would you know?
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Хahar 🤔
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« Reply #4477 on: April 06, 2010, 08:06:52 pm »

Isn't it remarkable that Rasmussen has shown few polls with Obama with approval over 50%? Read between the lines on Alabama and the Dakotas. He did show Hawaii and Rhode Island as extreme outliers for America as a whole.

I wouldn't be surprised to see Rasmussen polls from  Utah, Louisiana, Kansas, Oklahoma, and West Virginia at any moment. 


Michigan? Oregon? Washington? Minnesota? Massachusetts? Maine? New Hampshire? Hmmm.

I wonder about Georgia, Florida, Indiana, South Carolina, Virginia, Montana, and Colorado.


New Hampshire is surely anti Obama right now.  I dont think he's holding off on poll releases just because...

How would you know?

azmagic is omniscient.
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Rowan
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« Reply #4478 on: April 06, 2010, 08:32:31 pm »

Rasmussen polls on a monthly cycle. He'll poll New Hampshire when it comes up in the cycle. Look at the date he did it last month, and he'll do it again approximately the same date in this month.
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #4479 on: April 07, 2010, 12:23:14 am »

Wisconsin (St. Norbert College)Sad

44% Approve
50% Disapprove

Survey Information:

Random Selection, Landline Telephone Survey
Number of Adult Wisconsin Resident Respondents:  400
Interview Period: 3/23/10 3/31/10
Margin of Error: +/- 5% at the 95% confidence level.

http://wpr.org/announce/survey1004/sp10-national-issues.htm
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #4480 on: April 07, 2010, 12:33:15 am »

Michigan (EPIC-MRA)Sad

50% Favorable
44% Unfavorable

44% Excellent/Good
55% Fair/Poor

http://www.wxyz.com/content/news/seenon7priority/story/EXCLUSIVE-POLL-The-Race-For-Governor/Gi1XEnTrxUq1rnZB5Sov2g.cspx
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J. J.
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« Reply #4481 on: April 07, 2010, 09:29:05 am »


Rasmussen Obama (National)

Approve 48% u

Disapprove 52% +1


"Strongly Approve" is at 31%, -1.  "Strongly Disapprove" is at 42%, u.



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pbrower2a
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« Reply #4482 on: April 07, 2010, 09:39:15 am »

Massachusetts, Rasmussen

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Small Business Owner of Any Repute
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« Reply #4483 on: April 07, 2010, 10:53:32 am »

Ouch, even Massachusetts doesn't like HCR.

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J. J.
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« Reply #4484 on: April 07, 2010, 04:05:05 pm »


Gallup Obama

Approve: 50% +1

Disapprove: 45% -1
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pbrower2a
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« Reply #4485 on: April 07, 2010, 06:38:34 pm »
« Edited: April 07, 2010, 06:42:10 pm by pbrower2a »

Connecticut (April 1), Rasmussen, likely voters:

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Yawn!

I now concede that Rasmussen does a good job of rotating between states.





Mixed approval and favorability (the latter California and Michigan only):



The same key applies to both maps. Take your pick.

Key:


<40% with Disapproval Higher: 40% Orange (50% if 60% or higher disapproval)
40-44% with Disapproval Higher: 50% Yellow  
45-49% with Disapproval Higher: 30% Yellow
<50% with Approval Equal: 10% Yellow (really white)

<50%  Approval greater: 30% Green
50-55%: 40% Green
56-60%: 60% Green
>60%: 80% Green


Months:

A -  January     G -  July
B -  February   H -  August
C -  March        I -  September
D -  April          J  -  October
E -  May           K -  November
F -   June         L -   December

C* -- March 2010, after the passage of Health Care Reform legislation in the House.

S - suspect poll (examples for such a qualification: strange crosstabs, likely inversion of the report (for inversions, only for polls above 55% or below 45%...  let's say Vermont 35% approval or Oklahoma 65% approval), and more than 10% undecided. Anyone who suggests that a poll is suspect must explain why it is suspect.

Z- no recent poll

23 states have checked in since HCR legislation was passed in the House, and of these Alabama has two polls saying the same thing; those in Wisconsin contradict.



deep red                  Obama 10% margin or greater  88
medium red              Obama, 5-9.9% margin  30
pale red                   Obama, margin under 5%  69
white                        too close to call  13
pale blue                  Republican  under 5%  20
medium blue             Republican  5-9.9% margin   20
deep blue                 Republican over 10%
 21  

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J. J.
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« Reply #4486 on: April 08, 2010, 08:50:49 am »


Rasmussen Obama (National)

Approve 47% -1

Disapprove 53% +1


"Strongly Approve" is at 28%, -3.  "Strongly Disapprove" is at 42%, u.

It appears that that high Obama sample has dropped off.
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Sam Spade
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« Reply #4487 on: April 08, 2010, 10:39:52 am »

Quinnipiac (PA)

45% Approve
49% Disapprove
 
From March 30 - April 5, Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,412 Pennsylvania voters, with a margin of error of +/- 2.6 percentage points

http://www.quinnipiac.edu/x1327.xml?ReleaseID=1442

Rasmussen (CO)

42% Approve
57% Disapprove

29% Strongly approve
13% Somewhat approve
10% Somewhat disapprove
47% Strongly disapprove
0% Not sure


Colorado Survey of 500 Likely Voters
Conducted April 5, 2010

link

Rasmussen (IL)

58% Approve
41% Disapprove

38% Strongly approve
20% Somewhat approve
6% Somewhat disapprove
35% Strongly disapprove
1% Not sure


Illinois Survey of 500 Likely Voters
Conducted April 5, 2010

link
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pbrower2a
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« Reply #4488 on: April 08, 2010, 10:59:34 am »
« Edited: April 08, 2010, 02:37:24 pm by pbrower2a »

Quinnipiac changes nothing in PA. Colorado and Illinois check in.

Missouri a second time in two weeks

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Mixed approval and favorability (the latter California and Michigan only):



The same key applies to both maps. Take your pick.

Key:


<40% with Disapproval Higher: 40% Orange (50% if 60% or higher disapproval)
40-44% with Disapproval Higher: 50% Yellow  
45-49% with Disapproval Higher: 30% Yellow
<50% with Approval Equal: 10% Yellow (really white)

<50%  Approval greater: 30% Green
50-55%: 40% Green
56-60%: 60% Green
>60%: 80% Green


Months:

A -  January     G -  July
B -  February   H -  August
C -  March        I -  September
D -  April          J  -  October
E -  May           K -  November
F -   June         L -   December

C* -- March 2010, after the passage of Health Care Reform legislation in the House.

S - suspect poll (examples for such a qualification: strange crosstabs, likely inversion of the report (for inversions, only for polls above 55% or below 45%...  let's say Vermont 35% approval or Oklahoma 65% approval), and more than 10% undecided. Anyone who suggests that a poll is suspect must explain why it is suspect.

Z- no recent poll

24 states have checked in since HCR legislation was passed in the House, and of these Alabama has two polls saying the same thing; those in Wisconsin contradict.



deep red                  Obama 10% margin or greater  132
medium red              Obama, 5-9.9% margin  0
pale red                   Obama, margin under 5%  69
white                        too close to call  13
pale blue                  Republican  under 5%  18
medium blue             Republican  5-9.9% margin   31
deep blue                 Republican over 10%
 21  


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J. J.
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« Reply #4489 on: April 08, 2010, 03:53:47 pm »


Gallup Obama

Approve: 49% -1

Disapprove: 46% +1



To give some perspective:

Reagan had a 46% disapproval at roughly this point, with a 45% approval.  Carter had 48% approval and 39% disapproval on the monthlies.
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Sam Spade
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« Reply #4490 on: April 08, 2010, 09:57:14 pm »

Rasmussen (MO)

42% Approve
57% Disapprove

22% Strongly approve
18% Somewhat approve
13% Somewhat disapprove
46% Strongly disapprove
1% Not sure


Missouri Survey of 500 Likely Voters
Conducted April 6, 2010

link

Fox News/Opinion Dynamics (National)

43% Approve
48% Disapprove

4/6-7/10; 900 registered voters, 3% margin of error

http://www.foxnews.com/projects/pdf/040810_Obama_HC_2010_web.pdf
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J. J.
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« Reply #4491 on: April 09, 2010, 08:54:19 am »


Rasmussen Obama (National)

Approve 48% +1

Disapprove 52% -1


"Strongly Approve" is at 29%, +1.  "Strongly Disapprove" is at 43%, +1.

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pbrower2a
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« Reply #4492 on: April 09, 2010, 03:06:21 pm »

New Hampshire 49A-5 0D, Rasmussen

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Washington 54A- 43D

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Mixed approval and favorability (the latter California and Michigan only):



The same key applies to both maps. Take your pick.

Key:


<40% with Disapproval Higher: 40% Orange (50% if 60% or higher disapproval)
40-44% with Disapproval Higher: 50% Yellow  
45-49% with Disapproval Higher: 30% Yellow
<50% with Approval Equal: 10% Yellow (really white)

<50%  Approval greater: 30% Green
50-55%: 40% Green
56-60%: 60% Green
>60%: 80% Green


Months (All polls are from 2010):

A -  January     G -  July
B -  February   H -  August
C -  March        I -  September
D -  April          J  -  October
E -  May           K -  November
F -   June         L -   December

C* -- March 2010, after the passage of Health Care Reform legislation in the House.

S - suspect poll (examples for such a qualification: strange crosstabs, likely inversion of the report (for inversions, only for polls above 55% or below 45%...  let's say Vermont 35% approval or Oklahoma 65% approval), and more than 10% undecided. Anyone who suggests that a poll is suspect must explain why it is suspect.

Z- no recent poll

26 states have checked in since HCR legislation was passed in the House, and of these Alabama has two polls saying the same thing; those in Wisconsin contradict.



deep red                  Obama 10% margin or greater  144
medium red              Obama, 5-9.9% margin  4
pale red                   Obama, margin under 5%  69
white                        too close to call  13
pale blue                  Republican  under 5%  18
medium blue             Republican  5-9.9% margin   31
deep blue                 Republican over 10%
 21  



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pbrower2a
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« Reply #4493 on: April 09, 2010, 05:36:20 pm »

Interesting new Rasmussen poll. It ain't the economy any more!


Importance of Issues
Government Ethics and Corruption Edges Economy as Most Important Issue
Friday, April 09, 2010



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pbrower2a
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« Reply #4494 on: April 09, 2010, 06:21:57 pm »


Daily Kos, Research2000, favorability

Daily Kos/Research 2000 Ohio Poll
Research 2000, MoE 4%, Apr 05, 2010 - Apr 07, 2010

                        VF    F       U    VU     DK

FISHER           19   22   13   11   35  Possible D candidate for US Senate
BRUNNER           17   21   14   12   36  Possible D candidate for US Senate
PORTMAN           18   21   17   13   31  Likely R nominee for US Senate
STRICKLAND   22   25   21   20   12  Current D Governor running for re-election
KASICH           18   24   14   14   30  Likely R nominee for Governor
VOINOVICH   21   23   22   15   19  Incumbent, retiring Republican Senator
BROWN           21   25   16   15   23  Current US Senator, D- OH
OBAMA           21   25   23   22     9  No introduction necessary

Same source, Georgia Favorability/Unfavorability (45-51)




Mixed approval and favorability (the latter California, Georgia, Michigan, and Ohio only):



The same key applies to both maps. Take your pick.

Key:


<40% with Disapproval Higher: 40% Orange (50% if 60% or higher disapproval)
40-44% with Disapproval Higher: 50% Yellow  
45-49% with Disapproval Higher: 30% Yellow
<50% with Approval Equal: 10% Yellow (really white)

<50%  Approval greater: 30% Green
50-55%: 40% Green
56-60%: 60% Green
>60%: 80% Green


Months (All polls are from 2010):

A -  January     G -  July
B -  February   H -  August
C -  March        I -  September
D -  April          J  -  October
E -  May           K -  November
F -   June         L -   December

C* -- March 2010, after the passage of Health Care Reform legislation in the House.

S - suspect poll (examples for such a qualification: strange crosstabs, likely inversion of the report (for inversions, only for polls above 55% or below 45%...  let's say Vermont 35% approval or Oklahoma 65% approval), and more than 10% undecided. Anyone who suggests that a poll is suspect must explain why it is suspect.

Z- no recent poll

27 states have checked in since HCR legislation was passed in the House, and of these Alabama has two polls saying the same thing; those in Wisconsin contradict.

Georgia is favorability, and 45% approval suggests about a 46% vote. 41% approval would have about the same effect.



deep red                  Obama 10% margin or greater  144
medium red              Obama, 5-9.9% margin  4
pale red                   Obama, margin under 5%  69
white                        too close to call  13
pale blue                  Republican  under 5%  18
medium blue             Republican  5-9.9% margin   47
deep blue                 Republican over 10%
 21  





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fezzyfestoon
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« Reply #4495 on: April 09, 2010, 08:04:28 pm »

No one but you values the favorability ratings, don't waste the space posting that map.
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J. J.
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« Reply #4496 on: April 09, 2010, 09:20:41 pm »



Gallup Obama

Approve: 49% u

Disapprove: 46% u

The horse is hobbled today. 

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J. J.
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« Reply #4497 on: April 10, 2010, 12:04:45 pm »


Rasmussen Obama (National)

Approve 48% u

Disapprove 52% u


"Strongly Approve" is at 29%, u.  "Strongly Disapprove" is at 42%, -1.

Interestingly, both Gallup and Rasmussen show very stable numbers.

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ConservativeIllini
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« Reply #4498 on: April 10, 2010, 12:39:42 pm »

Gallup

47% approve (-2)

48% disapprove (+2)
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Umengus
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« Reply #4499 on: April 10, 2010, 01:32:42 pm »

Ras is curiously high.
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