Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
December 06, 2019, 12:41:07 am
News: 2020 Presidential Predictions (General) are now active.

  Atlas Forum
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2012 Elections
  The Official Obama Approval Ratings Thread
« previous next »
Pages: 1 ... 239 240 241 242 243 [244] 245 246 247 248 249 ... 410 Print
Author Topic: The Official Obama Approval Ratings Thread  (Read 1022322 times)
Mitt Romney's Hair
GOP_Represent
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 656


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6075 on: September 08, 2010, 03:08:28 pm »

I may attempt to purchase an apartment in Canada if things keep going this way.

So if GOPer's want to take back the White House in 2012, Obama will have to be as big of a failure as Carter, and they'll also have to find another Reagan.

Obama will be.

And the GOP has Mitt Romney.

Nuff said.
Logged
Dgov
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1,558
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6076 on: September 08, 2010, 03:35:51 pm »

PPP Also polled the individual districts in Maine:
1st: 46-48
2nd: 41-54
Logged
Jbrase
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 7,006
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6077 on: September 08, 2010, 03:52:40 pm »

AZ, TX, ME, & KY


30%-39%-Dark Dark Red
40%-44%- Dark Red
45-49%- Red
tied - White
Under 50% approval but approval higher than disapproval- Yellow
50%-54%- Light Green
55%-59%- Green
60%+- Dark Green
Logged
Yelnoc
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 7,012
United States


WWW Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6078 on: September 08, 2010, 04:19:55 pm »

I may attempt to purchase an apartment in Canada if things keep going this way.

So if GOPer's want to take back the White House in 2012, Obama will have to be as big of a failure as Carter, and they'll also have to find another Reagan.

Obama will be.

And the GOP has Mitt Romney.

Nuff said.
Ronald Reagan and Mitt Romney are really incomparable.
Logged
Penelope
Scifiguy
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1,525
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6079 on: September 08, 2010, 04:20:40 pm »

I may attempt to purchase an apartment in Canada if things keep going this way.

So if GOPer's want to take back the White House in 2012, Obama will have to be as big of a failure as Carter, and they'll also have to find another Reagan.

Obama will be.

And the GOP has Mitt Romney.

Nuff said.

This site gets more hilarious every post.
Logged
pbrower2a
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 21,509
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6080 on: September 08, 2010, 04:32:27 pm »

No matter how brave people are, if they are fools they will not remain free.
Logged
J. J.
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 32,909
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6081 on: September 08, 2010, 08:40:42 pm »

Gallup:  45/47
Logged
Saff
MATCHU[D]
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 6,662
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.29, S: -6.09

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6082 on: September 09, 2010, 02:32:44 am »

ME: PPP

Do you approve or disapprove of President
Barack Obama’s job performance?
Approve .......................................................... 44%
Disapprove...................................................... 51%
Not sure .......................................................... 5%


TX: PPP
Do you approve or disapprove of Governor
Rick Perry’s job performance?
Approve .......................................................... 39%
Disapprove...................................................... 50%
Not sure .......................................................... 12%

12% "not sure" in Texas? Yeah okay....
Logged
pbrower2a
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 21,509
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6083 on: September 09, 2010, 08:02:42 am »
« Edited: September 09, 2010, 02:41:44 pm by pbrower2a »

Illinois Survey of 750 Likely Voters
Conducted September 7, 2010
By Rasmussen Reports

 

1* How would you rate the job Barack Obama has been doing as President… do you strongly approve, somewhat approve, somewhat disapprove, or strongly disapprove of the job he’s been doing?

      

38% Strongly approve
       15% Somewhat approve
         8% Somewhat disapprove
       37% Strongly disapprove
         1% Not sure

West Virginia Survey of 500 Likely Voters
Conducted September 8, 2010
By Rasmussen Reports

1* How would you rate the job Barack Obama has been doing as President… do you strongly approve, somewhat approve, somewhat disapprove, or strongly disapprove of the job he’s been doing?

22% Strongly approve
14% Somewhat approve
  9% Somewhat disapprove
53% Strongly disapprove
  2% Not sure




Key:


<40% with Disapproval Higher: 40% Orange (50% if 60%-69% or higher disapproval, 90% if >70%); 90% red if >70%
40-43% with Disapproval Higher: 50% Yellow  
44% with Disapproval Higher: 40% Yellow  
45-49% with Disapproval Higher: 30% Yellow  
<50% with Approval Equal: 10% Yellow (really white)

<50%  Approval greater: 30% Green
50-55%: 40% Green
56-59%: 60% Green
60%+: 80% Green
DC, what else could you expect?


Months (All polls are from 2010):

A -  January     G -  July
B -  February   H -  August
C -  March        I -  September
D -  April          J  -  October
E -  May           K -  November
F -   June         L -   December

 

S - suspect poll (examples for such a qualification: strange crosstabs, likely inversion of the report (for inversions, only for polls above 55% or below 45%...  let's say Vermont 35% approval or Oklahoma 65% approval), or more than 10% undecided. Anyone who suggests that a poll is suspect must explain why it is suspect.

Partisan polls and polls for special interests (trade associations, labor unions, ethnic associations) are excluded.

Z- no recent poll

MY CURRENT PREDICTION OF THE 2012 PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION:




District of Columbia, assumed to be about a 90% win for Obama, 3                  
deep red                  Obama 10% margin or greater  153
medium red              Obama, 5-9.9% margin   52
pale red                   Obama, margin under 5%  119
white                        too close to call  2
pale blue                  Republican  under 5%   38
medium blue             Republican  5-9.9% margin  18
deep blue                 Republican over 10%   151  



44% approval is roughly the break-even  point (50/50) for an incumbent's win.  I add 6% for approval between 40% and 46%, 5% at 46%, 4% between 47% and 50%, 3% for 51%, 2% for 52% or 53%, 1% for 54% and nothing above 55% or below 40% for an estimate of the vote.

 This model applies only to incumbents, who have plenty of advantages but not enough to rescue an unqualified failure.

......


Logged
Devilman88
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 2,498


Political Matrix
E: 5.94, S: 2.61

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6084 on: September 09, 2010, 08:44:59 am »
« Edited: September 09, 2010, 02:24:16 pm by Devilman88 »



Rasmussen Obama (National)

Approve 41%, -4

Disapprove 58%, +4.

"Strongly Approve" is at 23%, -3.  "Strongly Disapprove" is at 47%, +3.





Logged
J. J.
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 32,909
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6085 on: September 09, 2010, 09:31:47 am »

  "Strongly Disapprove" is at 47%, +3. (I make that mistake all the time.)


Tied for his worse numbers ever.  It is still at the bottom edge of range.  It could be a bad sample or even normal fluctuation.  If they drop further or stay there through Sunday, there will be a problem.
Logged
Jbrase
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 7,006
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6086 on: September 09, 2010, 11:21:01 am »

Rasmussen MO: 40/58
Logged
Jbrase
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 7,006
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6087 on: September 09, 2010, 11:23:36 am »

MO, IL, & WV


30%-39%-Dark Dark Red
40%-44%- Dark Red
45-49%- Red
tied - White
Under 50% approval but approval higher than disapproval- Yellow
50%-54%- Light Green
55%-59%- Green
60%+- Dark Green
Logged
pbrower2a
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 21,509
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6088 on: September 09, 2010, 02:46:24 pm »

I may attempt to purchase an apartment in Canada if things keep going this way.

So if GOPer's want to take back the White House in 2012, Obama will have to be as big of a failure as Carter, and they'll also have to find another Reagan.

Obama will be.

And the GOP has Mitt Romney.

Nuff said.

No. He becomes the New Harry Truman and runs against a "Do-Nothing Except Undo Everything" Congress... and wins re-election.

The American people are neither feudal nor fascist even if the Tea Party has characteristics common to one or the other to the exclusion of all else. 


Logged
J. J.
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 32,909
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6089 on: September 09, 2010, 04:10:26 pm »

MO, IL, & WV


30%-39%-Dark Dark Red
40%-44%- Dark Red
45-49%- Red
tied - White
Under 50% approval but approval higher than disapproval- Yellow
50%-54%- Light Green
55%-59%- Green
60%+- Dark Green

Delaware is a tie?
Logged
pbrower2a
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 21,509
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6090 on: September 09, 2010, 06:25:21 pm »

MO, IL, & WV


30%-39%-Dark Dark Red
40%-44%- Dark Red
45-49%- Red
tied - White
Under 50% approval but approval higher than disapproval- Yellow
50%-54%- Light Green
55%-59%- Green
60%+- Dark Green

Delaware is a tie?

50-50, which means that Obama would win Delaware, perhaps by about a 52-48 margin. 


Logged
redcommander
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,817
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6091 on: September 09, 2010, 06:37:48 pm »

LMAO at Gallup having a tie at 46-46 today.
Logged
pbrower2a
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 21,509
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6092 on: September 09, 2010, 06:45:04 pm »

MO, IL, & WV


30%-39%-Dark Dark Red
40%-44%- Dark Red
45-49%- Red
tied - White
Under 50% approval but approval higher than disapproval- Yellow
50%-54%- Light Green
55%-59%- Green
60%+- Dark Green

Delaware is a tie?

50-50, which means that Obama would win Delaware, perhaps by about a 52-48 margin that he would lose overall. He needs to win Delaware about 55-45 to have a reasonable chance of winning re-election. 



Logged
Cleveland Rocks
The Obamanation
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 8,216
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6093 on: September 09, 2010, 08:37:25 pm »

Wonder what his approval will be like on Saturday.
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 50,948
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6094 on: September 10, 2010, 07:33:47 am »

NC (Rasmussen): 44-55
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 50,948
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6095 on: September 10, 2010, 08:15:00 am »

OR (Rasmussen): 54-46
Logged
J. J.
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 32,909
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6096 on: September 10, 2010, 08:51:08 am »


Rasmussen Obama (National)

Approve 42%, +1.

Disapprove 56%, -2.

"Strongly Approve" is at 25%, +1.  "Strongly Disapprove" is at 46%, -1.

Logged
pbrower2a
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 21,509
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6097 on: September 10, 2010, 11:16:44 am »
« Edited: September 10, 2010, 01:57:29 pm by pbrower2a »

Oregon Survey of 750 Likely Voters
Conducted September 8, 2010
By Rasmussen Reports

1* How would you rate the job Barack Obama has been doing as President… do you strongly approve, somewhat approve, somewhat disapprove, or strongly disapprove of the job he’s been doing?

38% Strongly approve
16% Somewhat approve
  5% Somewhat disapprove
41% Strongly disapprove
  1% Not sure

North Carolina Survey of 500 Likely Voters
Conducted September 8, 2010
By Rasmussen Reports

1* How would you rate the job Barack Obama has been doing as President… do you strongly approve, somewhat approve, somewhat disapprove, or strongly disapprove of the job he’s been doing?

29% Strongly approve
15% Somewhat approve
10% Somewhat disapprove
45% Strongly disapprove
  0% Not sure

Connecticut State Survey of 500 Likely Voters
Conducted September 9, 2010
By Rasmussen Reports

1* How would you rate the job Barack Obama has been doing as President… do you strongly approve, somewhat approve, somewhat disapprove, or strongly disapprove of the job he’s been doing?

36% Strongly approve
19% Somewhat approve
  9% Somewhat disapprove
35% Strongly disapprove
  0% Not sure




Key:


<40% with Disapproval Higher: 40% Orange (50% if 60%-69% or higher disapproval, 90% if >70%); 90% red if >70%
40-43% with Disapproval Higher: 50% Yellow  
44% with Disapproval Higher: 40% Yellow  
45-49% with Disapproval Higher: 30% Yellow  
<50% with Approval Equal: 10% Yellow (really white)

<50%  Approval greater: 30% Green
50-55%: 40% Green
56-59%: 60% Green
60%+: 80% Green
DC, what else could you expect?


Months (All polls are from 2010):

A -  January     G -  July
B -  February   H -  August
C -  March        I -  September
D -  April          J  -  October
E -  May           K -  November
F -   June         L -   December

 

S - suspect poll (examples for such a qualification: strange crosstabs, likely inversion of the report (for inversions, only for polls above 55% or below 45%...  let's say Vermont 35% approval or Oklahoma 65% approval), or more than 10% undecided. Anyone who suggests that a poll is suspect must explain why it is suspect.

Partisan polls and polls for special interests (trade associations, labor unions, ethnic associations) are excluded.

Z- no recent poll

MY CURRENT PREDICTION OF THE 2012 PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION:




District of Columbia, assumed to be about a 90% win for Obama, 3                  
deep red                  Obama 10% margin or greater  153
medium red              Obama, 5-9.9% margin   52
pale red                   Obama, margin under 5%  119
white                        too close to call  17
pale blue                  Republican  under 5%   23
medium blue             Republican  5-9.9% margin  18
deep blue                 Republican over 10%   151  



44% approval is roughly the break-even  point (50/50) for an incumbent's win.  I add 6% for approval between 40% and 46%, 5% at 46%, 4% between 47% and 50%, 3% for 51%, 2% for 52% or 53%, 1% for 54% and nothing above 55% or below 40% for an estimate of the vote.

 This model applies only to incumbents, who have plenty of advantages but not enough to rescue an unqualified failure.

......



Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 50,948
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6098 on: September 10, 2010, 11:32:48 am »

CT (Rasmussen): 55-44
Logged
Special K
GWBFan
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 6,304


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6099 on: September 10, 2010, 11:35:18 am »

MY CURRENT PREDICTION OF THE 2012 PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION:



I really don't see how Obama loses PA as well as an EV in ME, yet wins GA, MO, VA and it's too close to call in NC.  There's just no way this scenario is going to play out.
Logged
Pages: 1 ... 239 240 241 242 243 [244] 245 246 247 248 249 ... 410 Print 
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length
Logout

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

© Dave Leip's Atlas of U.S. Elections, LLC