Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
February 19, 2020, 11:22:46 pm
News: 2020 Gubernatorial Predictions are now active.

  Atlas Forum
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2012 Elections
  The Official Obama Approval Ratings Thread
« previous next »
Pages: 1 ... 303 304 305 306 307 [308] 309 310 311 312 313 ... 410 Print
Author Topic: The Official Obama Approval Ratings Thread  (Read 1028379 times)
J. J.
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 32,912
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #7675 on: April 16, 2011, 09:32:12 am »

Rasmussen Obama (National)

Approve 46%, -2.

Disapprove 53%, +2.

"Strongly Approve" is at 21%, -2.  "Strongly Disapprove" is at 39%, +1.

Logged
zorkpolitics
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1,185
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #7676 on: April 16, 2011, 04:31:00 pm »

Looks like Obama's lame duck session inspired approval into favorable territory has finally ended. 
This is the first full week he has a net negative job approval (on the RealClear Average Job approval) since Early January.  Today he is at -2.2%.  The last 5 polls all have Obama with a negative Job Approval.
Logged
J. J.
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 32,912
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #7677 on: April 17, 2011, 10:10:05 am »

Rasmussen Obama (National)

Approve 48%, +2.

Disapprove 51%, -2.

"Strongly Approve" is at 21%, u.  "Strongly Disapprove" is at 37%, -2.


Logged
Dgov
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1,558
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #7678 on: April 17, 2011, 03:01:50 pm »

Obama's bounced back a bit in Gallup to 44-47

http://www.gallup.com/Home.aspx
Logged
J. J.
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 32,912
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #7679 on: April 18, 2011, 09:18:42 am »
« Edited: April 18, 2011, 09:20:25 am by J. J. »

Rasmussen Obama (National)

Approve 47%, -1.

Disapprove 52%, +1.

"Strongly Approve" is at 20%, -1.  "Strongly Disapprove" is at 37%, u.

There cannot be any question that, since 4/6, there has been a dramatic erosion of Obama's strongly approve numbers.  This has not been matched by major increases in his overall disapproval numbers.  His overall approval numbers are not dramatically lower.
Logged
Dgov
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1,558
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #7680 on: April 18, 2011, 01:06:08 pm »

Gallup's weekly numbers are up, and Obama has kept sliding with non-white voters.

http://www.gallup.com/poll/124922/Presidential-Approval-Center.aspx

He's now at 55% with them, down from 59% last week.  This represents the lowest he's ever been with them.  He's still at 86% with Blacks, but is now at 47% with Hispanics and probably lower than that with Asians and "others", continuing a trend that has lasted for about a month now.  His White numbers on the other hand, are still above his November 2010 lows of 33%, standing at 37%.

His numbers by age and region are roughly what you would expect, though he is now below 50% with under-30 voters, and below 40% in the "South".

For party affiliation and ideology however, he's actually up with both Independents and "True" Independents (though only at 40% and 36% respectively).  He's also up 3 points with Moderates, Moderate/Liberal Republicans, and Liberal Democrats.  However, he tanked hard with Conservatives (down 6 points), particularly Conservative Democrats (down 14 points) who now only give him 56% compared to around 70% for most of the last year.

Overall, he's at 43-48, which is around his November 2010 levels.  However, as noted above, these appear to be different people approving/disapproving compared to then.
Logged
Ben Romney
Hillary2012
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 395
Germany


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #7681 on: April 18, 2011, 05:20:40 pm »

North Carolina

Job Approval / Disapproval

Pres. Obama: 40 / 51 (chart)

Gov. Perdue: 33 / 52 (chart)

Sen. Burr: 39 / 26 (chart)

Sen. Hagan: 37 / 34 (chart


http://big.assets.huffingtonpost.com/8memo3.pdf
Logged
Southern Senator North Carolina Yankee
North Carolina Yankee
Moderators
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 44,607
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #7682 on: April 18, 2011, 05:41:51 pm »

lol, Perdue.

How nice of her to pull herself away from the horse races in KY long enough to tour some of the damage from the Tornadoes and to veto an extension of unemployment benefits.

Gotta love those optics. Tongue I wonder if Obama will shove her into a broom closet during the convention so as to not cause him any damage.

Hispanic % is kind of low among other things in this poll.
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 52,018
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #7683 on: April 19, 2011, 12:55:55 am »

North Carolina

Job Approval / Disapproval

Pres. Obama: 40 / 51 (chart)

Gov. Perdue: 33 / 52 (chart)

Sen. Burr: 39 / 26 (chart)

Sen. Hagan: 37 / 34 (chart


http://big.assets.huffingtonpost.com/8memo3.pdf

It`s older than the Elon poll though, so no change on pbrower's map.
Logged
pbrower2a
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 21,834
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #7684 on: April 19, 2011, 01:11:01 am »

Supposedly, PPP was going to poll North Carolina last weekend. If PPP doesn't throw it out, I would -- because of the tornadoes. You saw it here before I had any idea of the content of the poll. Many had concerns far more immediate than a Presidential election a year and a half year from now.

PPP cast off one Arizona poll due to the attempted assassination of Rep. Gabrielle Giffords, and I wouldn't be surprised if PPP suppresses this week's poll.  

Iowa will be available. 
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 52,018
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #7685 on: April 19, 2011, 01:23:24 am »

Weekly DailyKos/PPP/SEIU poll:

45% Approve
48% Disapprove

Public Policy Polling, 1003 Registered Voters, MoE 3.1%, Apr 14, 2011 - Apr 17, 2011

http://www.dailykos.com/weeklypolling/2011/4/14
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 52,018
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #7686 on: April 19, 2011, 01:34:16 am »

Obama is clearly under water, with 2 new polls out today:

Washington Post/ABC News

47% Approve
50% Disapprove

This Washington Post-ABC News poll was conducted by telephone April 14-17, 2011, among a random national sample of 1,001 adults, including users of both conventional and cellular phones. The results from the full survey have a margin of sampling error of plus or minus 3.5 percentage points. Sampling, data collection and tabulation by TNS of Horsham, Pa.

http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-srv/politics/polls/postpoll_04172011.html

McClatchy/Marist

44% Approve
49% Disapprove

This survey of 1,274 adults was conducted on April 10-14. Adults 18 years of age and older residing in the continental United States were interviewed by telephone. Telephone numbers were selected based upon a list of telephone exchanges from throughout the nation. The exchanges were selected to ensure that each region was represented in proportion to its population. To increase coverage, this land-line sample was supplemented by respondents reached through random dialing of cell phone numbers. The two samples were then combined.

Results are statistically significant within plus or minus 3.0 percentage points. There are 1,084 registered voters. The results for this subset are statistically significant within plus or minus 3.0 percentage points. There are 551 registered voters who completed the survey before Obama's April 13 speech and 470 registered voters who completed the survey after his speech. The results for these subsets are statistically significant within plus or minus 4.5 percentage points. The error margin increases for cross-tabulations.

http://www.miamiherald.com/2011/04/18/2174150/poll-best-way-to-fight-deficits.html
Logged
Dgov
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1,558
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #7687 on: April 19, 2011, 03:33:42 am »

Anyone else find it ironic that the only Poll Obama's above water in is the FOX news poll?

http://www.foxnews.com/projects/pdf/FoxNewsPollBudget.pdf

Though another trend I've noticed is that Obama seems to do much better on general polls (Approve/Disapprove) than on specific issue polls (Economy, Deficit, Jobs, etc.).  Anyone have thoughts on why this is?  Does he just do really well on the stuff that isn't polled?
Logged
Napoleon
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 14,909


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #7688 on: April 19, 2011, 03:37:49 am »

I approve of his more recent rhetoric but if polled I'd disapprove because of Libya.
Logged
pbrower2a
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 21,834
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #7689 on: April 19, 2011, 03:40:20 am »

Anyone else find it ironic that the only Poll Obama's above water in is the FOX news poll?

http://www.foxnews.com/projects/pdf/FoxNewsPollBudget.pdf

Though another trend I've noticed is that Obama seems to do much better on general polls (Approve/Disapprove) than on specific issue polls (Economy, Deficit, Jobs, etc.).  Anyone have thoughts on why this is?  Does he just do really well on the stuff that isn't polled?

FoX News might be slightly more reliable on news than typical Russian media, but that's about it.

Outperforming Congress in getting his point across? Check.

Foreign policy? Maybe when other things don't go well, that looks better -- as with Richard Nixon.  
Logged
J. J.
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 32,912
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #7690 on: April 19, 2011, 09:15:03 am »

Rasmussen Obama (National)

Approve 48%, +1.

Disapprove 51%, -1.

"Strongly Approve" is at 21%, +1.  "Strongly Disapprove" is at 38%, +1.

Logged
J. J.
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 32,912
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #7691 on: April 20, 2011, 09:18:48 am »
« Edited: April 20, 2011, 03:23:37 pm by J. J. »

Rasmussen Obama (National)

Approve 46%, -2.

Disapprove 53%, +2.

"Strongly Approve" is at 23%, +2.  "Strongly Disapprove" is at 39%, +1.

For the last fortnight, the Strongly Approve number has been below 24%.


Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 52,018
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #7692 on: April 20, 2011, 01:02:34 pm »

New Jersey (Quinnipiac):

Obama gets a 51 - 45 percent job approval. Garden State voters like Obama more than they like his policies.

http://www.quinnipiac.edu/x1299.xml?ReleaseID=1590
Logged
Dgov
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1,558
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #7693 on: April 20, 2011, 03:02:44 pm »

Obama's back down to 42-49 Today in Gallup.
Logged
pbrower2a
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 21,834
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #7694 on: April 20, 2011, 04:12:55 pm »

New Jersey (Quinnipiac):

Obama gets a 51 - 45 percent job approval. Garden State voters like Obama more than they like his policies.

http://www.quinnipiac.edu/x1299.xml?ReleaseID=1590




Key:


<40% with Disapproval Higher: 40% Orange (50% if 60%-69% or higher disapproval); 90% red if >70%
40-42% with Disapproval Higher: 50% Yellow  
43% to 45% with Disapproval Higher: 40% Yellow  
46-49% with Disapproval Higher: 30% Yellow  
<50% with Approval Equal: 10% Yellow (really white)

<50%  Approval greater: 20% Green
50-55%: 40% Green
56-59%: 60% Green
60%+: 80% Green


Months (All polls are from 2010 or 2011):

A -  January     G -  July
B -  February   H -  August
C -  March        I -  September
D -  April          J  -  October
E -  May           K -  November
F -   June         L -   December

 

S - suspect poll (examples for such a qualification: strange crosstabs, likely inversion of the report (for inversions, only for polls above 55% or below 45%...  let's say Vermont 35% approval or Oklahoma 65% approval), or more than 10% undecided. Anyone who suggests that a poll is suspect must explain why it is suspect.

Partisan polls and polls for special interests (trade associations, labor unions, ethnic associations) are excluded.

Z- no recent poll

Or here:

MY CURRENT PREDICTION OF THE 2012 PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION

(before any campaigning begins in earnest)Sad

assuming no significant changes before early 2012 -- snicker, snicker!




           
deep red                  Obama 10% margin or greater 124
medium red              Obama, 5-9.9% margin   97
pale red                   Obama, margin under 5% 57
white                        too close to call (margin 1% or less) 41
pale blue                  Republican  under 5% 40
medium blue             Republican  5-9.9% margin 32
deep blue                 Republican over 10%   54




44% approval is roughly the break-even  point (50/50) for an incumbent's win.  I add 6% for approval between 40% and 45%, 5% at 46% or 47%, 4% between 48% and 50%, 3% for 51%, 2% for 52% or 53%, 1% for 54% and nothing above 55% or below 40% for an estimate of the vote.

This model applies only to incumbents, who have plenty of advantages but not enough to rescue an unqualified failure.


But --

I have added a yellow category for states in which President Obama defeats all recognized major GOP nominees (so far Huckabee, Romney, Gingrich, Palin, and where available, Thune, Daniels, Christie, and Pawlenty). This will be a yellow category supplanting those in pale blue or and white.

I am also adding a green category for those states that would otherwise be in white, pale pink, or pale blue -- maybe medium blue, as I have seen only one state in that category -- in which who the nominee is matters. This can be rescinded as one of the potential nominees drops out formally or is rendered irrelevant in primaries. I am also adding a deep green color for states in which  only the 'right' nominee has a chance. So far I will label that as "H" for Huckabee or else Obama, "R" for Romney or else Obama, or other initials as appropriate for  anyone else (Gingrich? Daniels? Thune?) should such cases emerge. A tan color is used for a tie.




             
deep red                  Obama 10% margin or greater 124
medium red              Obama, 5-9.9% margin   97
pale red                   Obama, margin under 5% 57
white                        too close to call (margin 1% or less) 14
yellow                        close, but Obama wins against any major Republican candidate  10
Obama wins against all but Huckabee but ties Huckabee 15
Obama wins against all but  Romney 49
close, but Obama wins against a 'blunder' of a nominee 60
pale blue                  Republican  under 5% 6
medium blue             Republican  5-9.9% margin 3
deep blue                 Republican over 10%  54  
Logged
pbrower2a
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 21,834
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #7695 on: April 20, 2011, 10:27:30 pm »

It's not a matchup, and it's only a partial poll, but I think that it is a reasonably-safe
conclusion about Alaska: Sarah Palin could never beat President Obama in 'her' state. I would guess that President Obama has at least 40% approval in Alaska because even with 'oily' politics, the state isn't exactly Utah or Wyoming.

http://www.dittmanresearch.com/pdfs/Political%20Approval%20Ratings%20Statewide%20March%202011.pdf

Quote
You must be logged in to read this quote.



Key:


<40% with Disapproval Higher: 40% Orange (50% if 60%-69% or higher disapproval); 90% red if >70%
40-42% with Disapproval Higher: 50% Yellow  
43% to 45% with Disapproval Higher: 40% Yellow  
46-49% with Disapproval Higher: 30% Yellow  
<50% with Approval Equal: 10% Yellow (really white)

<50%  Approval greater: 20% Green
50-55%: 40% Green
56-59%: 60% Green
60%+: 80% Green


Months (All polls are from 2010 or 2011):

A -  January     G -  July
B -  February   H -  August
C -  March        I -  September
D -  April          J  -  October
E -  May           K -  November
F -   June         L -   December

 

S - suspect poll (examples for such a qualification: strange crosstabs, likely inversion of the report (for inversions, only for polls above 55% or below 45%...  let's say Vermont 35% approval or Oklahoma 65% approval), or more than 10% undecided. Anyone who suggests that a poll is suspect must explain why it is suspect.

Partisan polls and polls for special interests (trade associations, labor unions, ethnic associations) are excluded.

Z- no recent poll

Or here:

MY CURRENT PREDICTION OF THE 2012 PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION

(before any campaigning begins in earnest)Sad

assuming no significant changes before early 2012 -- snicker, snicker!




           
deep red                  Obama 10% margin or greater 124
medium red              Obama, 5-9.9% margin   97
pale red                   Obama, margin under 5% 57
white                        too close to call (margin 1% or less) 41
pale blue                  Republican  under 5% 40
medium blue             Republican  5-9.9% margin 32
deep blue                 Republican over 10%   54




44% approval is roughly the break-even  point (50/50) for an incumbent's win.  I add 6% for approval between 40% and 45%, 5% at 46% or 47%, 4% between 48% and 50%, 3% for 51%, 2% for 52% or 53%, 1% for 54% and nothing above 55% or below 40% for an estimate of the vote.

This model applies only to incumbents, who have plenty of advantages but not enough to rescue an unqualified failure.


But --

I have added a yellow category for states in which President Obama defeats all recognized major GOP nominees (so far Huckabee, Romney, Gingrich, Palin, and where available, Thune, Daniels, Christie, and Pawlenty). This will be a yellow category supplanting those in pale blue or and white.

I am also adding a green category for those states that would otherwise be in white, pale pink, or pale blue -- maybe medium blue, as I have seen only one state in that category -- in which who the nominee is matters. This can be rescinded as one of the potential nominees drops out formally or is rendered irrelevant in primaries. I am also adding a deep green color for states in which  only the 'right' nominee has a chance. So far I will label that as "H" for Huckabee or else Obama, "R" for Romney or else Obama, or other initials as appropriate for  anyone else (Gingrich? Daniels? Thune?) should such cases emerge. A tan color is used for a tie.




             
deep red                  Obama 10% margin or greater 124
medium red              Obama, 5-9.9% margin   97
pale red                   Obama, margin under 5% 57
white                        too close to call (margin 1% or less) 14
yellow                        close, but Obama wins against any major Republican candidate  10
Obama wins against all but Huckabee but ties Huckabee 15
Obama wins against all but  Romney 49
close, but Obama wins against a 'blunder' of a nominee 63
pale blue                  Republican  under 5% 6
medium blue             Republican  5-9.9% margin 3
deep blue                 Republican over 10%  54  

[/quote]
Logged
J. J.
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 32,912
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #7696 on: April 21, 2011, 10:03:51 am »

Rasmussen Obama (National)

Approve 46%, u.

Disapprove 53%, u.

"Strongly Approve" is at 25%, +2.  "Strongly Disapprove" is at 40%, +1.

Strongly Approve number has recovered slightly.
Logged
Mehmentum
Icefire9
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,497
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #7697 on: April 21, 2011, 11:58:17 am »

Quote
You must be logged in to read this quote.
Yeah, a 61% unfavorability rating doesn't bode well for reelection chances.
Logged
pbrower2a
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 21,834
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #7698 on: April 21, 2011, 02:14:41 pm »
« Edited: April 22, 2011, 09:09:47 pm by pbrower2a »

Iowa Survey Results
Q1 Do you approve or disapprove of President
Barack Obama’s job performance?
Approve .......................................................... 46%
Disapprove...................................................... 48%
Not sure .......................................................... 6%

Iowa is now a legitimate tossup.  Romney has a slight lead, and Huckabee nearly ties.



Key:


<40% with Disapproval Higher: 40% Orange (50% if 60%-69% or higher disapproval); 90% red if >70%
40-42% with Disapproval Higher: 50% Yellow  
43% to 45% with Disapproval Higher: 40% Yellow  
46-49% with Disapproval Higher: 30% Yellow  
<50% with Approval Equal: 10% Yellow (really white)

<50%  Approval greater: 20% Green
50-55%: 40% Green
56-59%: 60% Green
60%+: 80% Green


Months (All polls are from 2010 or 2011):

A -  January     G -  July
B -  February   H -  August
C -  March        I -  September
D -  April          J  -  October
E -  May           K -  November
F -   June         L -   December

 

S - suspect poll (examples for such a qualification: strange crosstabs, likely inversion of the report (for inversions, only for polls above 55% or below 45%...  let's say Vermont 35% approval or Oklahoma 65% approval), or more than 10% undecided. Anyone who suggests that a poll is suspect must explain why it is suspect.

Partisan polls and polls for special interests (trade associations, labor unions, ethnic associations) are excluded.

Z- no recent poll

Or here:

MY CURRENT PREDICTION OF THE 2012 PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION

(before any campaigning begins in earnest)Sad

assuming no significant changes before early 2012 -- snicker, snicker!




           
deep red                  Obama 10% margin or greater 124
medium red              Obama, 5-9.9% margin   97
pale red                   Obama, margin under 5% 57
white                        too close to call (margin 1% or less) 41
pale blue                  Republican  under 5% 40
medium blue             Republican  5-9.9% margin 32
deep blue                 Republican over 10%   54




44% approval is roughly the break-even  point (50/50) for an incumbent's win.  I add 6% for approval between 40% and 45%, 5% at 46% or 47%, 4% between 48% and 50%, 3% for 51%, 2% for 52% or 53%, 1% for 54% and nothing above 55% or below 40% for an estimate of the vote.

This model applies only to incumbents, who have plenty of advantages but not enough to rescue an unqualified failure.


But --

I have added a yellow category for states in which President Obama defeats all recognized major GOP nominees (so far Huckabee, Romney, Gingrich, Palin, and where available, Thune, Daniels, Christie, and Pawlenty). This will be a yellow category supplanting those in pale blue or and white.

I am also adding a green category for those states that would otherwise be in white, pale pink, or pale blue -- maybe medium blue, as I have seen only one state in that category -- in which who the nominee is matters. This can be rescinded as one of the potential nominees drops out formally or is rendered irrelevant in primaries. I am also adding a deep green color for states in which  only the 'right' nominee has a chance. So far I will label that as "H" for Huckabee or else Obama, "R" for Romney or else Obama, or other initials as appropriate for  anyone else (Gingrich? Daniels? Thune?) should such cases emerge. A tan color is used for a tie.




             
deep red                  Obama 10% margin or greater 124
medium red              Obama, 5-9.9% margin   97
pale red                   Obama, margin under 5% 49
white                        too close to call (margin 1% or less) 14
yellow                        close, but Obama wins against any major Republican candidate  10
Obama wins against all but Huckabee but ties Huckabee 15
Obama wins against all but  Romney 55
close, but Obama wins against a 'blunder' of a nominee 63
pale blue                  Republican  under 5% 6
medium blue             Republican  5-9.9% margin 3
deep blue                 Republican over 10%  54  

Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 52,018
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #7699 on: April 22, 2011, 12:38:32 am »

Wisconsin (Wisconsin Public Radio):

"Still, 52 percent said they approve of Obama. That's up from a 42 percent approval rating last fall."

http://www.dailyjournal.net/view/story/e9c17199b86c4dbcbb158ac816d00f66/WI--Poll-Approval-Ratings/
Logged
Pages: 1 ... 303 304 305 306 307 [308] 309 310 311 312 313 ... 410 Print 
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length
Logout

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

© Dave Leip's Atlas of U.S. Elections, LLC