Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
July 23, 2019, 02:01:20 am
News: 2019 Gubernatorial Predictions are now active

  Atlas Forum
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2012 Elections
  The Official Obama Approval Ratings Thread (search mode)
Pages: [1] Print
Author Topic: The Official Obama Approval Ratings Thread  (Read 1000191 times)
Lunar
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 30,422
Ireland, Republic of
« on: April 08, 2009, 03:43:01 pm »

what's a likely voter right now anyway?
Logged
Lunar
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 30,422
Ireland, Republic of
« Reply #1 on: April 08, 2009, 03:52:23 pm »

what's a likely voter right now anyway?

Someone likely to vote. Smiley

in the last election or in 2012?  And Rasmussen lacks the magic powers necessary to come up with any kind of reasonable voter model four years before an election occurs
Logged
Lunar
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 30,422
Ireland, Republic of
« Reply #2 on: April 08, 2009, 04:09:41 pm »

one of the biggest critiques of Rasmussen is that he uses far too tight LV screens way out before it's remotely possible to determine who the LV's are.  you should at least acknowledge this criticism if you are going to assert his superiority over other polls for an election four years away
Logged
Lunar
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 30,422
Ireland, Republic of
« Reply #3 on: April 08, 2009, 04:17:18 pm »

fair enough, he's a very credible pollster, especially with a few like Gallup wildly missing the need to have a more conservative voter turnout model in 2008
Logged
Lunar
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 30,422
Ireland, Republic of
« Reply #4 on: April 08, 2009, 06:11:31 pm »

His final nation poll was good, yes, but his state polls were pretty mediocre.

not really relevant if we're talking about a current national poll
Logged
Lunar
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 30,422
Ireland, Republic of
« Reply #5 on: April 24, 2009, 03:26:11 pm »



hmmm
Logged
Lunar
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 30,422
Ireland, Republic of
« Reply #6 on: April 24, 2009, 09:17:28 pm »

Gallup the outlier? Everything is trending down except them.

how the hell do you get that from the image I posted which you are responding to?  Did you turn your laptop upsidedown and are confused?

Logged
Lunar
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 30,422
Ireland, Republic of
« Reply #7 on: April 25, 2009, 08:00:54 pm »

Have you never seen Obama shortless?

enough said
Logged
Lunar
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 30,422
Ireland, Republic of
« Reply #8 on: April 28, 2009, 01:26:51 am »

NBC/WSJ is coming out tomorrow, yays
Logged
Lunar
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 30,422
Ireland, Republic of
« Reply #9 on: April 29, 2009, 01:14:38 am »

WSJ/NBC

Approve 61%
Disapprove 30%

http://online.wsj.com/public/resources/documents/WSJ_NewsPoll_042809.pdf

Is this honestly what Lunar was waiting for?

my professor runs that poll and I got a 26 page update of it that I have to read for class tomorrow ... and my question that I had proposed didn't get into the poll as I had a remote hope for.
Logged
Lunar
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 30,422
Ireland, Republic of
« Reply #10 on: April 29, 2009, 10:48:13 am »

WSJ/NBC

Approve 61%
Disapprove 30%

http://online.wsj.com/public/resources/documents/WSJ_NewsPoll_042809.pdf

Is this honestly what Lunar was waiting for?

my professor runs that poll and I got a 26 page update of it that I have to read for class tomorrow ... and my question that I had proposed didn't get into the poll as I had a remote hope for.

What was your question?

Just asking people if they feel that their tax rates have gone up over last year.
Logged
Lunar
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 30,422
Ireland, Republic of
« Reply #11 on: May 03, 2009, 12:34:40 pm »

maybe he should do what Blago can't and go on that reality show?
Logged
Lunar
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 30,422
Ireland, Republic of
« Reply #12 on: May 21, 2009, 06:00:24 pm »

Oklahoma. lol.

Seriously, I'm thinking right now what Sergeant Foley said about Oklahoma. 

Sgt Foley: "You a queer?"
Sid Worley: "Hell no sir!"
Sgt Foley: "Where you from, boy?"
Sid Worley: "Oklahoma City, Oklahoma, sir."
Sgt Foley: "Ah! Only two things come out of Oklahoma. Steers and queers."
Logged
Lunar
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 30,422
Ireland, Republic of
« Reply #13 on: May 22, 2009, 12:52:05 am »

That's a very hopeful map for Obama.

I agree. There's about a zero chance that Obama wins states like LA (lol), TN, KY, WV or the western district of NE. AR is also unwinnable. SD and ND are becoming more favorable, but still lean Republican. But a Huckabee has a greater chance to lose them than, let's say a Romney has.

You're wrong.  If Obama doesn't win all of those [if not more LOL] you can color me surprised.


You can choose the color you want too:
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_Crayola_crayon_colors
Logged
Lunar
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 30,422
Ireland, Republic of
« Reply #14 on: May 22, 2009, 11:11:17 pm »


Dude, your hate for Huckabee is blinding your judgement. Also you don't speak for mormons, you just speak for yourself. The fact is Huckabee would kill Obama in Utah and thats the bottom line.

Although that may be true...

"Don't Mormons believe that Jesus and the devil are brothers?"

óMike Huckabee, in an interview with New York Times magazine in response to a question on whether Mormonism is a religion or a cult. Huckabee said the quote was taken out of context, and later apologized to Romney.
Logged
Lunar
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 30,422
Ireland, Republic of
« Reply #15 on: May 23, 2009, 12:59:00 am »

Huckabee doesn't seem willing to compromise for political expediency, for better or for worse.  When it comes to not being super evangelical it's the latter.

Hell, he doesn't have to prove his social conservative credentials but every time he's been making the news the last few weeks it's been for that needless reason.
Logged
Lunar
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 30,422
Ireland, Republic of
« Reply #16 on: May 30, 2009, 05:09:46 pm »

I love how liberals hate Reagan, but always want to compare themselves to him.

Why not?  It's hard to deny that he was a successful politician that inspired a lot of people, was an effective communicator for his beliefs, and, despite being an ideologue, and won hella electoral votes what WHAAAT
Logged
Lunar
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 30,422
Ireland, Republic of
« Reply #17 on: May 31, 2009, 11:46:59 am »

thanks for another insightful contribution
Logged
Lunar
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 30,422
Ireland, Republic of
« Reply #18 on: March 28, 2010, 05:22:19 pm »

um, it's REALLY easy to tell what a really long link is.

If it's questionable, all you have to do is go"
Code:
[url=reallyLongLinkButI'mNotSureIfIt'sTooLongOfALinkMaybeIWillThinkAboutIt]SOURCE[/url]

If it's a grey zone area, why risk screw up everyone else's viewing experience?

Logged
Lunar
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 30,422
Ireland, Republic of
« Reply #19 on: March 28, 2010, 05:29:13 pm »
« Edited: March 29, 2010, 05:58:39 am by Lunar »

It's not scientific dude.  I'm sure you could research the exact amount of characters it takes to screw up the tables for 51% of forum members here, but are people going to count characters in their links?  

How about, if it's a long link, you use the URL code to shorten it so people's tables don't potentially get ruined?  If it's borderline, it's not a big deal either way because the worst case scenario is that you only screw up the tables slightly.  

Why are you trying to overthink this?
Logged
Lunar
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 30,422
Ireland, Republic of
« Reply #20 on: March 28, 2010, 05:36:08 pm »

okay, here's a compromise:

Rasmussen links ALWAYS destroy the tables.  Shorten them. 

Ignore everything else.

Logged
Lunar
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 30,422
Ireland, Republic of
« Reply #21 on: March 28, 2010, 06:52:39 pm »
« Edited: March 28, 2010, 07:11:34 pm by Lunar »

Rasmussen = too long.

That's all you gotta know in most cases.  

Rasmussen links are the only ones I've had to edit in the forum I moderate.


edit: I didn't really realize that this was so defined by browsers, I thought it was defined by screen resolution and window size (and perhaps the forum's code).  Perhaps I was way too antagonistic, and I'm sorry.  I love Chrome and Chrome is my baby, but when I used the same window in Firefox, it didn't have its tables screwed up.

But even in Firefox, the URL runs 3-4 lines long, it's pretty obviously a long URL.  Like, it's not hard to understand that when it runs the second and third line for you, for the rest of everyone else, it just pushes the tables rightward and screws up the entire readability of the page, right?  It's not like FireFox converts the URL into magic pixie dust.
Logged
Lunar
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 30,422
Ireland, Republic of
« Reply #22 on: April 02, 2010, 07:45:30 am »

Alabama was one of the strongest states for John McCain in 2008, and apparently a Senate seat is no sure hold for the Republicans.

This would be the point where you say "APRIL FOOLS" and we all have a good laugh.

If not, then... I suppose we all still get a good laugh.

This was the guy in previous months seriously arguing that DeMint's 2012 prospects are seriously dampened by his lack of certainty for reelection
Logged
Pages: [1] Print 
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length
Logout

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

© Dave Leip's Atlas of U.S. Elections, LLC