The Official Obama Approval Ratings Thread

[BlueSwan]

So basically everybody except Rasmussen has Obama with positive national numbers now:

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/other/president_obama_job_approval-1044.html

That's a nice boost and he could well get a further boost if he delivers a strong State Of The Union speech. He might see his best numbers in more than a year.

[BlueSwan]

Obamas approval numbers seem to be improving almost every day these days. Hopefully he can deliver a powerful SOTU speech to further improve his standing.

[BlueSwan]

How did Oklahoma City help Clinton's approvals?

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Quite a lot, as far as I remember.

[BlueSwan]

I wonder how the situation in Egypt will effect, if at all, his numbers.

I'd be very surprised if it impacted his numbers at all. Sadly, I'd imagine many (if not most) Americans don't even realize anything is happening there... and surely some of the Americans that do don't care about it.

Let's face it, how many Americans would even be able to point out Egypt on a map?

[BlueSwan]

I say mid-50's - if I had to pick a number then maybe 56%. I think prediction above 70% are quite ridiculous, but will happily eat my words if it happens.

[BlueSwan]

I'm a bit shocked that there aren't any new non-tracking polls out yet. You'd think the media would be ordering polls left and right these days.

[BlueSwan]

First non-tracking poll I've seen post-killing:

Washington Post/Pew Research gives him a 9 point bounce to 56%.

http://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/osama-bin-laden-killing-gives-obama-quick-but-limited-ratings-boost/2011/05/03/AFhxjegF_story.html

His approval for handling the threat of terrorism is now a ridiculously high 69% but he is still being held back to some extent by his economic numbers.

I would have expected a bigger bounce but let's see what some of the other polls say. I imagine he'll at least break 60% in some.

Well, I predicted exactly 56%, so I trust those numbers. ;-)

[BlueSwan]

Rasmussen Obama (National)

Approve 48%, -1.

Disapprove 51%, +1.

"Strongly Approve" is at 24%, -2.  "Strongly Disapprove" is at 37%, +1.

WTF?

/quote]

Indeed. Even I expected better numbers for Obama than this.

[BlueSwan]

Gallup:

Approve: 50 (+3)
Disapprove: 42 (-2)

Hardly earth-shattering.

[BlueSwan]

I was one of those predicting just a small and temporary bounce, but those Rasmussen numbers seem quite ridiculous.

[BlueSwan]

Gallup:

Approve: 52 (+2)
Disapprove: 40 (-2)

All three days of sampling now occured after the death of OBL.

[BlueSwan]

Decent bump so far. Imagine if the jobs report had been the initially reported 200k+ figure?