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Author Topic: The Official Obama Approval Ratings Thread  (Read 993194 times)
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« on: June 30, 2009, 03:34:12 am »

Clinton 1996:

Pennslyvania - +9
Florida - +6
Nevada - +1
Missouri - +6
New Mexico - +7
New Hampshire - +10
Ohio - +6
Arizona - +2

Gore 2000:

Pennslyvania - +4
Florida - -0.1
Nevada - -4
Missouri - -3
New Mexico - +0.1
New Hampshire - -1
Ohio - -3
Arizona - -6
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Phony Moderate
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« Reply #1 on: July 08, 2009, 02:26:57 pm »

Gallup:

Approve 56% (-2)
Disapprove 36% (+1)

both the worst ever for his presidency

56% was JFK's lowest approval rating.

I can see him having 45-55% approval ratings in 2012.
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« Reply #2 on: August 17, 2009, 03:21:23 pm »

So Obama's current approval ratings are Bush 2004-esque.
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« Reply #3 on: August 17, 2009, 03:38:27 pm »

So Obama's current approval ratings are Bush 2004-esque.

Squinting

Can you imagine him at 25% in November 2012? That'd be horrible...

Yes, but the level of horrible would be determined by who the Republican Nominee is....
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« Reply #4 on: August 18, 2009, 12:15:31 pm »

Todays's Gallup Poll:

Approve - 52%
Disapprove - 42%
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« Reply #5 on: August 18, 2009, 12:57:31 pm »

At this point, I think Obama's approval is somewhere in between Rasmussen and Gallup, tilting a little bit to Gallup....say, around Obama+7

Obama +7 (52-45)  is very close to the result of Election  2008. That's about 370 EV with the regional polarization of voting patterns that we now have.



Bush Approval Rating in 2004 Exit Poll:

Approve - 53%
Disapprove - 46%

Election Result:

Bush - 51% (286 ECV's)
Kerry - 48% (251 ECV's)
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« Reply #6 on: August 19, 2009, 04:43:55 pm »


Based on that approval rating, Obama would lose Florida by about 60%-40% if the election was held today.
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« Reply #7 on: August 19, 2009, 04:50:40 pm »

We also have to remember that the Baby Boomers are turning 60, so there will be a huge over-60 vote at the next election, which as we know, usually at least leans Republican.
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« Reply #8 on: August 20, 2009, 12:10:28 pm »

Gallup:

Approve - 51%
Disapprove - 42%
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« Reply #9 on: August 22, 2009, 04:24:17 pm »

My current prediction:

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« Reply #10 on: August 23, 2009, 12:14:47 pm »

Gallup:

Approve - 54%
Disapprove - 38%
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« Reply #11 on: August 24, 2009, 12:21:37 pm »

Gallup:

Approve - 52%
Disapprove - 40%
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« Reply #12 on: August 25, 2009, 12:32:29 pm »

Gallup:

Approve - 51%
Disapprove - 42%
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« Reply #13 on: August 26, 2009, 12:49:49 pm »

Gallup:

Approve - 51%
Disapprove - 44%
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« Reply #14 on: August 26, 2009, 05:01:55 pm »

Nebraska(Research 2000)

Favorable 36%
Unfavorable 61%

http://www.dailykos.com/statepoll/2009/8/19/NE/349

I'm not exactly suprised at that.
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« Reply #15 on: August 26, 2009, 05:55:41 pm »

Nebraska(Research 2000)

Favorable 36%
Unfavorable 61%

http://www.dailykos.com/statepoll/2009/8/19/NE/349
Taking the Age Wave into account, Obama should still be competitive in NE-02, and will get around 42-45% statewide.

You've bought into the ludicrous "age wave" theory? I'm not so sure I buy it considering I saw a poll on Facebook today with 70% of respondents (258,000) saying they would not want Obama reelected. Small snap shot, I know, but still.

I'm still going to go with the old age theory of approval ratings. If Obama has less than a 50% approval rating in a state, he probably will lose it. If his approvals are 36% in Nebraska, I have no idea why you'd think he'd get 42%-45% or so statewide. The old method has been true in the past, and I am not going to buy these age wave theories until they actually are proven to be true.

Barack Obama supporters on Facebook - 6,636,600
McCain/Palin 08 supporters on Facebook - 180,295
Ron Paul supporters on Facebook - 138,143

So the reason for Obama appearing so unpopular on Facebook is probably because most users on there dislike the President, whoever he/she is, as they see the President as an authority figure, and young people are known to rebel aganist authrority. Then again, Obama does have a lot more support than any other politician on there, so i dunno....
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« Reply #16 on: August 31, 2009, 03:20:40 pm »

Alan Keyes will be the next President of the United States of America.
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« Reply #17 on: August 31, 2009, 03:51:59 pm »

Does anyone else think that a Dennis Kucinich run is possible?
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« Reply #18 on: August 31, 2009, 04:33:59 pm »

The things being posted in this thread remind me of why no matter how far left I move on some issues, I will never be able to become a Democrat. A Corporate and theocratic state will come in 2012 because the election will be rigged? When someone basically comes out and says that the only legitimate elections are those won by Democrats, then I tune them out.

It's the ones after 2012 that would be rigged.

Wow. Congrats you reached my levels of stupidity.

Your opinion matters.
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« Reply #19 on: September 03, 2009, 12:05:12 pm »

Gallup:

Approve - 55%
Disapprove - 39%
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« Reply #20 on: September 03, 2009, 07:37:52 pm »

The ironic thing is that if McCain or Biden was President, they wouldn't be as popular as Obama, but they wouldn't be as unpopular either. Obama's supporters are like "GOOOO OBAMA!!!!!!!!! CHANGE THE WORLD!!!!!!!!!! CHANGE AMERICA!!!!!!! KICK THOSE REPUBLICAN ASSES", and the anti-Obama people are like "OBAMA IS A SOCIALIST!!!!!!!!!!! HE'S A TRAITOR!!!!!!!!! LIBERAL PUSSY!!!!!!!!!!!!!"

In fact, there's a lot of people on Youtube, Facebook, Twitter, MySpace etc who have created accounts solely based on thier love or hatred of Obama.

Why is this? Well, it's because Obama as a glamour President, a different President, by most people. Politicians like McCain and Biden are seen as normal, and boring, by most people.
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« Reply #21 on: September 04, 2009, 12:24:12 pm »

Gallup:

Approve - 55%
Disapprove - 38%
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Phony Moderate
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« Reply #22 on: September 25, 2009, 12:21:47 pm »

Gallup:

Approve - 50%
Disapprove - 42%
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« Reply #23 on: September 28, 2009, 03:55:57 pm »

I can't wait until 2012 when that damn Socialist gets voted out of office. His approvals will be 20% on election day. Starting on Jan 20, 2013, Ron Paul will bring Capitalism back to America.
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« Reply #24 on: October 31, 2009, 03:57:56 pm »

It's obvious that Coburn In 2012 is a fake account.
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