NY-20 Special Election (user search)
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Author Topic: NY-20 Special Election  (Read 179082 times)
JohnnyLongtorso
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,798
« on: January 23, 2009, 08:24:40 AM »
« edited: January 24, 2009, 05:36:23 PM by JohnnyLongtorso »
They'll just dismantle the district in after 2010 anyway, so who cares?

Edit: Happy now?
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JohnnyLongtorso
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,798
« Reply #1 on: January 28, 2009, 08:14:59 AM »
Quote from: Mr. Moderate on January 28, 2009, 12:53:13 AM
Given that they pull in $79,500 a year, I'd be surprised to see a State Senator commit political suicide over a seat in the U.S. House.  Not exactly a good time to be looking for a new job, especially if you're a Republican in New York.

Not necessarily: all he has to do is serve his two terms, retire when the district gets dismantled after the census, wait the appropriate amount of time and rake in the lobbyist/"consultant" bucks.
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JohnnyLongtorso
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,798
« Reply #2 on: February 01, 2009, 09:17:21 PM »
Dude's somehow come up with $200k on ActBlue already.
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JohnnyLongtorso
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,798
« Reply #3 on: February 02, 2009, 11:23:22 AM »
Paterson has to call a special election which would be 30-40 days after he calls it. Or something like that. Earliest time would be March, then.
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JohnnyLongtorso
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,798
« Reply #4 on: February 26, 2009, 06:53:35 PM »
You wanted excitement, here's, well, a poll. From Siena College:

Jim Tedisco (R) - 46
Scott Murphy (D) - 34

Tedisco's favorables are 47/20, Murphy's are 29/10.
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JohnnyLongtorso
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,798
« Reply #5 on: March 26, 2009, 07:28:52 AM »
Of course, if the deadline for military absentees is extended, we likely won't know who wins for at least a week or two.
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JohnnyLongtorso
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,798
« Reply #6 on: March 30, 2009, 06:34:57 AM »
I'll say Murphy by 0.4%.
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JohnnyLongtorso
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,798
« Reply #7 on: March 31, 2009, 07:28:59 PM »
Quote from: Lunar on March 31, 2009, 06:56:10 PM
Quote
You must be logged in to read this quote.

Why would Paterson be holding an event in Scott Murphy's hometown tomorrow?

Obviously he plans on appointing Congressman Murphy to something.
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JohnnyLongtorso
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,798
« Reply #8 on: March 31, 2009, 08:19:46 PM »
Quote from: VP Meeker on March 31, 2009, 08:18:04 PM
Remind me again which county Murphy is from?

Warren, I believe.
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JohnnyLongtorso
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,798
« Reply #9 on: March 31, 2009, 09:21:25 PM »
My calculations have it at 76,956 - 76,907 for Murphy, using the AP totals and calculating the difference between their results for Saratoga and the county results (which are all in).

Edit: which they've since updated. Never mind.
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JohnnyLongtorso
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,798
« Reply #10 on: March 31, 2009, 09:24:01 PM »
Has there been a special House election (barring at-large seats, where there may be more people than usual) with this high turnout before? 150,000+ votes is pretty impressive, considering 2006's general election turnout was about 220,000.
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JohnnyLongtorso
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,798
« Reply #11 on: March 31, 2009, 09:38:40 PM »
It's really hard to make any kind of political hay out of a race that was so ridiculously 50-50. Not that people won't try, but...
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JohnnyLongtorso
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,798
« Reply #12 on: April 03, 2009, 04:10:46 PM »

Boy, wouldn't Tedisco feel stupid then?
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JohnnyLongtorso
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,798
« Reply #13 on: April 15, 2009, 06:58:11 PM »
Quote from: Lunar on April 15, 2009, 06:54:31 PM
Gillibrand's ballot is valid too.

http://tpmdc.talkingpointsmemo.com/2009/04/new-york-case-law-says-gillibrands-ballot-is-valid-even-if-gop-claim-is-true.php

What matters is that she intended not to be in the district during election day when she requested the absentee, not whether she actually was.

Oh no, not voter intent again!
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JohnnyLongtorso
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,798
« Reply #14 on: April 20, 2009, 05:46:39 PM »

Has anyone told Tedisco that?
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JohnnyLongtorso
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,798
« Reply #15 on: April 22, 2009, 06:03:08 PM »
Quote from: ucscgaldamez on April 22, 2009, 05:50:15 PM
Murphy leads by 365.


Murphy 79, 951
Tedisco 79, 586


Essex and Warren county updates.

I think that if Tedisco drags this out it only hurts him in the long run (if he has intentions of running in '10).

He is just pathetic. It is time for him to move on.

He has NO CHANCE of winning. Give it up now. Why are Republicans wasting money on this?


More fuel for "don't let Democrats steal elections!!!!11" fundraising letters.
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JohnnyLongtorso
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,798
« Reply #16 on: April 23, 2009, 06:17:17 AM »
Quote from: RowanBrandon on April 22, 2009, 08:23:11 PM
Quote from: Verily on April 22, 2009, 06:21:47 PM
Quote from: RowanBrandon on April 22, 2009, 06:06:15 PM
Quote from: ucscgaldamez on April 22, 2009, 05:50:15 PM
Murphy leads by 365.


Murphy 79, 951
Tedisco 79, 586


Essex and Warren county updates.

I think that if Tedisco drags this out it only hurts him in the long run (if he has intentions of running in '10).

He is just pathetic. It is time for him to move on.

He has NO CHANCE of winning. Give it up now. Why are Republicans wasting money on this?


He's not wasting money. These ballots have not been counted yet. Don't you agree that all ballots should be counted?

Well, he should concede. That doesn't mean the rest of the ballots don't get counted. They counted the rest of the ballots in the Presidential election for over a month afterward even though McCain had the grace to concede when it was clear he'd lost.

Oh I absolutely agree. But to say that he is wasting money making these ballots get counted is just ludicrous.

Isn't he challenging the majority of the votes that haven't been counted yet?
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JohnnyLongtorso
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,798
« Reply #17 on: April 24, 2009, 08:28:21 PM »
Quote from: Made in the USA on April 24, 2009, 08:23:37 PM
Again, congratulatoins to Murphy.  Is the House finally at 435 members again?

Nope, Hilda Solis' seat is still vacant.
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