Obama vs Palin vs Feingold
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  Talk Elections
  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Election What-ifs? (Moderator: Dereich)
  Obama vs Palin vs Feingold
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Author Topic: Obama vs Palin vs Feingold  (Read 1165 times)
justfollowingtheelections
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« on: January 28, 2009, 12:32:51 PM »

Who wins in the following scenario:

Obama/ Biden
Palin/ Chambliss
Feingold/ Sanders

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JSojourner
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« Reply #1 on: January 28, 2009, 06:14:04 PM »

Who wins in the following scenario:

Obama/ Biden
Palin/ Chambliss
Feingold/ Sanders

Reply with maps.

That's a tough one to figure.  Would Feingold and Sanders siphon off enough of the more liberal Democrats to swing certain states to Palin?  Or would the fact that the Republican ticket consists of a politician with no brain and another with no sense of ethics just end up giving Obama 50% and Feingold 40%?
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Lief 🗽
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« Reply #2 on: January 28, 2009, 06:15:12 PM »

Obama would win, though due to vote splitting Palin would be close.
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RI
realisticidealist
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« Reply #3 on: January 28, 2009, 06:44:10 PM »



Obama 353
Palin 185
Feingold 0

Feingold keeps Obama back from a landslide victory.
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Fmr. Pres. Duke
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« Reply #4 on: January 28, 2009, 06:46:46 PM »



Obama 353
Palin 185
Feingold 0

Feingold keeps Obama back from a landslide victory.

It depends on Obama's approvals, but you're joking if you think he still wins the election by that large of a margin if there are two liberals running. Feingold would most certainly split the left vote in Wisconsin. No way Obama gets 40% there with him on the ballot.
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realisticidealist
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« Reply #5 on: January 28, 2009, 06:51:30 PM »



Obama 353
Palin 185
Feingold 0

Feingold keeps Obama back from a landslide victory.

It depends on Obama's approvals, but you're joking if you think he still wins the election by that large of a margin if there are two liberals running. Feingold would most certainly split the left vote in Wisconsin. No way Obama gets 40% there with him on the ballot.

First of all, the OP didn't specify the year or the conditions. So I went under the assumption that it was 2012 and that Obama was moderately successful. Chances are that a Feingold run would not be able to leach off a whole lot of a fairly popular incumbent president's support.

If Obama is unpopular, then Feingold would certainly doom his chances.
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Daniel Z
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« Reply #6 on: January 28, 2009, 08:21:05 PM »

Palin wins in a land slide with Finegold winning 5-8% of the vote coming almost completely at the expense of Obama.

Palin:~377
Obama:~161

-Electoral votes are not exact due to redistricting.
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justfollowingtheelections
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« Reply #7 on: January 29, 2009, 03:17:33 AM »



Obama 353
Palin 185
Feingold 0

Feingold keeps Obama back from a landslide victory.

It depends on Obama's approvals, but you're joking if you think he still wins the election by that large of a margin if there are two liberals running. Feingold would most certainly split the left vote in Wisconsin. No way Obama gets 40% there with him on the ballot.

First of all, the OP didn't specify the year or the conditions. So I went under the assumption that it was 2012 and that Obama was moderately successful. Chances are that a Feingold run would not be able to leach off a whole lot of a fairly popular incumbent president's support.

If Obama is unpopular, then Feingold would certainly doom his chances.

Let's assume that the elections took place today (or that the political environment is no different than it is today).
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justfollowingtheelections
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« Reply #8 on: January 29, 2009, 03:22:02 AM »

This board really underestimates Palin to an absurd degree.  Not saying she ever has a real chance to win the presidency, but she'd quite obviously win in this fantasy scenario.

I picked Palin/Chambliss because I thought that would be a duo that would alienate many moderates, therefore offsetting Obama's losses due to the Feingold/Sanders ticket.
But I'm surprised no one thinks Feingold would win any states.  Not even Wisconsin or Vermont?
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realisticidealist
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« Reply #9 on: January 29, 2009, 10:18:05 AM »



Obama 353
Palin 185
Feingold 0

Feingold keeps Obama back from a landslide victory.

It depends on Obama's approvals, but you're joking if you think he still wins the election by that large of a margin if there are two liberals running. Feingold would most certainly split the left vote in Wisconsin. No way Obama gets 40% there with him on the ballot.

First of all, the OP didn't specify the year or the conditions. So I went under the assumption that it was 2012 and that Obama was moderately successful. Chances are that a Feingold run would not be able to leach off a whole lot of a fairly popular incumbent president's support.

If Obama is unpopular, then Feingold would certainly doom his chances.

Let's assume that the elections took place today (or that the political environment is no different than it is today).

Obama is rather popular at the moment, so he would probably win very easily, Feingold or not.
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