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  Quinnipiac: Democrats take the lead in Ohio (search mode)
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Author Topic: Quinnipiac: Democrats take the lead in Ohio  (Read 5546 times)
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Cuivienen
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Political Matrix
E: 1.81, S: -6.78

« on: February 04, 2009, 11:33:32 pm »

That's not fair, Fisher and Brunner are already statewide elected officials

Of course, Portman should have national name recognition, too.

In reality, no more than 10% of the Ohio population has a clue who any of them are. Even if a lot want to express opinions anyway.
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Verily
Cuivienen
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 16,677


Political Matrix
E: 1.81, S: -6.78

« Reply #1 on: February 05, 2009, 12:40:06 am »

What are the chances that Taylor even runs, and would she have any chance or effect on the campaign at all?

I think she'd be a decent candidate to challenge Sherrod Brown if she doesn't, though it'd be tough if Obama was still popular in 2012.

Taylor would be a speed bump to Portman, but nothing more. Portman has complete establishment support and a wide and deep fundraising network. He also has no major political vulnerabilities for Taylor to exploit. In an actual primary, I would expect Portman to win around 65-30 with 5% scattering if not better.

Will she actually run? Probably not; she'll announce she's not running some time in the fall or winter as it becomes clear that she is simply uncompetitive in all primary polls.
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