The Institute of 2012 GOP nomination Intrade rankings

[Zarn]

Daniels was the guy I initially supported. Daniels beating out Santorum would be great.

[Keystone Phil]

I do enjoy the Daniels talk in this thread. "Ah, yes, if he jumped in and beat Santorum, that would be excellent! Then Santorum's a real loser!" Keep moving those goal posts.

[Zarn]

I do enjoy the Daniels talk in this thread. "Ah, yes, if he jumped in and beat Santorum, that would be excellent! Then Santorum's a real loser!" Keep moving those goal posts.

I wouldn't say a loser... more like an ass. His attitude has been terrible lately.

[Keystone Phil]

Like the attitude or hate it, he's been almost exactly the same throughout the campaign. Now people have to actually include him in conversations as more than just an also ran. I think that's what irritates people the most.

[Zarn]

Like the attitude or hate it, he's been almost exactly the same throughout the campaign. Now people have to actually include him in conversations as more than just an also ran. I think that's what irritates people the most.

No, he seemed a lot nicer before.

[TheGlobalizer]

Like the attitude or hate it, he's been almost exactly the same throughout the campaign. Now people have to actually include him in conversations as more than just an also ran. I think that's what irritates people the most.

The man, himself, irritates me the most.

[Mr. Morden]

Gingrich still surging.  Now the favorite to win South Carolina.

Up: Gingrich
Down: Romney

GOP nomination

Romney 79.8
Gingrich 15.9
Paul 3.7
Santorum 1.1

South Carolina

Gingrich 66.1
Romney 34.0

[© tweed]

my reaction upon going to Intrade just now: "what the fck"

[© tweed]

Grinchy up to 78.3 in SC, 35.0 in FL.  Game On!

[tmthforu94]

I would have made a lot of money this cycle if I knew how to use Intrade.

[Mr. Morden]

Up: Gingrich
Down: Romney

GOP nomination

Romney 71.4
Gingrich 22.0
Paul 4.0
Santorum 0.8

South Carolina

Gingrich 85.0
Romney 17.7

Florida

Romney 62.1
Gingrich 38.0

Nevada

Romney 81.1
Gingrich 18.0
Paul 5.8

What will the numbers look like in 24 hours?

[they don't love you like i love you]

I actually think Romney is slightly undervalued to win SC (emphasis on "slightly"), and a bit more undervalued to win the nomination.

[Grumpier Than Thou]

Nevada

Romney 81.1
Gingrich 18.0
Paul 5.8

lolno

[© tweed]

67-27.3 Romney in the nomination market.  a 4+ point swing in both stocks.  Gingrich in prohibitive favorite territory in SC (90) and Mitt a 3:2 favorite in FL

[Mr. Morden]

Up: Gingrich
Down: Romney

Romney 67.5
Gingrich 27.7
Paul 3.7
Santorum 1.7
Daniels 0.7

[Mr. Morden]

GOP nomination

Romney 69.0
Gingrich 27.0
Paul 3.5
J. Bush 1.0
Santorum 0.8

Florida

Romney 59.9
Gingrich 42.0

[Nichlemn]

SC results as they came in haven't budged Romney's nomination numbers, suggesting the results have been pretty much as expected.

[Mr. Morden]

Mitch Daniels now trading ahead of Santorum.

GOP nomination

Romney 66.6
Gingrich 24.7
Paul 3.0
Daniels 1.3
Santorum 0.9
J. Bush 0.5
Jindal 0.5

Florida

Gingrich 50.0
Romney 50.0

[Eraserhead]

Prediction: Romney falls below 55 if he loses FL (below 50 if he loses big). Gingrich, Daniels, Christie have big surges.

[© tweed]

Grinchy has swung into about a 3:2 favorite to win Florida now.

[© tweed]

Romney 62.0 - Gingrich 28.8 to be nominated.

[TheGlobalizer]

Mitch Daniels now trading ahead of Santorum.

If this thing becomes brokered, he absolutely should be ahead of Santorum and even Paul.  He's pretty much the best reasonably possible candidate for the GOP for 2012.

[Nichlemn]

Mitch Daniels now trading ahead of Santorum.

If this thing becomes brokered, he absolutely should be ahead of Santorum and even Paul.  He's pretty much the best reasonably possible candidate for the GOP for 2012.

Who would be the best possible candidate for the GOP (in terms of probability of winning?) Petraeus?

[Keystone Phil]

Mitch Daniels now trading ahead of Santorum.

If this thing becomes brokered, he absolutely should be ahead of Santorum and even Paul.  He's pretty much the best reasonably possible candidate for the GOP for 2012.

Oh wow! Even Paul! Because we know that if this ever got decided at a convention, Ron Paul would definitely be in the running at an event dominated by the party elites.

[TheGlobalizer]

On InTrade.

Perfect candidate?  Not sure.  Daniels is an excellent fit for the 2012 GOP.  For electability, I still think Gary Johnson would have destroyed Obama.  Needed some help on the presentation but the dude is pretty awesome.