The Institute of 2012 GOP nomination Intrade rankings

[California8429]

I'm surprised Thune is in 3rd place.  Newt won't run no matter what anyone thinks, he has too many personal issues and used to be known more for being jerkish than an executive leader.  Thune is a future leader but he is very green, like Obama was in 2008, so Thune will need a lot of breaks to beat the more campaign experienced and leadership in Romney. 

I think there is more appeal for a 2-term Governor like Huckabee in 2008, so Daniels has a chance but he doesn't want to run.  T-Paw is good but very boring.  There are some other 2-term governors and I think they have a likelier chance of beating Romney and Palin (who won't run) for the nomination.

Newt is running. The campaign is already in the works

[California8429]

Perry up to 12, Gingrich up to 5, Romney still at 68.

Cain is down to 4%

Those are the four most active markets at the time. So Cain's fall is Gingrich and Perry's rise (from the website)

[California8429]

Why the crap are people betting so much on Huntsman. They do realize he needs to win the REPUBLICAN primary right? The moderates have already thrown themselves behind Romney.

[California8429]

Are we being told Huntsman is the gainer here?

^

These betters clearly do not understand the politics of Herman Cain. His supporters are the most anti-Romney, anti-Huntsman (especially since he worked in Obama's administration)

[California8429]

That was the best analysis ever Morden

[California8429]

So this debate tomorrow is really it until Iowa? Barring some gaffe on the campaign or some other amazing thing happens to thoroughly shake up the race.

[California8429]

Someone made bank from Colorado