Franzl
Atlas Star
Posts: 22,254
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« on: March 04, 2009, 05:07:03 PM » |
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in 2004 as in 2008, I think it's for this reason:
exit polls tended to heavily overstate Democratic support in both elections....thereby making smaller Democratic wins seem like landslides...allowing them to make a projection. I think New Hampshire and Pennsylvania 2004 exit polls had Kerry by double digits.
Or this year, the exit polls had Obama by 15 in PA....5 more than he actually got.
On the other hand, the exit polls had McCain by 1 in South Dakota, I believe....and in Arizona, and even though neither was really close....they weren't able to project because of that.
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