New Poll: Christie Up 9!!

[Small Business Owner of Any Repute]

FDU is a terrible pollster.

Regardless, Corzine is in big trouble here. Big, big, big trouble.

Investment banker versus corruption fighter.  Trouble.  Big trouble.

You can all hide behind your preconcieved notions of New Jersey for so long until you realize that Corzine needs Christie to beat himself through bad campaigning and terrible fiscal ideas.  Christie really doesn't have a deep political record to latch on to and assail in the traditional way—most everything that people actually know about him is incredibly positive (unless you count the people who hate him simply because they "know" he's a Republican, a not-so-insignificant group).

I just really hope that Christie has half a clue at how to run the state.

[Small Business Owner of Any Repute]

I would dare say that Christie winning would be good for both parties down the road.

Well, it'd be bad for the Democrats because it could be spun as very bad news for them, especially considering that they are currently at a disadvantage in the two other big races in 2009, New York City and Virginia (although VA may change, we'll see).

No question, Democrats losing New Jersey is bad for Democrats at the decade level.  Though New Jersey has independent redistricting, the current State Legislature lines were drawn to favor Democrats, so perhaps this means the next set of lines will be more fair.  In any case, new lines mean a high number of retirements in 2013.

In any case, the main problem for New Jersey Republicans since 2001 has been the fact that they simply have no money and no major fundraiser to help level the field—the gap is surprisingly brutal.  With a GOP Governor, the party has a real shot to gain back ground they never should have lost in the first place.