Fivethirtyeight.com's performances (user search)
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Question: Do you consider fivethirtyeight.com as a reliable electoral projections website
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Author Topic: Fivethirtyeight.com's performances  (Read 9665 times)
albaleman
Sr. Member
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Posts: 2,212
United States


Political Matrix
E: -8.77, S: -4.52

« on: January 18, 2011, 06:41:35 PM »

Since the official rsults have now been published everywhere except in Alaska, here is the map showing 538.com's performance for Senatorial races.



The map indicates which party overperformed and by how many points. Grey means the difference between the forecast and the actual results is inferior to 1%. The 30% shade means between 1 and 2.5%, then between 2.5-5, 5-7.5, 7.5-10, and finally over 10%.


Interesting. It appears that Nate projected most races as closer than they actually were.
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