Presidential Results by Congressional District Project Now Complete

[minionofmidas]

Oooooh!

I just came onto my keyboard [/exagerrate].

[minionofmidas]

So, democrats won 15 more districts in the House elections that Obama did...

This is surprising how?

There still are more areas solidly Republican at the presidential level but ready to vote for Democrats locally or even congressionally than the other way round.
And McCain clearly overperformed compared to Generic Republican in 2008. And not just in the anti-Obama Swing areas (though there by most. Presumably.)

House Democrats whose districts went for McCain:

McMahon, Massa (NY)
Dahlkemper, Altmire, Carney, Murtha, Holden (all in PA... most of these very close)
Wilson, Boccieri, Space (OH)
Ellsworth, Hill (IN 8 and 9 - both close)
Peterson (MN 7)
Skelton (MO 4)
Pomeroy, Herseth (Dakotas)
Kratovil (MD 1)
Perriello, Boucher (VA)
both WV Democrats
McIntyre, Shuler (NC, both close)
Spratt (SC 5)
Marshall (GA
Boyd, Kozmas (FL - one blue dog, one scandal destroyed incumbent in a close district)
Chandler (KY 6)
Davis, Gordon, Tanner (TN)
Bright, Griffith (AL)
Childers, Taylor (MS)
all 3 AR Democrats
Melancon (LA 3)
Boren (OK 2)
Edwards (TX 17)
Minnick (ID 1)
Salazar, Markey (the two vast districts in CO, both close)
Teague (NM 2, close)
Kirkpatrick, Mitchell, Giffords (AZ... and given how similar areas in other states swung, possibly all three can be attributed to a Home State Effect for McCain)
Matheson (UT 2)

House Republicans whose district went for Obama

McHugh (NY 23)
LoBiondo, Lance (NJ)
Gerlach, Dent (PA)
Tiberi (OH 12)
Roskam, Kirk, Biggert, Manzullo (IL... just a tiny bit more of a swing and McCain would have been reduced to one district)
Camp, Upton, Rogers, McCotter (MI)
Ryan, Petri (WI)
Paulson (MN 3)
Latham (IA 4)
Terry (NE 2)
Castle (DE)
Forbes, Wolf (VA)
Young, Ros Lehtinen (FL)
Cao (LA 2)
Lungren, Gallegly, McKeon, Dreier, Calvert, Bono, Campbell, Bilbray (all in CA - a state where McCain probably did worse than Generic R. Almost all very close, mind)

[minionofmidas]

Royer: I'm not 100% sure on what you mean by "notional" in this context, but to confirm, the numbers on the chart for the 2000 election reflect the district boundaries that came into being after states created new maps after the 2000 census. This can be confirmed by the fact that brand new districts like NC-13 are shown with numbers. (If we were using pre-2002 district lines, NC-13 would be empty because it simply didn't exist.)

The same is also true for GA and TX, the two states which did mid-decade redistricting.

So are they the 2000 GA and TX results those for the current districts, or for the post-2002 districts? That was his question - your wording wasn't clear. Though the TX results make it obvious that it's the former, really. (By notional, he means that the districts didn't actually exist at the time of the election. The term is somewhat out of place here as these districts aren't used for presidential elections anyways.)

[minionofmidas]

Pretty ridiculous how "packed" Democrats are. Obama had 26 districts where he won at least 80% of the vote. McCain had 0.

"Gerrymandering doesn't favor republicans", eh Franzl ?

Some of these are some of the most "natural", reasonable districts in the US. Not all, of course.