What was your final map?
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
April 16, 2024, 02:36:53 AM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  U.S. Presidential Election Results
  2008 U.S. Presidential Election Results (Moderator: Dereich)
  What was your final map?		 « previous next »
Pages: [1] 2 3
Author Topic: What was your final map?  (Read 19237 times)
You kip if you want to...
change08
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,940
United Kingdom
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« on: April 08, 2009, 03:11:46 PM »
How did you expect things to go on November 4th? Discuss with maps.


My final map was this:


Obama - 311 EV
McCain -227 EV

I had Indiana going for McCain all the way through the campaign and nearly every polls had it at about McCain +4. I'd had North Carolina flipping all the way through the campaign, but I thought it would go narrowly to McCain in the end as I thought he had the momentum there in the last week. The same story with Florida.
Logged
minionofmidas
Lewis Trondheim
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,206
India


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1 on: April 08, 2009, 03:40:23 PM »
You can still see many people's final predictions in the relevant section of the site. Or even in the little icons on the left.
Smiley

Here's mine - the confidence map, of which I've more reason to be proud than the percentages/winners one.
Logged
Kaine for Senate '18
benconstine
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 30,329
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2 on: April 08, 2009, 03:43:11 PM »
Logged
Antonio the Sixth
Antonio V
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,061
United States


Political Matrix
E: -7.87, S: -3.83

P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3 on: April 09, 2009, 12:45:17 AM »


Indiana was a surprise.
Logged
Verily
Cuivienen
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 16,663


Political Matrix
E: 1.81, S: -6.78

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4 on: April 09, 2009, 09:29:23 AM »


Not bad, but not great. My percentages map did a lot worse. (I predicted both Ohio and North Carolina to go Republican.)
Logged
Ronnie
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,993
United States
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #5 on: April 09, 2009, 01:02:39 PM »


Obama: 364
McCain: 174
Logged
Starbucks Union Thug HokeyPuck
HockeyDude
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 11,376
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6 on: April 09, 2009, 01:25:08 PM »


Missed all three of the closest (MO, IN, NC)

Percentages were great tho, I only missed KY (which I thought would be McCain >60%) and Oklahoma (thought would be McCain >70%)
Logged
Smash255
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 15,448


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #7 on: April 09, 2009, 02:21:33 PM »
Was off on Missouri and NE-2
Logged
Keystone Phil
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 52,607


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #8 on: April 09, 2009, 03:43:58 PM »
I'm pretty sure I had this...



Obama - 291
McCain - 247


Missed OH, FL, NC, IN and NE 2
Logged
tmthforu94
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 22,402
United States


Political Matrix
E: -0.26, S: -4.52

P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #9 on: April 09, 2009, 04:06:19 PM »
I'll easily admit, I thought McCain was going to win, even on Election Day.

McCain-277
Obama-261
I missed Colorado, NE2, Pennyslvania, Ohio, Indiana, North Carolina, and Florida.
Logged
CultureKing
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,249
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #10 on: April 09, 2009, 06:29:39 PM »
What I got wrong: NE2, Montana (that was my prediction for a big upset of the night, too bad I didn't go with IN), Indiana and Missouri.

My EV total was off by 4. On the bright side of things I only got 6 percentages wrong including the 4 mistakes mentioned earlier. The two in addition I got wrong: Alabama and Idaho.
Logged
JohnnyLongtorso
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,798


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #11 on: April 11, 2009, 11:34:48 AM »


Like many others, I whiffed Indiana, Missouri and NE-02 on the predictions.
Logged
Nym90
nym90
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 16,260
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.55, S: -2.96

P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #12 on: April 11, 2009, 12:12:01 PM »
I got Indiana and NE-02 wrong. I got a small dose of Jsojourner's pessimism at the last moment.
Logged
RIP Robert H Bork
officepark
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 9,030
Czech Republic


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #13 on: April 11, 2009, 02:31:17 PM »
Quote from: Romney/Bachmann`12 on April 09, 2009, 04:06:19 PM
I'll easily admit, I thought McCain was going to win, even on Election Day.

McCain-277
Obama-261
I missed Colorado, NE2, Pennyslvania, Ohio, Indiana, North Carolina, and Florida.



Obama wins VA but not PA?
Logged
You kip if you want to...
change08
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,940
United Kingdom
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #14 on: April 11, 2009, 02:47:22 PM »
Quote from: I approve this message on April 11, 2009, 02:31:17 PM
Quote from: Romney/Bachmann`12 on April 09, 2009, 04:06:19 PM
I'll easily admit, I thought McCain was going to win, even on Election Day.

McCain-277
Obama-261
I missed Colorado, NE2, Pennyslvania, Ohio, Indiana, North Carolina, and Florida.



Obama wins VA but not PA?

Obama was doing really well in VA and McCain was campaigning in PA practically everyday.
Logged
tmthforu94
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 22,402
United States


Political Matrix
E: -0.26, S: -4.52

P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #15 on: April 11, 2009, 04:51:18 PM »
Quote from: reelectin2012 on April 11, 2009, 02:47:22 PM
Quote from: I approve this message on April 11, 2009, 02:31:17 PM
Quote from: Romney/Bachmann`12 on April 09, 2009, 04:06:19 PM
I'll easily admit, I thought McCain was going to win, even on Election Day.

McCain-277
Obama-261
I missed Colorado, NE2, Pennyslvania, Ohio, Indiana, North Carolina, and Florida.



Obama wins VA but not PA?

Obama was doing really well in VA and McCain was campaigning in PA practically everyday.

Exactly what I was going to say. It was a longshot, I know.
Logged
Daniel Z
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 785
Switzerland


Political Matrix
E: 1.55, S: -5.91

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #16 on: April 11, 2009, 06:52:37 PM »

Obama: 338
McCain: 200

Confidence

Obama: 264
McCain: 174
Toss: 100
Logged
Frozen Sky Ever Why
ShadowOfTheWave
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,633
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #17 on: April 12, 2009, 02:30:08 AM »
I had Missouri going for Obama, and Indiana going for McCain.
Logged
War on Want
Evilmexicandictator
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,643
Uzbekistan


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -8.00

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #18 on: April 12, 2009, 02:39:47 AM »
My final map was this(not the one in my prediction):
Logged
pbrower2a
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 26,858
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #19 on: April 27, 2009, 07:39:47 AM »




I thought that Montana would go for Obama, and switched Missouri and North Carolina. I got NE-02 and Indiana right, and thought that Florida, Georgia, and Ohio would be closer than they were.

I knew that Obama had the election won once McCain made his quixotic effort to win over Pennsylvania after seeing similar efforts prove counterproductive in Michigan (which is much like Pennsylvania in its politics), Minnesota, and Wisconsin.

In any event McCain was close to winning until the real estate and financial bubbles imploded on his campaign. 
Logged
the artist formerly known as catmusic
catmusic
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,180
United States


Political Matrix
E: -7.16, S: -7.91

P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #20 on: May 12, 2009, 08:48:12 PM »
« Edited: May 19, 2009, 02:58:59 PM by catmusic »


Confidence: (green = tossup)
Logged
RIP Robert H Bork
officepark
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 9,030
Czech Republic


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #21 on: May 13, 2009, 09:56:12 AM »
« Edited: June 17, 2009, 05:16:07 PM by SayNoToRomney »
Prediction Map:



Confidence Map:
Logged
Senator Robert A. Taft
Mr. Republican
Rookie
**
Posts: 74
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #22 on: June 07, 2009, 09:48:36 PM »


Confidence Map:
Logged
pogo stick
JewishConservative
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,429
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #23 on: June 07, 2009, 10:04:50 PM »


Hey, I was desperate
Logged
Mechaman
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,791
Jamaica
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #24 on: June 07, 2009, 11:50:22 PM »
« Edited: June 07, 2009, 11:52:06 PM by Mechaman »
I thought it was going to be a blowout:



Dem: 405
Rep: 133

I kind of expected all of the GOP's negative campaigning to backfire on them. I was kind of right but sort of wrong at the same time.
Logged
Pages: [1] 2 3  
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.071 seconds with 13 queries.