ARG says Kerry +3

[Friar]

John Kerry and George W. Bush remain tied among all voters nationwide, with Kerry at 48% and Bush at 45%.

With Ralph Nader on the ballot, Kerry is at 47%, Bush is at 44%, and Nader is at 2%.

Among likely voters, Kerry is at 47% and Bush is at 46% in a two-way ballot and Kerry is at 46% and Bush is at 46%, with Nader at 2%, in a three-way ballot.

See the results among registered voters from the October 2-4 survey at 2004 Presidential Ballot.

http://www.americanresearchgroup.com

[The Vorlon]

Among registered voters considered likely to vote in November, Kerry is at 47% and Bush is at 46% in a two-way ballot. With Nader in the race, Kerry is at 46% and Bush is at 46% among likely voters and Nader is at 2%.

[ATFFL]

This is good news for Republicans, considering ARGs history.

[Friar]

Just to add:

Voter ID:

Republicans: 35
Democrats: 38
Independents: 27

Seems like democrats are backing Kerry as much as republicans are backing Bush. Kerry leads among independents by 4-5 points.