Capturing bin Laden is no guarantee for a long term bounce for Bush.
Firstly it is a bit late...he should have been caught 2 years ago at Tora Bora
Secondly even if the voters think Bush a 'war victor' that doesnt translate into votes (just ask his Dad and Winston Churchill)
Thirdly...its still the economy stupid
Ironically....I think the thing that would assure a Bush reelection would be another major terrorist attack. This would confirm that the war on terror is still ongoing, and it would make people wary of making any big change.
Yeah, like I said, Osama would have to be caught a week or two before the election, not months before. And yes another terrorist attack would help as well. Btw, the economy is great - what you mean is its 'jobs'.