National Presidential Primary County and State Maps (1912-2020) (user search)
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  National Presidential Primary County and State Maps (1912-2020) (search mode)
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Author Topic: National Presidential Primary County and State Maps (1912-2020)  (Read 319506 times)
cinyc
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« on: March 11, 2012, 07:24:57 PM »
« edited: March 11, 2012, 11:09:13 PM by cinyc »

Per the Fairbanks Daily News-Miner, Santorum won the North Pole, Alaska house district initially given to Gingrich.  The vote was Santorum 148, Paul 123, Romney 96 and Gingrich 52.
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cinyc
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« Reply #1 on: May 22, 2016, 01:59:47 PM »
« Edited: May 30, 2016, 03:27:40 PM by cinyc »

Official results for New York City 2016 Republican Primary by Precinct.  The NYC Board of Elections released Carson's numbers, so I've included him, too, even if his votes didn't count.  Per the standard Atlas colors, Trump is in Orange, Kasich in Red, Cruz in Yellow/Gold, Carson in Purple using standard Atlas gradation:

Manhattan:


Staten Island:


Brooklyn & Queens:


Bronx:


I've been playing around with CartoDB.com, which is where the maps come from this time instead of my usual MapWindowGIS. There is a  zoomable maps of the winner of each precinct here:
Winner Map.

I also made heat maps for each of the four candidates, showing their percentage in each precinct.  These use the standard Atlas color breaks for the respective colors of each candidate:
Trump
Kasich
Cruz
Carson

I also made two maps of the total votes cast in the Republican Primary.  This more or less correlates with where the white ethnics live in NYC:
Heat Map (7 breaks)
Bubble Map

Democratic Primary results forthcoming later this week.
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cinyc
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« Reply #2 on: May 22, 2016, 05:10:34 PM »
« Edited: May 30, 2016, 03:28:23 PM by cinyc »

Here's the Democratic side in NYC:

Manhattan:


Bronx:


Brooklyn & Queens:


Staten Island:


The CartoDB map is available here:
NYC Democratic Primary

I've also made CartoDB heat maps for Sanders and Clinton percentages, here:
Clinton
Sanders

The total Democratic Votes Cast per Precinct map is available here.  They looks much different than the Republican maps.  Democrats are everywhere in NYC!:
Bubble Map
Heat Map
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cinyc
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« Reply #3 on: May 22, 2016, 10:25:43 PM »
« Edited: May 22, 2016, 10:28:32 PM by cinyc »

cinyc, is it safe to assume most of that yellow in the Republican map is Cruz? The keys for 10-30% Trump and 50-70% Cruz look very similar.

Yes, the yellow/gold on the map is Cruz.  I probably shouldn't have included the 10-20% colors in the key - it's mathematically unlikely for someone to win a precinct with that low a percentage because there were no write-ins.

You can check the actual vote numbers by clicking on the precincts on the CartoDB map I linked above.  Wincode there is just the color code plus the percentage of the vote received.  (I'm still learning how to use that website - I think I added a legend to the Republican Primary Map that sort of works now).

Choosing orange, yellow and red as the three candidate colors is kind of a bad idea due to bleed, but that's what Atlas has chosen for these candidates.  Blue, yellow and red would have been better, but the field was larger at one time, and Rubio got blue (or was it green?).
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cinyc
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« Reply #4 on: May 26, 2016, 11:06:33 PM »

2016 Democratic Primary in Whatcom County Washington, aka the beauty pageant:



Areas that you have to drive through Canada to get back into the U.S. love Hillary.  (Point Roberts)  I wonder if she won the Northwest Angle of Minnesota  - though we'll probably never know, since Minnesota held a caucus and I doubt there was a caucus location there.
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cinyc
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« Reply #5 on: May 30, 2016, 03:30:38 PM »
« Edited: May 30, 2016, 03:33:39 PM by cinyc »

New York City amended their results last week.  The changes mainly affected Queens, but there were some changes in Brooklyn, too.  I updated the Brooklyn/Queens maps upthread and on CartoDB.

I really didn't see much of a major change, though.  You can compare the old and new maps by searching for Brooklyn in the gallery.
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cinyc
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« Reply #6 on: May 30, 2016, 06:06:54 PM »
« Edited: May 30, 2016, 06:13:31 PM by cinyc »

New York City amended their results last week.  The changes mainly affected Queens, but there were some changes in Brooklyn, too.  I updated the Brooklyn/Queens maps upthread and on CartoDB.

I really didn't see much of a major change, though.  You can compare the old and new maps by searching for Brooklyn in the gallery.

What effect did those changes have? Did Clinton and Trump's leads grow or shrink at all?

Not by much.  

On the Democratic side, Clinton lost 0.05 points.  691 fewer votes were included in the amended count.

On the Republican side, only Cruz lost more than a hundredth of a point - and he only lost 0.011 points.  Trump gained about 0.007 points, and Kasich 0.005 points.  641 fewer votes were counted.

It could have changed the results in some precincts by more - but I couldn't pick any significant changes out when eyeballing the two maps.
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cinyc
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« Reply #7 on: May 30, 2016, 06:50:56 PM »
« Edited: May 30, 2016, 07:11:05 PM by cinyc »

Clinton was also on the border of 60% in Brooklyn and Manhattan and bordering 70% in the Bronx. Did she cross any 60%s or 70%s because of the small changes? I'm asking because those are markers on the county-level maps, so it would change how those look.

The Bronx and Manhattan didn't change at all from the "final" official results, and Brooklyn only had a few minor precinct changes.  Most of the (presumably) errors were in Queens.  Here's Clinton's percentage total by borough in to the tenth of a percentage:

Manhattan 66.0%
Brooklyn 59.1%
Queens 61.7%
Bronx 69.6% (rounded up from 69.59%)
Staten Island 53.2%
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cinyc
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« Reply #8 on: June 08, 2016, 06:45:33 PM »

Puerto Rico just finalized their results.  Here is a map of the Puerto Rico Democratic Presidential Primary by Senate District:



Vieques and Culebra are in the Carolina VII Senate district, I think.

They also released precinct info, so I might be able to make a map of whatever geography the mega-precincts are from if I can find the PR County shapefile.
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cinyc
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« Reply #9 on: June 08, 2016, 07:02:34 PM »


It looks like Clinton won some precincts on the wealthier west side of Rapid City and probably the wealthy Colonial Pine Hills CDP in unincorporated Pennington County, and Sanders won some precincts in the northern and western parts of Sioux Falls.  Southern and eastern Sioux Falls put Clinton over the top in Minnehaha and Lincoln Counties.
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cinyc
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« Reply #10 on: June 08, 2016, 10:34:17 PM »

This might help with the precincts results: http://ceepur.org/es-pr/Eventos%20Electorales/Documents/CentrosRepublicanas.pdf

EDIT: I'm getting something like this for the municipio results:



Thanks!  I'm getting no results at all in precincts 50 (Maricao), 86 (San Lorenzo (part)), 90 (Las Piedras (part)) and 92 (Maunabo).  Are the geographies in parenthesis muncipios or should there be two grey areas on your map?

My attempts to turn an image of the precincts map from the data for the Puerto Rican local party primaries into a shapefile so far have been met with little success. 
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cinyc
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« Reply #11 on: June 09, 2016, 09:17:21 PM »

Assuming the 2010 Census VTD shapefile is somewhat correlated to 2016 precincts, here's what I'm getting as a precinct map for Puerto Rico:



Light gray means there were zero votes cast in that precinct, according to the latest results.

It sort of matches realistic idealist's municipio map, so it's probably close to right.
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cinyc
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« Reply #12 on: October 20, 2016, 03:29:41 PM »

Thanks for the New York maps.

Yellow (Cruz) on the New York state Republican map might as well be renamed "where the Orthodox Jewish voters and miscellaneous low-Republican turnout minority (largely Hispanic) voters live", at least Downstate.  Downstate red (Kasich) probably correlates well with income, at least in NYC and Westchester.  Not so much on Long Island, where there is comparatively little red.  I'm surprised the North Shore of Long Island doesn't mirror Westchester in that regard.
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