Canadian federal polling division files
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Author Topic: Canadian federal polling division files  (Read 167764 times)
the506
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« Reply #650 on: February 04, 2010, 07:15:15 PM »

Onto Quebec now....

Manicouagan:

There was also a reserve just east of Sept-Iles that voted Liberal.

Portneuf-Jacques Cartier...Andre Arthur's riding:


Trois-Rivieres area:

All the polls that were cut off voted Bloc. The inset in the top left is part of Saint-Maurice-Champlain...I have no idea how the hell that one poll voted Green....there were only 20 votes in that poll and the Green candidate got 10. Doesn't look like anyone even lives there on my road map.




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Linus Van Pelt
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« Reply #651 on: February 04, 2010, 11:40:10 PM »

Great - I look forward to the rest!

Do you know what's up in Madawaska? I can understand why Acadians here would be more conservative than on the coast because they don't live off EI during the fishery off-season, but why the sharp divide within the region?

Those Liberal fishing villages at the east end of Manicouagan I believe are Anglo areas, more like the Atlantic provinces than Quebec culturally, as are the Conservative islands at either end of the Madeleines.
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the506
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« Reply #652 on: February 05, 2010, 07:56:58 AM »

Honestly, I can't explain those Tory enclaves in Madawaska County...other than long-standing tradition. There's a lot of "I vote for party X because my father did and my grandfather did, etc, etc" in rural Atlantic Canada, even if they don't agree with them on the issues.

The best example I can think of are the towns of Kedgwick and St-Quentin, in western Restigouche County. Kedgwick always votes Liberal and St-Quentin always votes Tory, even though the demographics are exactly the same. The old provincial riding of Restigouche West was centered on those two towns, and during the 1987 McKenna sweep it was the closest race - because St-Quentin still didn't give up its blue roots.

Now, that said, Bernard Valcourt was from the Edmundston area, and Percy Mockler (senior Lord cabinet minister and current senator) is from St-Leonard which also voted Tory, but there's gotta be more to it than that.
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the506
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« Reply #653 on: February 05, 2010, 05:14:38 PM »

More Quebec:

Megantic-L'Erable:



Drummond:

(Also note the odd NDP poll next door in Richmond-Arthabaska....)


Compton-Stanstead:



Brome-Missisquoi and Shefford:



Beauharnois-Salaberry and Vaudreuil-Soulanges:



Argenteuil-Papineau-Mirabel:


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« Reply #654 on: February 05, 2010, 05:18:12 PM »

Is the Green poll in Granby near the zoo by any chance?

(Great maps, btw. Can't wait for the ON ridings)
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minionofmidas
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« Reply #655 on: February 06, 2010, 05:47:23 AM »

What's that Liberal place on the Megantic-L'Erable map?
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MaxQue
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« Reply #656 on: February 06, 2010, 02:25:10 PM »

So, green poll in Vaudreuil-Soulanges is in Hemmingford, a little town whose main attraction is well-known "Parc Safari", a zoo where people are in their cars and animals around them.

Green poll in Granby is next to the Granby zoo, yes.

The liberal city on lower-left on Mégantic-L'Érable map and right of the Drummond map is in the Richmond-Arthabaska riding. It is the city of Richmond, who has a very big Irish community.

The NDP poll up in the map of Drummond is in Richmond-Arthabaska. It is in the town of Sainte-Clothilde-de-Horton (St. Clothilde of Horton). The NDP candidate in Richmond-Arthabaska was living in this town.
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mileslunn
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« Reply #657 on: February 06, 2010, 04:34:11 PM »

I really look forward to seeing Ontario and British Columbia.  The Prairies will probably be boring since outside the cities the Tories won most polls by obscenely large margins.  Only the Indian Reserves did the NDP or Liberals win.  My two questions are what is with all the blue on the very southern tip of the Avalon peninsula.  I know this area normally goes Conservative but so does most of St. John's yet it appears Williams ABC campaign wasn't as effective here as elsewhere in the province.  I understand that the fact Fabian Manning was running might have helped a bit since some wanted to make sure Newfoundland & Labrador had at least one member sitting on the government benches, but if this was the case, you would think the Tories would have done better in other parts of the riding.

My other question is in Beausejour, it seems the Tories are strongest right around Moncton.  Is this area predominately Anglophone?
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the506
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« Reply #658 on: February 06, 2010, 09:21:10 PM »

The blue on the Avalon peninsula is definitely Manning coattails...that's his home area.

The blue splotch in Beausejour is for two different reasons. Right around Moncton is a heavily anglophone area that should culturally probably be in Fundy-Royal. The area to the north going through St-Antoine and Bouctouche is francophone but is the CPC candidate's home.
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the506
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« Reply #659 on: February 06, 2010, 09:42:19 PM »
« Edited: February 07, 2010, 09:09:22 AM by the506 »

Alright now....off to Ontario:

Cornwall...every rural poll in the riding went Tory:



Glengarry-Prescott-Russell:



Kingston and the Islands:



Prince Edward-Hastings....there was actually one more Liberal poll near Tweed:



Peterborough:



Cobourg and Port Hope...every other poll in Northumberland-Qunite West was either Tory or covered in other maps:



Durham region:

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mileslunn
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« Reply #660 on: February 06, 2010, 11:38:51 PM »

The blue on the Avalon peninsula is definitely Manning coattails...that's his home area.

The blue splotch in Beausejour is for two different reasons. Right around Moncton is a heavily anglophone area that should culturally probably be in Fundy-Royal. The area to the north going through St-Antoine and Bouctouche is francophone but is the CPC candidate's home.

I believe much of that blue area near Moncton was part of Fundy-Royal prior to re-distribution, although I believe the Tories won pretty much every poll that was transferred from Beausejour-Petiticodiac to Fundy-Royal
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mileslunn
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« Reply #661 on: February 06, 2010, 11:44:24 PM »

Alright now....off to Ontario:

Cornwall...every rural poll in the riding went Tory:


I believe that one island that the Liberals won is a large Indian Reserve, so that probably explains that one.



Glengarry-Prescott-Russell:


Kingston and the Islands:


It seems like Highway 401 is your dividing point, mind you it is fairly rural north of the 401 while more urban to its south.


Prince Edward-Hastings....there was actually one more Liberal poll near Tweed:


Peterborough:


I am guessing the university must be on the east side as that seems to the most logical explanation for the east/west split in Peterborough.


Cobourg and Port Hope...every other poll in Northumberland-Qunite West was either Tory or covered in other maps:



Durham region:


Odd that there are several red polls in the northern parts of Pickering as this is pretty rural, otherwise mostly farmland.  I wonder if this has something to do with Mark Holland's popularity.  Also seems there is a stream of blue polls in the middle of Ajax.  Is this a wealthy area or just more WASPy than other parts of Ajax.
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Smid
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« Reply #662 on: February 07, 2010, 03:31:39 AM »


Whereabouts is the prison?
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minionofmidas
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« Reply #663 on: February 07, 2010, 04:32:31 AM »

Prince Edward map not showing up.
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the506
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« Reply #664 on: February 07, 2010, 10:09:21 AM »

I believe much of that blue area near Moncton was part of Fundy-Royal prior to re-distribution, although I believe the Tories won pretty much every poll that was transferred from Beausejour-Petiticodiac to Fundy-Royal

That particular area never belonged to Fundy-Royal...before it was part of Beausejour, it was part of the Moncton riding.

(And I still can't get over how ridiculous Beausejour-Petitcodiac was....merging a Franco region with one that once voted for COR.)
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the506
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« Reply #665 on: February 07, 2010, 10:16:54 AM »

Southwest Ontario today...

Barrie:



Orillia:

Those NDP splotches are the Rama reserve.


Kitchener-Waterloo:



Brant and Haldimand-Norfolk:

The indy who won all those polls in the Caledonia area is Gary McHale, a major opponent to the native protests there.


St. Catharines and Niagara Falls:



Oxford:



London:



St. Thomas and the Lenape First Nation:



Chatham and Kent:
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« Reply #666 on: February 07, 2010, 08:09:53 PM »

Great stuff!

Whereabouts is Niagara-on-the-Lake and Fort Erie on the Niagara area map?
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mileslunn
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« Reply #667 on: February 07, 2010, 09:04:15 PM »

Southwest Ontario today...


Chatham and Kent:


Is that dark red along Lake Huron an Indian Reserve?  It seems odd to have a rural poll go that heavily Liberal otherwise.
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Linus Van Pelt
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« Reply #668 on: February 08, 2010, 10:04:15 AM »

Whereabouts is Niagara-on-the-Lake and Fort Erie on the Niagara area map?

NOTL is the town right at the northeastern tip of Niagara Falls riding with the one Liberal poll. Fort Erie is down at the southeast end of Niagara Falls - it's off this map but you can see it in my Niagara Falls map on p. 25 of this thread.

Is that dark red along Lake Huron an Indian Reserve?  It seems odd to have a rural poll go that heavily Liberal otherwise.

Yeah, that's Walpole Island. (It's actually unceded territory rather than a reserve).
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Smid
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« Reply #669 on: February 09, 2010, 07:19:51 AM »


This guy is one of my favourite MPs!


In the Chatham and Kent map, which is Lambton-Kent-Middlesex? He's another of my favourites.
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the506
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« Reply #670 on: February 10, 2010, 06:39:41 PM »

Alright....Northern Ontario....

Here's the southern part of Algoma-Manitoulin, Nickel Belt and Nipissing-Timiskaming:


North Bay inset:


Sudbury inset:


New Liskeard/Haileybury/Cobalt inset:


Sault Ste. Marie:


Northern part of Algoma-Manitoulin:


Thunder Bay:


Rural NW Ontario:


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minionofmidas
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« Reply #671 on: February 11, 2010, 04:35:30 AM »

Thanks!
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Linus Van Pelt
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« Reply #672 on: March 05, 2010, 10:30:38 AM »

Do you have western maps too, 506?
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the506
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« Reply #673 on: March 07, 2010, 04:10:06 PM »

Right here!

Manitoba...

Churchill:



The rest of rural southern Manitoba was a sea of blue with a few bits of orange here and there (mostly First Nations I'm guessing). Some of the cities were somewhat interesting though:

Brandon:


Portage la Prairie:


Selkirk:
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the506
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« Reply #674 on: March 07, 2010, 04:23:32 PM »

Saskatchewan.....

Churchill River:



Prince Albert:



The Battlefords:


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