Obama/Biden vs Romney/Thune

[Lahbas]

Here's hoping!

[Farage]

but would huckabee endorse romney if he picks thune?

[Dan the Roman]

I find the constant assumptions about New Hampshire amusing. There is almost no chance NH goes Republican before PA or IA. There is no orginized GOP structure there anymore, and Romney has residual unpopularity from over-saturation in 2008 and as MA Governor. I worked there early in 2008, and while it has improved somewhat people really hated him by the end of the primaries. Add Huckabee's zero appeal in the state and while it could go GOP it would be long after OR, MI, MN, WI, IA, NM and probably even CT.

[Farage]

I find the constant assumptions about New Hampshire amusing. There is almost no chance NH goes Republican before PA or IA. There is no orginized GOP structure there anymore, and Romney has residual unpopularity from over-saturation in 2008 and as MA Governor. I worked there early in 2008, and while it has improved somewhat people really hated him by the end of the primaries. Add Huckabee's zero appeal in the state and while it could go GOP it would be long after OR, MI, MN, WI, IA, NM and probably even CT.

But if bush won NH, why couldn't romney?

[RI]

I find the constant assumptions about New Hampshire amusing. There is almost no chance NH goes Republican before PA or IA. There is no orginized GOP structure there anymore, and Romney has residual unpopularity from over-saturation in 2008 and as MA Governor. I worked there early in 2008, and while it has improved somewhat people really hated him by the end of the primaries. Add Huckabee's zero appeal in the state and while it could go GOP it would be long after OR, MI, MN, WI, IA, NM and probably even CT.

But if bush won NH, why couldn't romney?

Bush only won NH in 2000 because Nader took away almost 4% of the liberal vote.

[Dan the Roman]

I find the constant assumptions about New Hampshire amusing. There is almost no chance NH goes Republican before PA or IA. There is no orginized GOP structure there anymore, and Romney has residual unpopularity from over-saturation in 2008 and as MA Governor. I worked there early in 2008, and while it has improved somewhat people really hated him by the end of the primaries. Add Huckabee's zero appeal in the state and while it could go GOP it would be long after OR, MI, MN, WI, IA, NM and probably even CT.

But if bush won NH, why couldn't romney?

Bush only won NH in 2000 because Nader took away almost 4% of the liberal vote.

Precisely. Remember it was the only state that went for Kerry. Democratic Vote+Greens

1988 36%
1992 37%
1996 49%
2000 51%
2004 52%
2008 55%

Also, remember that McCain was by far the best Republican for the state which likely would have been closer to 58-41 with anyone else.

But this disguises the changes at the local level which are far greater, as can be seen from the congressional delegation. Is NH a state Republicans can win? Yes. Is it a swing state? not unless the Republican has already run the election.

Secondly, as mentioned, Romney has particular problems in the state and Thune no particular appeal.

[The Mikado]

Dan the Roman's right about NH.

but would huckabee endorse romney if he picks thune?

Yes.  (Why is this even a question?)

Anyway, unless John Thune does something to distinguish himself over the next three years (definitely a possibility, and one of the advantage of there being so few GOP Senators), I don't see him adding or subtracting anything to the ticket.  He's generic Republican at the moment.

[the artist formerly known as catmusic]

Closest states are: Colorado, Virginia, and Ohio

[RIP Robert H Bork]

but would huckabee endorse romney if he picks thune?

Huckabee would not endorse Romney regardless of his running mate.

[Devilman88]

NH was only 3% more Democratic then the national average in 2008 and trended rightward from 2004 to 2008. NH is still a swing state in a close race and can be won if a Republican won by more the 4 or 5 percent.

[tmthforu94]

but would huckabee endorse romney if he picks thune?

Huckabee would not endorse Romney regardless of his running mate.

Disagree.
I think once Romney wins the primaries in 2012, Huckabee will endorse Romney just to please the party. Romney would probably endorse Huckabee if he happened to win the primaries, too.