Rasmussen Trust on Issues/ Congressional Ballot-Mid July 2009

[Beet]

Rasmussen has long been an outlier in the Presidential approval polls, and I have been skeptical of them since last year. Still, it's believable that things are heading down for Obama and the Dems. Anyone know what their 'likely voter' model does, and if they still do landline robocalls-only? Both of these could affect their results.

Update. Here is an illustration of why I am skeptical of Rasmussen:

A new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey finds that 37% of voters now favor her confirmation while 43% are opposed. (7/15) For the past 2 weeks, they have found more opposed than support.

link

Compare with other pollsters on substantially the same question:

Diageo/Hotline 50-28
Gallup 53-33
CBS 30-14
Quinnipiac 54-26
CNN 47-40
ABC/WashPost 62-25
http://www.pollingreport.com/court.htm

[Beet]

Sorry but posting party ID numbers doesn't prove anything, as their substantive results are consistently to the right of a number of other polls. And I mean, sometimes way out of line. Look at the polls of Sotomayor's favorability. Every other pollster had her 20+ favorable while Rasmussen had her net unfavorable by a decisive margin, among their "likely voters". That is just one of many problems with Rasmussen.

Rasmussen polls like a whore, so you'll always be able to spam their polls, but they just aren't credible.