2010 house predictions (user search)
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Poll
Question: How many seats will the GOP have?
#1
<170
 
#2
171-180
 
#3
181-217
 
#4
218-230
 
#5
>231
 
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Partisan results

Total Voters: 69

Author Topic: 2010 house predictions  (Read 28664 times)
TeePee4Prez
Flyers2004
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« on: July 31, 2009, 02:09:42 AM »

Oddly enough, with Kirk, Castle, Gerlach, Justice, McHugh, etc. the Democrats are favored for the open-seat pickups thus far.  The GOP, of course, has more low-hanging fruit like Minnick, and I can only think of Melancon for them in open-seats...  am I missing anyone?  There are plenty of open seats in non-competitive districts like two in Kansas and whatnot, but just looking at opposite-party or purple districts.

NH-02 (Hodes) and PA-07 (Sestak) are possible, I suppose, but the GOP would be swimming against the current.

If Bryan Lentz runs for the Dems in PA-07, you would basically need Pat Meehan to not run for Lt. Gov. to make it competitve.
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TeePee4Prez
Flyers2004
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Posts: 10,479


« Reply #1 on: August 09, 2009, 11:04:57 PM »

I expect to gain about 50 or 60 seats, so that would put us right around 230 seats.

Little early to gauge that, eh?
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TeePee4Prez
Flyers2004
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Posts: 10,479


« Reply #2 on: August 20, 2009, 10:18:48 PM »

I think the GOP will pick up 10-15 seats, mostly from seats like MD-01 and ID-01.

I'm thinking seats like those, but the Dems still have some opportunities like PA-6, NJ-7, and the slam dunk LA-2.
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TeePee4Prez
Flyers2004
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Posts: 10,479


« Reply #3 on: August 23, 2009, 09:27:31 PM »

I don't care about those Alabama districts. The 'Democrats' who win there are Republicans, most of the time. Fools like Bobby Bright.

I agree.  There are a lot of 'Democrats' that really don't make a difference.  I rather have a chance to get some better ones in places like PA-6, NJ-7, DE-AL, or IL-10 which are more likely to elect Dems I like.
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