2010 house predictions

[Psychic Octopus]

I remember this thread. I'm pretty sure originally I voted 181-217, and expected to be on the lower end of that scale. Things change, huh?

Now, my new vote is 218-230. I think it will probably be on the upper end of that range, too.

I expect to gain about 50 or 60 seats, so that would put us right around 230 seats.

Remember how much crap I took for  this all last year?  Now Nate Silver says we're even money to take the House.

What was your reasoning last year? I'm curious.