2010 senate prediction (user search)
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  2010 senate prediction (search mode)
Pages: [1]
Poll
Question: How many seats will the GOP have?
#1
<35		  
#2
36-40		  
#3
41-45		  
#4
46-50		  
#5
>50		  
Show Pie Chart
Partisan results
Total Voters: 109

Author Topic: 2010 senate prediction  (Read 68971 times)
Kaine for Senate '18
benconstine
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Posts: 30,329
United States


« on: July 26, 2009, 11:44:11 AM »
Basic confidence map:


I think the GOP takes Connecticut, and Delaware if Castle runs, while the Democrats take Missouri, and Kentucky if Bunning wins.
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Kaine for Senate '18
benconstine
Atlas Superstar
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Posts: 30,329
United States


« Reply #1 on: July 26, 2009, 11:57:45 AM »
Quote from: Ronnie on July 26, 2009, 11:48:44 AM
Come on ben, Louisiana a tossup?  Vitter is way ahead in the polls.

Against Melancon?
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Kaine for Senate '18
benconstine
Atlas Superstar
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Posts: 30,329
United States


« Reply #2 on: July 26, 2009, 12:00:35 PM »
Quote from: KyleGordon on July 24, 2009, 02:16:42 PM
Democrats gain, John Mccain loses his seat, the economy is getting better, the unemployment rate is going down.


Wow.  Care to explain Florida?  Kansas?  Arizona?  Delaware?  DC?
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Kaine for Senate '18
benconstine
Atlas Superstar
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Posts: 30,329
United States


« Reply #3 on: July 26, 2009, 12:05:20 PM »

My bad, I hadn't seen that poll.  I'd put Louisiana in the Lean Republican category, then.
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Kaine for Senate '18
benconstine
Atlas Superstar
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Posts: 30,329
United States


« Reply #4 on: August 10, 2009, 08:46:04 PM »

Democrats: 59 (+1)
Republicans: 39 (-1)
Independents: 2 (-)
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Kaine for Senate '18
benconstine
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 30,329
United States


« Reply #5 on: August 20, 2009, 02:41:48 PM »
DWTL, why would Dorgan lose now?  He survived 2004, and Hoeven is not going to run against him; who'll take him out?
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Kaine for Senate '18
benconstine
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 30,329
United States


« Reply #6 on: August 23, 2009, 03:56:22 PM »
Quote from: nkpatel1279 on August 21, 2009, 09:01:56 AM
Neither Hoeven nor Dorgan have any Presidential coattails like Thune had in 2004.

That makes no sense.
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Kaine for Senate '18
benconstine
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 30,329
United States


« Reply #7 on: August 30, 2009, 03:16:07 PM »
Hoeven will not beat Dorgan.  I'd just like to make that clear.
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Kaine for Senate '18
benconstine
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 30,329
United States


« Reply #8 on: October 15, 2009, 04:03:20 PM »

Democrats: 58 (-)
Republicans: 40 (-)
Independents: 2 (-)
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