2010 senate prediction (user search)
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
April 27, 2024, 12:39:56 PM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Election Predictions (Moderator: muon2)
  2010 senate prediction (search mode)
Pages: [1]
Poll
Question: How many seats will the GOP have?
#1
<35		  
#2
36-40		  
#3
41-45		  
#4
46-50		  
#5
>50		  
Show Pie Chart
Partisan results
Total Voters: 109

Author Topic: 2010 senate prediction  (Read 68933 times)
Ronnie
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,993
United States
« on: July 16, 2009, 06:16:31 PM »
Quote from: Lunar on July 16, 2009, 04:16:31 PM
Quote from: Fmr. Sen. DWTL on July 16, 2009, 10:36:18 AM
Republicans win in CO, DE, IL and pull off a huge surprise in WI

Democrats pick up MO

who are they running in WI anyway?


we're still waiting for formal challengers to emerge in several states, but I think an overly cautious prediction as of now might be for the GOP to pick up something like CT or IL, and for the Democrats to pick up MO and either NH or OH.

What about KY?
Logged
Ronnie
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,993
United States
« Reply #1 on: July 25, 2009, 01:52:17 AM »
Quote from: semocrat08 on July 19, 2009, 10:24:52 AM
I love how confident (and accurate) everyone is that Missouri is gonna flip seats Smiley yay red white and blue!

(Haven't slept all night. Apologize for the loopiness, or something like that).

Hold on to your pants, the campaign hasn't even started there. Smiley
Logged
Ronnie
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,993
United States
« Reply #2 on: July 26, 2009, 11:48:44 AM »
Come on ben, Louisiana a tossup?  Vitter is way ahead in the polls.
Logged
Ronnie
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,993
United States
« Reply #3 on: July 26, 2009, 11:57:24 AM »
« Edited: July 26, 2009, 01:44:56 PM by Ronnie »
For the record my predictions:
Logged
Ronnie
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,993
United States
« Reply #4 on: July 26, 2009, 12:00:59 PM »
Quote from: Deeds for Governor '09 on July 26, 2009, 11:57:45 AM
Quote from: Ronnie on July 26, 2009, 11:48:44 AM
Come on ben, Louisiana a tossup?  Vitter is way ahead in the polls.

Against Melancon?

Um, yeah:

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_Louisiana_721.pdf
Logged
Ronnie
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,993
United States
« Reply #5 on: July 26, 2009, 01:04:54 PM »
Quote from: muon2 on July 26, 2009, 01:00:56 PM

You should adjust IL. It's an open seat since Burris is not running for reelection.

Woops, didn't catch that.  Thanks.
Logged
Ronnie
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,993
United States
« Reply #6 on: July 26, 2009, 11:32:00 PM »
Quote from: semocrat08 on July 26, 2009, 11:26:28 PM

And as for the Republicans claiming Roy BLUNT will win the Missouri Senate seat over Robin CARNAHAN, there are two words for that: LOSER DENIAL (but, to be more PC, wishful thinking). lol

It's wishful thinking to say that Carnahan is an absolute lock against Blunt, even though he has raised more money than her and the polls are very tight. Roll Eyes

Plus, the Dems' popularity is going down.  Anything is possible in '10
Logged
Ronnie
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,993
United States
« Reply #7 on: July 29, 2009, 11:56:02 PM »
*facepalm*
Logged
Ronnie
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,993
United States
« Reply #8 on: July 30, 2009, 12:09:11 AM »
« Edited: July 30, 2009, 12:11:46 AM by Ronnie »
I'm not referring to that at all.  In fact, Carnahan has a good chance at winning.  I am referring to Nevada and California.  How can you expect Fiorina to beat Boxer, and which Republican can beat Harry Reid?

Sorry if the facepalm was mean, I am just in bad mood.
Logged
Ronnie
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,993
United States
« Reply #9 on: July 30, 2009, 12:22:03 AM »
Regarding California:  If Fiorina is shown as competitive late into the election, Boxer will DESTROY her.  You do remember what she did to Bruce Herschensohn, right?

Regarding Nevada:  Heller is unlikely to run, since he wants to replace Gibbons in the primary. (God bless him)
Logged
Ronnie
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,993
United States
« Reply #10 on: August 20, 2009, 03:33:59 PM »
« Edited: August 24, 2009, 05:44:06 PM by Ronnie »
To counter Kalwejt, here are my predictions

AL: Safe R
AK: Safe R
AZ: Safe R
AR: Likely D
CA: Likely D
CO: Tossup
CT: Tossup
DE: Safe D, if Castle runs: Lean R
FL: Safe R
GA: Safe R
HI: Safe D
ID: Safe R
IL: Lean D
IN: Safe D
IA: Safe R (if Grassley runs)
KS: Safe R
KY: Lean R
LA: Likely R
MD: Safe D
MO: Tossup
NV: Tossup
NH: Tossup
NY: Safe D
NY2: Likely D
NC: Likely R
ND: Likely D
OK: Safe R
PA: Tossup
SC: Safe R
UT: Safe R
VT: Safe D
WA: Safe D
WI: Safe D
Logged
Ronnie
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,993
United States
« Reply #11 on: October 07, 2009, 01:38:11 AM »
« Edited: October 07, 2009, 01:47:02 AM by Ronnie »
I think we would win MO before IL or even PA.
Logged
Ronnie
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,993
United States
« Reply #12 on: January 20, 2010, 09:55:32 PM »
The topic creater should have given us the option to change our vote.
Logged
Pages: [1]  
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.03 seconds with 13 queries.