2010 senate prediction

[FloridaRepublican]

Democrats gain, John Mccain loses his seat, the economy is getting better, the unemployment rate is going down.

LOL that's extremely wishful thinking. Democrats winning Kansas and Connecticut?  Wow

[FloridaRepublican]

Dream scenario:

That is assuming that Castle doesn't run.  (Illinois is a pure toss-up for me)
Pickups:
For Democrats:  Missouri
For Republicans:  Connecticut, Nevada, Colorado, Pennsylvania

[FloridaRepublican]

Democrats 63

Republicans 37

Very close in New Hampshire, Missouri, Illinois, Colorado and Ohio

I don't think a major party has ever not made gains in 3 straight cycles

Dems did it in both houses in 1930,1932,1934,1936, and on a smaller scale in 1986,1988, and 1990

He was talking about gains period.  Not net gains.  Republicans have not made gains period since 2004 in the Senate; in 2006, no republican gains whatsoever in BOTH houses (a first); in 2008, no republican gains whatsoever except in the house.  So if the Republicans fail to make any gains period, this will be the first time in history that a major party has successfully defended ALL of its seats for the entire senate election cycle.