PredictionsEndorse2006 Gubernatorial Election Polls - AL ResultsPolls
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Source: Survey USA (url)

CandidatePolitical PartyPollGraphPoll Details
RRiley*Republican51%piePoll Date: 2006-06-19
DBaxleyDemocratic40%Number Polled: 578
-Other-6%Margin of Error: 4%
-Undecided-2%Voter Type: Likely

  * = Incumbent

Bob Riley's (R) lead is cut to 11 points over Lucy Baxley (D)

 By: MLEFLO1 (O-IL) - 2006-06-21 @ 07:40:18

Question: If the election for Governor of Alabama were today, and you were standing in the voting booth right now, who would you vote for? Republican Bob Riley? Democrat Lucy Baxley? Or some other candidate?

51% Bob Riley
40% Lucy Baxley
6% Other
2% Undecided

Poll Demographics
Male: 47%
Female: 53%

Rep: 45%
Dem: 37%
Ind: 17%

Black: 22%
Hispanic: 0%
White: 78%

About this Poll 1,000 Adults were interviewed 6/17-6/19/06. Of them, 841 were registered to vote. Of them, 578 were judged to be "likely voters".

How this poll was conducted: This SurveyUSA poll was conducted by telephone in the voice of a professional announcer. Respondent households were selected at random, using Random Digit Dialed (RDD) sample provided by Survey Sampling, of Fairfield CT. All respondents heard the questions asked identically. Within the report, you will find: the geography that was surveyed; the date(s) interviews were conducted and the news organization(s) that paid for the research. The number of respondents who answered each question and the margin of sampling error for each question are provided. Where necessary, responses were weighted according to age, gender, ethnic origin, geographical area and number of adults and number of voice telephone lines in the household, so that the sample would reflect the actual demographic proportions in the population, using most recent U.S.Census estimates. In theory, with the stated sample size, one can say with 95% certainty that the results would not vary by more than the stated margin of sampling error, in one direction or the other, had the entire universe of respondents been interviewed with complete accuracy. There are other possible sources of error in all surveys that may be more serious than theoretical calculations of sampling error. These include refusals to be interviewed, question wording and question order, weighting by demographic control data and the manner in which respondents are filtered (such as, determining who is a likely voter). It is difficult to quantify the errors that may result from these factors. Fieldwork for this survey was done by SurveyUSA of Verona, NJ.

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