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Source: Mason-Dixon (url)

CandidatePolitical PartyPollGraphPoll Details
RCrist^Republican48%piePoll Date: 2006-07-21
DDavisDemocratic32%Number Polled: 625
-Other-0%Margin of Error: 4%
-Undecided-20%Voter Type: Likely

  ^ = Incumbent Party (Current Governor Retiring)

Crist (R) widens lead over Davis (D)

 By: Mark Warner 08 (I-AUT) - 2006-07-25 @ 02:57:20

Question: If the 2006 election for Governor were held today, for whom would you vote if the candidates were Jim Davis, the Democrat, and Charlie Crist, the Republican?

Crist 48%
Davis 32%
Undecided 20%

Question: If the 2006 election for Governor were held today, for whom would you vote if the candidates were Jim Davis, the Democrat, and Tom Gallagher, the Republican?

Gallagher 41%
Davis 38%
Undecided 21%

Question: If the 2006 election for Governor were held today, for whom would you vote if the candidates were Rod Smith, the Democrat, and Charlie Crist, the Republican?

Crist 48%
Smith 30%
Undecided 22%

Question: If the 2006 election for Governor were held today, for whom would you vote if the candidates were Rod Smith, the Democrat, and Tom Gallagher, the Republican?

Gallagher 44%
Smith 34%
Undecided 22%

Rep. Primary:
Question: If the 2006 Republican primary election for Governor were held today, which one of the following candidates would get your vote: (ORDER ROTATED)

Charlie Crist 55%
Tom Gallagher 24%
Vernon Palmer -
Michael St. Jean -
Undecided (NOT READ) 21%

Dem. Primary:
Question: If the 2006 Democratic primary election for Governor were today, which one of the following candidates would get your vote: (ORDER ROTATED)

Jim Davis 29%
Rod Smith 14%
John Crotty 4%
Carol Castanegro 1%
Glen Burkett -
Undecided (NOT READ) 52%

Poll Demographics
Men 307 (49%)
Women 318 (51%)

White 467 (75%)
Black 74 (12%)
Hispanic 77 (12%)
Other 7 (1%)

Dem 269 (43%)
Rep 252 (40%)
Ind 104 (17%)

About this Poll
The Mason-Dixon Florida Poll was conducted by Mason-Dixon Polling & Research, Inc. of Washington, D.C. from July 19 through July 21, 2006. A total of 625 registered voters were interviewed statewide by telephone. All stated they vote regularly in state elections.

Those interviewed were selected by the random variation of the last four digits of telephone numbers. A cross-section of exchanges was utilized and quotas were assigned to reflect voter turn-out by county.

The margin for error, according to standards customarily used by statisticians, is no more than plus or minus 4 percentage points. This means that there is a 95 percent probability that the "true" figure would fall within that range if all voters were surveyed. The margin for error is higher for any subgroup, such as a regional or party grouping.

This section of the survey also includes and over-sampling of 400 likely Democratic primary voters and 400 likely Republican primary voters. Only the questions relative to the primary election races were asked of these additional voters, and not questions concerning the general election. The margin for error for each of these primary voter sub-samples is plus or minus 5%.

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Poll Technical Comments

 By: leip (I-NY) - 2006-07-26 @ 14:51:18

Anyone find more details on this poll? Are they actually registered voters (M-D usually polls likely). preciction Map

 By: Olawakandi (G-CA) - 2006-07-30 @ 15:59:53

Yea Dave it says likely voters, the url is http://www.mercurynews.com/mld/mercurynews/news/politics/15118420.htmpreciction Map

 By: leip (I-NY) - 2006-08-03 @ 12:05:29

I found the actual pdf file of the polling data and included more information here.preciction Map

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