PredictionsEndorse2008 Gubernatorial Election Polls - IN ResultsPolls
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CandidatePolitical PartyPollGraphPoll Details
RDaniels*Republican61%piePoll Date: 2008-10-24
DThompsonDemocratic30%Number Polled: 600
-Other-0%Margin of Error: 6%
-Undecided-31%Voter Type: Likely

  * = Incumbent

Daniels (R) Leads IN by 31%

 By: Inks.LWC (R-MI) - 2008-10-31 @ 22:22:40

Question:
Gov. Mitch Daniels has a huge 61-30 percent lead over Democrat Jill Long Thompson in what looks to be the blowout.

Poll Demographics
Daniels is poised for a resounding victory. The governor leads in the Fort Wayne media market 63-31 percent; in South Bend 66-31 percent; Indianapolis 65-29 percent; Louisville 64-25 percent; while the Chicago market is tied at 44 percent. Thompson leads among African-Americans by only a 56-41 percent margin. Daniels’ standing with African-Americans has increased 14 percent since our August poll. Daniels is winning 37 percent of the Democratic vote - more than one in three - and among independents 64-21 percent.

About this Poll
Howey/Gauge’s statewide survey included 600 likely voters on Oct. 23-24 with a +/- 4.1 percent margin of error. The 3rd CD survey occurred on the same dates with 300 likely voters and a +/- 5.7 percent margin. The statewide survey included an 8 percent African-American sample, 23 percent Catholic, 42 percent Protestant, 14 percent Baptist or Bible church, and the party split was 47 percent total Republican, 41 percent total Democrat. Completely “independent” stood at 11 percent while 14 percent considered themselves “independent Democrat” and 14 percent “independent Republican.”

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