PredictionsEndorse2015 Gubernatorial Election Polls - KY Polls
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Source: Survey USA (url)

CandidatePolitical PartyPollGraphPoll Details
DJack Conway^Democratic42%piePoll Date: 2015-09-25
RMatt BevinRepublican37%Number Polled: 701
IDrew CurtisIndependent7%Margin of Error: 4%
-Undecided-15%Voter Type: Likely

  ^ = Incumbent Party (Current Governor Retiring)

Conway Leads Bevin in KY

 By: mds32 (R-PA) on 2015-09-30 @ 14:47:29

Question:

About this Poll
About this poll: Cell-phone and home-phone respondents were included in this research. SurveyUSA interviewed 1,000 adults from the state of Kentucky 09/22/15 through
09/27/15. Of the adults, 866 were registered to vote. Of the registered voters, 701 were determined to be likely to vote in the 11/03/15 election for governor. This research was
conducted using blended sample, mixed mode. Respondents reachable on a home telephone (68% of likely voters) were interviewed on a home telephone in the recorded voice of a
professional announcer. Respondents not reachable on a home telephone (32% of likely voters) were shown a questionnaire on their smartphone, tablet or other electronic device.
Respondent households were selected at random, using Random Digit Dialed (RDD) sample provided by Survey Sampling, of Fairfield CT. All respondents heard the questions
asked identically. The pollster's report includes the geography that was surveyed; the date(s) interviews were conducted, the number of respondents who answered each question
and the theoretical margin of sampling error for each question. Where necessary, respondents were weighted using the most recent US Census estimates for age, gender, ethnic
origin and region, to align the sample to the population. In theory, one can say with 95% certainty that the results would not vary by more than the stated margin of sampling error,
in one direction or the other, had the entire universe of respondents with home telephones been interviewed with complete accuracy. There are other possible sources of error in all
surveys that may be more serious than sampling error. These include: the difficulty of interviewing respondents who do not have a home telephone; the refusal by some with home
telephones to be interviewed; the order in which questions are asked; the wording of questions; the way and extent to which data are weighted; and the manner in which specialized
populations, such as likely voters, are determined. It is difficult to quantify the errors that may result from these and other factors. Research methodology, questionnaire design and
fieldwork for this survey were completed by SurveyUSA of Clifton, NJ. This statement conforms to the principles of disclosure of the National Council on Public Polls.

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