Question:
1. If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Barack Obama the Democrat and John McCain the Republican, for whom would you vote? (If undecided q1) As of today, do you lean more toward Obama or McCain? This table includes "Leaners".


FLORIDA LIKELY VOTERS.................................................
Union
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk HsHlds

Obama 47% 11% 82% 47% 44% 50% 40% 95% 52%
McCain 43 85 12 37 47 40 50 4 42
SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 1 1 4 2 1 2 - 2
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) - - - - - - - - -
DK/NA 8 3 6 12 7 8 9 1 5

IMP ISSUE Q4 North/
War Econ PnHnd Bay Cntrl SthW SthE

Obama 61% 55% 35% 51% 39% 48% 61%
McCain 32 36 56 38 52 42 31
SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 2 2 3 2 1 -
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) - - - - - - -
DK/NA 6 8 6 8 7 10 8

WHITES.................................
AGE IN YRS....... NoColl College BrnAgn
18-34 35-54 55+ Degree Degree Men Wom Evngl Cath

Obama 57% 48% 44% 38% 44% 38% 41% 22% 38%
McCain 35 46 46 50 48 52 48 66 52
SMONE ELSE(VOL) 4 1 1 2 2 2 2 4 1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) - - - - - - - - -
DK/NA 4 5 9 10 6 8 10 8 9

PresVt2004.. CongVt2008.. DemPrim2008.. BushJobAppQ14
Bush Kerry Rep Dem Clintn Obama App Dis

Obama 13% 82% 9% 81% 71% 97% 8% 66%
McCain 80 9 87 14 19 3 87 24
SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 2 1 1 2 - 1 2
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) - - - - - - - -
DK/NA 6 7 3 4 7 1 4 8


TREND: If the 2008 election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Barack Obama the Democrat and John McCain the Republican, for whom would you vote?


REGISTERED VOTERS.....................................
Jun 18 May 22 May 1 Apr 2 Feb 14 Oct 25 Oct 10
2008 2008 2008 2008 2008 2007 2007

Obama 42 41 43 37 39 42 39
McCain 39 45 44 46 41 42 41
SMONE ELSE(VOL) 3 2 1 3 4 3 2
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 2 4 4 6 4 5 6
DK/NA 14 8 8 9 12 9 11


1a. (If candidate choice given q1) Is your mind made up, or do you think you might change your mind before the election?


CANDIDATE CHOICE GIVEN
CAND CHOICE Q1
FL Tot Obama McCain

Made up 79% 79% 79%
Might change 19 19 19
DK/NA 2 2 3
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Poll Demographics

About this Poll
From June 9 - 16, Quinnipiac University surveyed:
1,453 Florida likely voters with a margin of error of +/- 2.6 percent;
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