Sample size: 600 likely voters
Sample dates: July 19-21, 2008
Margin of error: ± 4 percentage points
Question wording: If the general election were being held today between John McCain, the Republican, and Barack Obama, the Democrat, for whom would you vote - McCain or Obama? (names rotated)


Barack Obama leads John McCain 73% to 19% among Democrats (45% of likely voters). McCain leads Obama 83% to 9% among Republicans (38% of likely voters). And Obama leads McCain 50% to 42% among independent voters (17% of likely voters).

McCain now leads Obama 53% to 41% among men (47% of likely voters). In the June 13-17 survey, Obama was leading among men 48% to 46%. Among women (53% of likely voters), Obama leads 48% to 42%. In the June 13-17 survey, Obama was leading among women 49% to 43%.

McCain leads Obama 54% to 38% among white voters (71% of likely voters). Obama leads McCain 81% to 9% among African American voters (13% of likely voters). And Obama leads McCain 46% to 45% among Hispanic voters (16% of likely voters).

Obama leads McCain 48% to 46% among voters age 18 to 49 (44% of likely voters). Among voters age 50 and older (56% of likely voters), McCain leads 48% to 43%.

32% of likely voters say they would never vote for John McCain in the general election and 39% of likely voters say they would never vote for Barack Obama in the general election.