Question:
1. If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Barack Obama the Democrat and John McCain the Republican, for whom would you vote? (If undecided q1) As of today, do you lean more toward Obama or McCain? This table includes "Leaners".


LIKELY VOTERS.................................................
Union
MICHIGAN Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk HsHlds

Obama 48% 7% 89% 49% 44% 52% 41% 93% 60%
McCain 44 88 8 42 49 40 51 5 34
SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 1 - 1 1 1 1 - 1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) - - - - - - - - -
DK/NA 7 4 3 8 6 7 7 2 6

IMP ISSUE Q12.............
Energ Wayne Oak/ RestOf
War Econ Terr Polcy County Macomb SthW State

Obama 59% 55% 4% 36% 63% 42% 43% 46%
McCain 35 35 94 58 33 52 50 43
SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 1 - - - - 1 1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) - - - - - - - -
DK/NA 5 8 2 5 3 5 5 10

WHITE..................................
AGE IN YRS....... NoColl College BrnAgn
18-34 35-54 55+ Degree Degree Men Wom Evngl Cath

Obama 51% 47% 49% 41% 42% 37% 45% 27% 39%
McCain 48 45 41 50 52 55 47 69 52
SMONE ELSE(VOL) - 1 - 1 1 1 1 - 1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) - - - - - - - - -
DK/NA 1 6 9 8 5 7 8 5 8

PresVt2004.. BushJobAppQ25
Bush Kerry App Dis

Obama 11% 85% 5% 66%
McCain 84 9 92 26
SMONE ELSE(VOL) - 1 - 1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) - - - -
DK/NA 4 5 3 7

Sep 23 Jul 24 Jun 26
TREND: 2008 2008 2008

Obama 48 46 48
McCain 44 42 42
SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 2 1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) - - -
DK/NA 7 9 8



1a. Is your mind made up, or do you think you might change your mind before the election?


LIKELY VOTERS.......
CAND CHOICEQ1
MI Tot Obama McCain

Made up 80% 82% 78%
Might change 19 17 20
DK/NA 1 1 1

Poll Demographics

About this Poll
From September 14 - 21, Quinnipiac University surveyed:
1,364 Michigan likely voters with a margin of error of +/- 2.7 percent;