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Source: Monmouth University (url)

CandidatePolitical PartyPollGraphPoll Details
DObamaDemocratic49%piePoll Date: 2008-09-14
RMcCainRepublican41%Number Polled: 589
-Other-0%Margin of Error: 4%
-Undecided-10%Voter Type: Likely

Obama Leads NJ by 8%

 By: Inks.LWC (R-MI) - 2008-09-16 @ 12:38:00

Question:
2. If the election for President was held today, would you vote for John McCain the Republican,
Barack Obama the Democrat, or some other candidate? [IF UNDECIDED: At this moment do
you lean more towards McCain or more towards Obama?] [NAMES WERE ROTATED]
PARTY ID GENDER AGE
(with leaners)
Registered
Voters
Likely
Voters Dem Ind Rep Male Female
18 to
34
35 to
54
55+
McCain 38% 41% 9% 37% 91% 46% 31% 30% 40% 42%
Obama 49% 49% 82% 38% 6% 45% 52% 54% 46% 47%
Other 2% 0% 1% 4% 1% 1% 2% 1% 3% 1%
(VOL) Won’t vote 1% 0% 0% 1% 0% 1% 1% 0% 1% 1%
(VOL) Undecided 11% 10% 8% 19% 2% 7% 15% 14% 11% 9%
Unwtd N 689 589 263 235 171 318 371 126 251 301
TREND: September 2008 July 2008
Registered
Voters
Likely
Voters
Registered
Voters
Likely
Voters
McCain 38% 41% 34% 36%
Obama 49% 49% 48% 50%
Other 2% 0% 3% 2%
(VOL) Won’t vote 1% 0% 0% 0%
(VOL) Undecided 11% 10% 14% 12%
Unwtd N 689 589 874 698
Composite Table: Strength of Vote Choice
2 If the election for President was held today, would you vote for [ROTATE] John McCain the Republican,
Barack Obama the Democrat, or some other candidate?
3. At this moment do you lean more towards McCain or more towards Obama?
4. Are you very sure about voting for [Name]; or might you change your mind before Election Day?
TREND: September 2008 July 2008
Registered
Voters
Likely
Voters
Registered
Voters
Likely
Voters
Sure McCain 30% 33% 24% 28%
Weak McCain 3% 3% 4% 4%
Lean McCain 5% 5% 6% 5%
Undecided- Other 13% 10% 17% 13%
Lean Obama 6% 5% 6% 5%
Weak Obama 7% 6% 7% 7%
Sure Obama 36% 38% 36% 38%
Unwtd N 689 589 874 698

Poll Demographics

About this Poll
The Monmouth University/Gannett New Jersey Poll was conducted by telephone with
689 New Jersey registered voters September 11-14, 2008. This sample has a margin of error of
+ 3.7 percent. This report also includes analysis on a smaller group of 589 “likely voters” with a
+ 4.0 percent margin of error. The poll was conducted by the Monmouth University Polling
Institute and originally published by the Gannett New Jersey newspaper group (Asbury Park
Press, Courier-Post, Courier News, Daily Journal, Daily Record, and Home News Tribune).

View All New Jersey Polls - View This Poll for Clinton vs. McCain


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