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Source: Monmouth University (url)
Obama Leads NJ by 8% By: Inks.LWC (R-MI) - 2008-09-16 @ 12:38:00 Question: 2. If the election for President was held today, would you vote for John McCain the Republican, Barack Obama the Democrat, or some other candidate? [IF UNDECIDED: At this moment do you lean more towards McCain or more towards Obama?] [NAMES WERE ROTATED] PARTY ID GENDER AGE (with leaners) Registered Voters Likely Voters Dem Ind Rep Male Female 18 to 34 35 to 54 55+ McCain 38% 41% 9% 37% 91% 46% 31% 30% 40% 42% Obama 49% 49% 82% 38% 6% 45% 52% 54% 46% 47% Other 2% 0% 1% 4% 1% 1% 2% 1% 3% 1% (VOL) Won’t vote 1% 0% 0% 1% 0% 1% 1% 0% 1% 1% (VOL) Undecided 11% 10% 8% 19% 2% 7% 15% 14% 11% 9% Unwtd N 689 589 263 235 171 318 371 126 251 301 TREND: September 2008 July 2008 Registered Voters Likely Voters Registered Voters Likely Voters McCain 38% 41% 34% 36% Obama 49% 49% 48% 50% Other 2% 0% 3% 2% (VOL) Won’t vote 1% 0% 0% 0% (VOL) Undecided 11% 10% 14% 12% Unwtd N 689 589 874 698 Composite Table: Strength of Vote Choice 2 If the election for President was held today, would you vote for [ROTATE] John McCain the Republican, Barack Obama the Democrat, or some other candidate? 3. At this moment do you lean more towards McCain or more towards Obama? 4. Are you very sure about voting for [Name]; or might you change your mind before Election Day? TREND: September 2008 July 2008 Registered Voters Likely Voters Registered Voters Likely Voters Sure McCain 30% 33% 24% 28% Weak McCain 3% 3% 4% 4% Lean McCain 5% 5% 6% 5% Undecided- Other 13% 10% 17% 13% Lean Obama 6% 5% 6% 5% Weak Obama 7% 6% 7% 7% Sure Obama 36% 38% 36% 38% Unwtd N 689 589 874 698 Poll Demographics About this Poll The Monmouth University/Gannett New Jersey Poll was conducted by telephone with 689 New Jersey registered voters September 11-14, 2008. This sample has a margin of error of + 3.7 percent. This report also includes analysis on a smaller group of 589 “likely voters” with a + 4.0 percent margin of error. The poll was conducted by the Monmouth University Polling Institute and originally published by the Gannett New Jersey newspaper group (Asbury Park Press, Courier-Post, Courier News, Daily Journal, Daily Record, and Home News Tribune). View All New Jersey Polls - View This Poll for Clinton vs. McCain Login to Post Comments Forum Thread for this Poll |
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