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Source: Rasmussen (url)

CandidatePolitical PartyPollGraphPoll Details
DObamaDemocratic54%piePoll Date: 2008-10-14
RMcCainRepublican41%Number Polled: 500
-Other-0%Margin of Error: 4%
-Undecided-5%Voter Type: Likely

Obama +13

 By: tmthforu94 (D-MO) - 2008-10-16 @ 17:42:04

Barack Obama now has a 13-point lead over John McCain in Oregon, according to the latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey in the state.

Obama leads his Republican opponent 54% to 41%. It’s the second biggest lead the Democrat has had in Oregon, where he’s been out front all year. A week ago he led McCain by 11 points, 54% to 43%.

Nationally, Obama has opened a steady lead in both the Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll and the Electoral College projections.

Oregon was carried by the Democratic candidate in the last five presidential elections. Rasmussen Markets data gives the Democrats a 93.4% chance of carrying the state once again this fall. Oregon is rated “Likely Democratic” in the Rasmussen Reports Balance of Power Calculator. NOTE: Factors other than the latest Rasmussen Reports poll impact the Balance of Power ratings. The current status is indicated on the table in the upper right hand corner of this article.

Incumbent Republican Gordon Smith is in a deadheat with Democratic challenger Jeff Merkley in the race for the U.S. Senate in Oregon.

Obama has a 23-point lead among unaffiliated voters in the state.

Men give the edge to the Democrat by 12 points, women by 14 (see crosstabs).

Fifty-seven percent (57%) have a favorable opinion of Obama, while 42% regard him unfavorably. McCain is viewed favorably by 50%, unfavorably by 49%.

New polling on the presidential race was released this week from the closely-contested states of Virginia, North Carolina, Ohio, Florida and Missouri. See an overview of the state polls and the latest Electoral College projections. A total of 270 Electoral Votes are needed to win the White House (see 50-State Summary).

Recent statewide presidential polls also have been released for Arizona, California, Colorado, Hawaii, Kentucky, Kansas, Maine, Maryland, Michigan, Minnesota, Mississippi, Montana, Nebraska, Nevada, New Hampshire, New Mexico, Pennsylvania, Tennessee, Texas and Washington. Demographic crosstabs for all state polling are available for Premium Members. Learn More.

Forty percent (40%) of Oregon voters say the economy is the most important issue in this year’s election, and 14% cite fiscal issues as most important. Twenty percent (20%) rank national security as number one.

Over half (53%) disagree with the $700 billion taxpayer-backed bailout plan recently approved by Congress. Just 23% agree with it. But 31% think it will help the economy, 25% say it will hurt, and 23% say it will have no impact.

A plurality (47%) say lower taxes are better to spur economic growth, but 55% say Obama’s plan to raise taxes on those earning more than $250,000 a year will be good for the economy.

Forty-one percent (41%) say raising capital gains taxes will be bad for the economy, while 29% say it’s a good move. Seventeen percent (17%) say it will have no impact.

Just over one out of three (34%) say this year’s presidential campaign has been more negative than previous ones. Fourteen percent (14%) say it’s been more positive, and 52% rate it about the same as in previous years.

Fifty-one percent (51%) say the tone of Obama’s campaign has been generally positive, while 50% rate McCain’s campaign as generally negative. Half of Oregon voters (50%) also believe it is possible for a candidate to win an election without criticizing his or her opponent.

Twenty-five percent (25%) of Oregon voters give President Bush earns good or excellent marks for job performance, while 56% say he is doing a poor job.

State polling data has been released this week from Delaware, Florida, Illinois, Kansas, Massachusetts, Missouri, New Mexico, North Carolina, Ohio, and Virginia.

See survey questions and toplines. Crosstabs are available for Premium Members only.

View All Oregon Polls - View This Poll for Clinton vs. McCain


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