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Source: Muhlenberg College (url)

CandidatePolitical PartyPollGraphPoll Details
DObamaDemocratic52%piePoll Date: 2008-10-20
RMcCainRepublican42%Number Polled: 600
-Other-2%Margin of Error: 4%
-Undecided-5%Voter Type: Likely

Obama +10

 By: tmthforu94 (D-MO) - 2008-10-21 @ 09:32:20

RELEASE #25 – October 21, 2008

FIELDING PERIOD – October 16-20, 2008

SAMPLE – 600 Likely Voters in Pennsylvania

MARGIN OF ERROR - +/- 4.0% at 95% Level of Confidence

TOTALS MAY NOT EQUAL 100% DUE TO ROUNDING



TRACKING TREND




9/26
9/27
9/28
9/29
9/30
10/1
10/2
10/3
10/4
10/5
10/6
10/7
10/8

Obama
47%
47%
48%
49%
49%
48%
50%
50%
51%
50%
49%
48%
50%

McCain
43%
42%
42%
42%
41%
41%
41%
40%
39%
40%
38%
38%
38%

Other
2%
2%
2%
2%
3%
3%
2%
2%
2%
3%
3%
3%
3%

Undec.
8%
9%
8%
7%
7%
8%
7%
8%
8%
7%
9%
10%
9%







10/9
10/10
10/11
10/12
10/13
10/14
10/15
10/16
10/17
10/18
10/19
10/20

Obama
51%
50%
52%
51%
51%
51%
52%
53%
53%
52%
52%
53%

McCain
38%
39%
40%
39%
38%
38%
38%
37%
39%
39%
40%
41%

Other
3%
3%
2%
3%
4%
4%
3%
3%
2%
3%
3%
2%

Undec.
8%
8%
6%
6%
7%
7%
7%
7%
7%
7%
6%
5%







10/21

Obama
52%

McCain
42%

Other
2%

Undec.
5%






RESULTS FOR FIELDING PERIOD OF OCTOBER 16-20, 2008



Q1. Which political party are you currently registered with?



DEMOCRAT................. 52%

REPUBLICAN............... 41%

INDEPENDENT.............. 6%

OTHER PARTY............... 1%







Q2. Now, I would like to ask your overall impression of a few

political figures. For each name I read please tell me if your

impression of him is favorable or unfavorable. First, Barack Obama



FAVORABLE........................52%

UNFAVORABLE..................34 %

NEUTRAL/NOT SURE….....14%

HAVEN'T HEARD OF HIM. 0%



Q3. Next, John McCain



FAVORABLE........................42%

UNFAVORABLE..................40%

NEUTRAL/NOT SURE.........17%

HAVEN'T HEARD OF HIM. 0%



Q4.. Sarah Palin



FAVORABLE........................ 38 %

UNFAVORABLE................... 44%

NEUTRAL/NOT SURE......... 16%

HAVEN'T HEARD OF HER... 0%



Q5. and Joe Biden



FAVORABLE....................... 52%

UNFAVORABLE.................. 27%

NEUTRAL/NOT SURE......... 20%

HAVEN'T HEARD OF HIM...<1%



Q6. Now, if the 2008 presidential election was being held today

and the race was between Barack Obama and

John McCain, who would you vote for? ( INCLUDING LEANERS)



OBAMA.............................52%

MCCAIN...........................42%

NEITHER/OTHER............ 2%

NOT SURE......................... 5%





Q7. Which of the following best describes the certainty of your vote for Barack Obama. Would you say you are definitely voting for Obama, very likely to vote for Obama or just leaning towards Obama?



DEFINITELY VOTING FOR……… 85%

VERY LIKELY TO VOTE FOR…….. 10%

JUST LEANING TOWARDS……….... 5%

NOT SURE…………………………… 0%



Q8. Which of the following best describes the certainty of your vote for John McCain. Would you say you are definitely voting for McCain, very likely to vote for McCain or just leaning towards McCain?



DEFINITELY VOTING FOR…………84%

VERY LIKELY TO VOTE FOR…….. 9%

JUST LEANING TOWARDS……….. 7%

NOT SURE <1%



Q9. What issue do you consider to be the most important issue in

deciding your vote for President of the United States?



THE ECONOMY/JOBS.................................... 51%

GAS PRICES.....................................................< 1%

REFORMING/CHANGING GOVERNENT ... 5%

THE WAR IN IRAQ………………………… 7%

IMMIGRATION............................................... <1%

TAXES ........................................................... 5%

TERRORISM.................................................... 2%

HEALTH CARE……………………………… 8%

ABORTION....................................................... 6%

ENERGY………………………………………. 1%

OTHER……………………………………… 12%

NOT SURE...................................................... 2%



Q10. If the elections for Congress were being held today,

which party's candidate would you vote for in your

Congressional district: the Democratic Party's candidate

or the Republican Party's candidate?



DEMOCRAT............... . 45%

REPUBLICAN............. 37%

NEITHER/OTHER......... 1%

NOT SURE.................... 16%





PENNSYLVANIA ATTORNEY GENERAL RACE (INCLUDING LEANERS)





Q11. John Morganelli……….30%

Tom Corbett……………..39%

Marakay Rogers……….. 2%

NOT SURE………………….. 29%











Q12. Next I would like to ask some questions about the presidential campaigns. In general would you say John McCain's presidential campaign has been more positive or more negative?



MORE POSITIVE………………………………………. 22%

MORE NEGATIVE…………………………………….. 55%

EQUAL NEGATIVE AND POSITIVE (VOL)………… 21%

NOT SURE (VOL)……………………………………… 4%



Q13. In general would you say Barack Obama's presidential campaign has been more positive or more negative?



MORE POSITIVE………………………………………. 48%

MORE NEGATIVE…………………………………….. 26%

EQUAL NEGATIVE AND POSITIVE (VOL)………… 21%

NOT SURE (VOL)……………………………………… 4%



Q14. Regardless of who you may support, who do you think has a better personality and temperament to be president, Obama or McCain?



OBAMA…………………………………………………… 51%

McCAIN…………………………………………………… 31%

BOTH EQUAL(VOL) ……………………………………..12%

NOT SURE (VOL)…………………………………………. 5%



Q15. Regardless of who you may support, who do you think would work better with both Democrats and Republicans in Congress, Obama or McCain?



OBAMA…………………………………………………… 41%

McCAIN…………………………………………………… 36%

BOTH EQUAL(VOL) ……………………………………..14%

NOT SURE (VOL)…………………………………………. 8%

View All Pennsylvania Polls - View This Poll for Clinton vs. McCain


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