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Source: Princeton Reseach Associates (url)
Obama Takes Lead in IA, but Clinton Within MoE By: Inks.LWC (R-MI) - 2007-09-30 @ 00:31:33 Question: 5a. If you were attending a Democratic caucus TODAY, which ONE of the following eight presidential candidates are you most likely to support? BASED ON DEMOCRATIC VOTERS Democratic Candidate Preference Total Likely Democratic Caucus-Goer 31 Hillary Clinton/Lean Clinton 24 25 Barack Obama/Lean Obama 28 21 John Edwards/Lean Edwards 22 6 Bill Richardson/Lean Richardson 10 3 Joe Biden/Lean Biden 5 1 Dennis Kucinich/Lean Kucinich 1 1 Chris Dodd/Lean Dodd 1 0 Mike Gravel/Lean Gravel 0 * Other candidate/Lean other candidate * 12 Total Undecided 9 5b. Do you support the following STRONGLY or only moderately? BASED ON DEMOCRATIC VOTERS Strength of Support Clinton Obama Edwards Strong 55 41 37 Not Strong/Lean 45 59 63 6. If you were attending a Democratic caucus TODAY, which ONE of the following eight presidential candidates are you most likely to support? And who would be your SECOND CHOICE for the Democratic presidential nomination? (Table will add to more than 100% due to multiple responses.) BASED ON DEMOCRATIC VOTERS First/Second Democratic Choice (NET) Total Likely Democratic Caucus-Goer 49 Total Hillary Clinton 44 48 Total Barack Obama 52 41 Total John Edwards 41 15 Total Bill Richardson 19 7 Total Joe Biden 11 2 Total Dennis Kucinich 2 1 Total Chris Dodd 2 * Total Mike Gravel 0 1 Total other candidate 1 12 Total undecided 9 7. What are the chances that you will attend a DEMOCRATIC Party presidential caucus where you live next January? Will you definitely attend, probably attend, probably NOT attend, or definitely not attend a Democratic caucus? BASED ON DEMOCRATIC VOTERS 20 Definitely attend 22 Probably attend 31 Probably NOT attend 25 Definitely not attend 2 Don't know About this Poll The NEWSWEEK Poll was conducted by Princeton Survey Research Associates International on Sept. 26-27. Telephone interviews were conducted with 1,215 Iowa registered voters; the overall margin of error is plus or minus 3 percentage points. The margin of error for questions asked only of Democratic voters is plus or minus 5 percentage points and "likely" Democratic voters is plus or minus 7; for Republican voters it is 6 percentage points and plus or minus 9 points for "likely" GOP voters. For respondents who said the issue of abortion is important, the margin of error is plus or minus 4 points; for respondents who said it was "not important" it's 5 points. Login to Post Comments Forum Thread for this Poll |
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