Question:
If the 2008 Democratic presidential caucus were being held today between (names rotated) Joe Biden, Hillary Clinton, Christopher Dodd, John Edwards, Mike Gravel, Dennis Kucinich, Barack Obama, and Bill Richardson, for whom would you vote?

Would you say that you definitely plan to participate in the 2008 Democratic presidential caucus, that you might participate in the 2008 Democratic presidential caucus, or that you will probably not participate in the 2008 Democratic presidential caucus?

Poll Demographics
Iowa
Likely Democratic Caucus Goers Nov 10-14

Biden 5%
Clinton 27%
Dodd 3%
Edwards 20%
Gravel -
Kucinich 2%
Obama 21%
Richardson 12%
Undecided 10%

44% of likely caucus participants are undecided (10%) or say that they could switch candidates between now and January 3 (34%).
92% of those saying they support Clinton say their support is definite.
50% of those saying they support Edwards say their support is definite.
41% of those saying they support Obama say their support is definite.
67% of those saying they support Richardson say their support is definite.
Among men, Clinton is at 23%, Edwards 20%, and Obama 20%.
Among women, Clinton is at 31%, Obama 21%, and Edwards 20%.


Iowa
Likely Democratic Caucus Goers Dec 06 Jan 07 Feb 07 Mar 07 Apr 07 May 07 Jun 07 Jul 07 Aug 07 Sep 07 Oct 07

Biden 2% 2% 2% 2% 6% 3% 2% 3% 1% 3% 5%
Clark 1% 2% 1% 2% - 1% 1% - ni ni ni
Clinton 31% 35% 31% 34% 23% 31% 32% 30% 28% 30% 32%
Dodd 2% 1% 1% 1% 2% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 2%
Edwards 20% 18% 27% 33% 27% 25% 29% 21% 20% 19% 15%
Gravel 1% - - - - 1% 1% - - - -
Kerry 2% ni ni ni ni ni ni ni ni ni ni
Kucinich 5% 2% 1% 1% 2% 4% 1% 2% 3% 1% 1%
Obama 10% 14% 23% 16% 19% 11% 13% 15% 23% 24% 22%
Richardson 1% 1% 1% 1% 5% 8% 5% 13% 13% 10% 7%
Vilsack 17% 12% ni ni ni ni ni ni ni ni ni
Undecided 8% 13% 14% 10% 16% 14% 14% 15% 11% 13% 16%



Preference by party:



Iowa
Likely Democratic Caucus Goers Democrats (89%) No party (11%)

Biden 5% 5%
Clinton 29% 12%
Dodd 3% -
Edwards 18% 38%
Gravel - -
Kucinich 2% -
Obama 20% 25%
Richardson 13% 7%
Undecided 10% 13%

About this Poll
Sample Size: 600 completed telephone interviews among a random sample of likely Democratic caucus goers living in Iowa (533 Democrats and 67 no party (independent) voters).

Sample Dates: November 10-14, 2007

Margin of Error: ± 4 percentage points, 95% of the time, on questions where opinion is evenly split.

Incidence of Likely Democratic Caucus Participation: 10.7% of Democratic and no party voters.