PredictionsMock2008 Presidential Dem Primary - IA ResultsPolls
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Source: ARG (url)

CandidatePolitical PartyPollGraphPoll Details
ClintonDemocratic31%pie
Poll Date: 2007-12-28
Number Polled: 600
Margin of Error: 4%
Voter Type: Likely
EdwardsDemocratic24%
ObamaDemocratic24%
BidenDemocratic5%
RichardsonDemocratic5%
OtherDemocratic4%
-UndecidedDemocratic7%

Clinton's lead down slightly

 By: Mark Warner 08 (I-AUT) - 2007-12-29 @ 12:16:26

Question: If the 2008 Democratic presidential caucus were being held today between (names rotated) Joe Biden, Hillary Clinton, Christopher Dodd, John Edwards, Mike Gravel, Dennis Kucinich, Barack Obama, and Bill Richardson, for whom would you vote?

About this Poll

Survey Sponsor: American Research Group, Inc.

The American Research Group has been conducting surveys of voters since 1985.

Sample Size: 600 completed telephone interviews among a random sample of likely Democratic caucus goers living in Iowa (506 Democrats and 94 no party (independent) voters).

Sample Dates: December 26-28, 2007

Margin of Error: ± 4 percentage points, 95% of the time, on questions where opinion is evenly split.

Incidence of Likely Democratic Caucus Participation: 10.1% of Democratic and no party voters.

View All Iowa Polls

Poll Technical Comments

 By: superpredictor (D-CO) - 2007-12-29 @ 19:08:13

ARG is consistently an outlier in favor of Hillary. Every other pollster shows this a much closer race. We can't keep counting all ARG polls in the average. Iowa is an Obama lean.preciction Map

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