PredictionsMock2008 Presidential Dem Primary - NY ResultsPolls
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Source: Marist College (url)

CandidatePolitical PartyPollGraphPoll Details
ClintonDemocratic54%pie
Poll Date: 2008-01-31
Number Polled: 660
Margin of Error: 4%
Voter Type: Likely
ObamaDemocratic38%
OtherDemocratic0%
-UndecidedDemocratic8%

Clinton Maintains 16% Lead in NY

 By: Inks.LWC (R-MI) - 2008-02-03 @ 04:02:23

URL: http://www.realclearpolitics.com/RCP_PDF/Marist_NY080202.pdf

Question:
Question Wording: If the New York Democratic Presidential Primary were held today, whom would you support if the candidates are:
February 2008
January 2008
Democrats
Likely w/ Leaners
Likely Democrats
Democrats w/ Leaners
All
Democrats
Likely w/ Leaners
Likely Democrats
Hillary Clinton
54%
52%
54%
50%
48%
47%
Barack Obama
38%
37%
36%
35%
32%
31%
Other
<1%
<1%
<1%
<1%
13%
12%
Undecided
8%
11%
10%
15%
7%
10%
Likely Democratic Primary Voters w/ Leaners
February 2008
Upstate
NYC
Suburbs
Hillary Clinton
54%
53%
52%
61%
Barack Obama
38%
37%
42%
28%
Other
<1%
1%
<1%
1%
Undecided
8%
9%
6%
10%
Poll Demographics

About this Poll
This survey of 1,502 New York State registered voters was conducted January 30th and January 31st, 2008. Registered voters were interviewed by telephone in proportion to the voter registration in each county in New York State and adjusted for turnout in statewide elections. The margin of error is ±3%. There are 660 registered Democrats including 409 Democrats likely to vote in the February 5th primary. The results for these sub-samples are statistically significant at ±4% and ±5%, respectively. There are 390 registered Republicans including 181 likely Republican primary voters. The results for these sub-samples are statistically significant at ±5% and ±7.5%, respectively. The error margin increases for cross-tabulations.

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