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Obama Only 2% Behind Clinton as She Falls, With Edwards Gaining and Nearly 50% Undecided By: Inks.LWC (R-MI) - 2007-11-28 @ 18:19:18 URL: http://www.realclearpolitics.com/docs/newNovember_Palmetto_Poll-3.html Question: Hillary Clinton 26 percent 19 percent -7 percent Barack Obama 16 percent 17 percent +1 percent John Edwards 10 percent 12 percent +2 percent Joe Biden 3 percent 2 percent -1 percent Bill Richardson 2 percent 1 percent -1 percent Chris Dodd -- -- -- Dennis Kucinich -- -- -- Mike Gravel -- -- -- Undecided 35 percent 49 percent +14 percent Poll Demographics About this Poll With less than two months to go before the crucial South Carolina presidential primary, the Clemson University Palmetto Poll finds that only about one-third of the likely voters in the Democratic and Republican primaries have a good idea about who they will vote for in the election next year. Every candidate for president, in both political parties, has spent time in South Carolina, and several are now running television ads in anticipation of the January vote. The Clemson University Palmetto Poll was conducted between November 14th and November 27th, with four days off for the Thanksgiving holidays. Respondents were chosen for either party sample if they voted in at least one of the past four Democratic or Republican primaries. All were asked if they were going to vote in January of 2008. These primary voters are different from general election voters in that they are better informed, are somewhat older and better educated and generally more interested in politics. Over one-half of voters in the Republican sample were aged 55 years or older, and the voting cohort for the GOP primary is 97 percent racially white. The Democratic sample is 60 percent female, and evenly split racially, with black voters being slightly more than half of expected primary voters. Currently the Republican primary is set for Saturday, January 19th and the Democratic primary is set one week later, on Saturday, January 26th. Four hundred fifty respondents were interviewed in each party sample for a total of 900 respondents. The poll has an error of plus or minus 4.62 percent in each party subgroup. The first question asked respondents how closely they were following the present election. The placement of the South Carolina primaries immediately after the Christmas holidays means that candidate commercials will be running in competition with business advertising. How closely are South Carolina voters following the campaign in November? Login to Post Comments Forum Thread for this Poll |
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