Question:
1a. If you were attending a Republican caucus TODAY, which ONE of the following nine presidential candidates are you most likely to support?

BASED ON REPUBLICAN VOTERS

Republican Candidate Preference
Total Likely Republican Caucus-Goer
25 Mitt Romney/Lean Romney 24
16 Fred Thompson/Lean Thompson 16
15 Rudy Giuliani/Lean Giuliani 13
7 John McCain/Lean McCain 9
6 Mike Huckabee/Lean Huckabee 12
3 Tom Tancredo/Lean Tancredo 3
3 Sam Brownback/Lean Brownback 2
2 Ron Paul/Lean Paul 5
1 Duncan Hunter/Lean Hunter 1
1 Other candidate/Lean other candidate *
21 Total Undecided 15

1b. Do you support the following STRONGLY or only moderately?

BASED ON REPUBLICAN VOTERS

Strength of Support
Romney Thompson Giuliani
Strong 26 39 22
Not Strong/Lean 74 61 78


2. If you were attending a Republican caucus TODAY, which ONE of the following nine presidential candidates are you most likely to support? And who would be your SECOND CHOICE for the Republican presidential nomination? (Table will add to more than 100% due to multiple responses.)

BASED ON REPUBLICAN VOTERS

First/Second Republican Choice (NET)
Total Likely Republican
Caucus-Goer
40 Total Mitt Romney 45
32 Total Rudy Giuliani 34
28 Total Fred Thompson 26
16 Total John McCain 13
10 Total Mike Huckabee 14
6 Total Ron Paul 7
6 Total Tom Tancredo 6
4 Total Sam Brownback 4
2 Total Duncan Hunter 2
3 Total other candidate 3
21 Total undecided 15

3. What are the chances that you will attend a REPUBLICAN Party presidential caucus where you live next January? Will you definitely attend, probably attend, probably NOT attend, or definitely not attend a Republican caucus?

BASED ON REPUBLICAN VOTERS

12 Definitely attend
25 Probably attend
36 Probably NOT attend
26 Definitely not attend
1 Don't know

About this Poll
The NEWSWEEK Poll was conducted by Princeton Survey Research Associates International on Sept. 26-27. Telephone interviews were conducted with 1,215 Iowa registered voters; the overall margin of error is plus or minus 3 percentage points. The margin of error for questions asked only of Democratic voters is plus or minus 5 percentage points and "likely" Democratic voters is plus or minus 7; for Republican voters it is 6 percentage points and plus or minus 9 points for "likely" GOP voters. For respondents who said the issue of abortion is important, the margin of error is plus or minus 4 points; for respondents who said it was "not important" it's 5 points.