Question:
REPUBLICAN SECTION ONLY (500 REPUBLICAN CAUCUS VOTERS)
QUESTION: If the Republican Caucus for President were held today, which of the following candidates would you vote for? (ROTATED):
ALL MEN WOMEN
Mike Huckabee 31% 33% 29%
Mitt Romney 22% 19% 25%
Fred Thompson 9% 11% 7%
Rudy Giuliani 9% 9% 9%
John McCain 7% 9% 5%
Ron Paul 7% 8% 6%
Tom Tancredo 2% 2% 2%
Duncan Hunter 1% 1% 1%
Undecided (NOT READ) 12% 8% 16%
(84%) (16%)

ALL REP IND
Mike Huckabee 31% 34% 16%
Mitt Romney 22% 20% 32%
Fred Thompson 9% 9% 9%
Rudy Giuliani 9% 9% 9%
John McCain 7% 6% 13%
Ron Paul 7% 7% 7%
Tom Tancredo 2% 2% 2%
Duncan Hunter 1% 1% 1%
Undecided (NOT READ) 12% 12% 11%


HOW LIKELY TO CHANGE VOTE:
QUESTION: How likely are you to change your mind and vote for another candidate; very likely, likely, not very likely, or not at all likely?
VERY LIKELY NOT VERY NOT AT ALL
ALL 4% 30% 39% 27%
HUCKABEE 3% 29% 40% 28%
ROMNEY 4% 31% 38% 27%
THOMPSON 3% 28% 40% 29%
GIULIANI 5% 31% 38% 26%
MCCAIN 5% 31% 37% 27%


SECOND CHOICE:
QUESTION: If the Republican Caucus for President were held today, which of the following candidates would be your second choice to vote for? (ROTATED):
ALL
Mike Huckabee 28%
Mitt Romney 21%
Fred Thompson 11%
John McCain 9%
Rudy Giuliani 8%
Ron Paul 5%
Tom Tancredo 3%
Duncan Hunter 1%
Undecided (NOT READ) 14%
Poll Demographics

About this Poll
The Research 2000 Iowa Poll was conducted from December 10 through December 13, 2007. A total of 600 likely voters who vote regularly in state elections were interviewed statewide by telephone.
Those interviewed were selected by the random variation of the last four digits of telephone numbers. A cross-section of exchanges was utilized in order to ensure an accurate reflection of the state. Quotas were assigned to reflect the voter registration of distribution by county.
The margin for error, according to standards customarily used by statisticians, is no more than plus or minus 4% percentage points. This means that there is a 95 percent probability that the “true” figure would fall within that range if the entire population were sampled. The margin for error is higher for any subgroup, such as for gender or party affiliation.
NOTE: There was an over sample conducted among both Democratic and Republican caucus voters totaling 500 respondents each. The margin for error among each sample is 4.5%.