Question:
Question Wording: If the New Hampshire Republican Presidential Primary were held today, whom would you support if the candidates are:



Likely Republican
Primary Voters December 2007
November 2007
October 2007

Likely Voters
Likely w/ Leaners
Likely Voters
Likely w/ Leaners
Likely Voters
Likely w/ Leaners

Mitt Romney
29%
31%
33%
34%
26%
27%

Rudy Giuliani
17%
18%
22%
23%
20%
21%

John McCain
17%
18%
13%
14%
17%
17%

Mike Huckabee
11%
11%
7%
7%
7%
8%

Ron Paul
6%
6%
7%
7%
2%
2%

Fred Thompson
4%
4%
5%
5%
10%
10%

Duncan Hunter
2%
2%
<1%
<1%
2%
2%

Tom Tancredo
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%

Undecided
13%
9%
12%
9%
15%
12%




· The Candidates’ Supporters: Mitt Romney is the favorite among most groups. He leads his nearest rivals, Rudy Giuliani and John McCain, by 14 percentage points among likely Republican voters and 10 percentage points among likely Republican leaning independent voters. Among men likely to vote in the Republican primary, Romney is ahead with 30% compared with Rudy Giuliani, John McCain, and Mike Huckabee who are tied with 13%. Giuliani runs more competitively among younger voters. Although Romney receives the support of 26% of voters under forty-five years old who are likely to vote in the Republican primary, Giuliani, in sole possession of second place among these voters, receives 21%. Among voters who are 45 or older, Romney is backed by 31% and outpaces his nearest rival among these voters, John McCain, by 12 percentage points.
Poll Demographics

About this Poll
This survey was conducted from November 28th through December 2nd, 2007. 1,343 registered voters and New Hampshire residents who are likely to register in time to vote in the New Hampshire Presidential Primary were interviewed. The sample was selected in proportion to the voter registration in each county in New Hampshire and adjusted for turnout in comparable elections. All interviews were conducted by telephone. There are 604 potential Democratic presidential primary voters including 363 Democrats and 241 Democratic leaning independents. There are 505 potential Republican presidential primary voters including 354 Republicans and 151 Republican leaning independents. The results are statistically significant at ±4% for potential Democratic presidential primary voters and ±4.5% for potential Republican presidential primary voters. There are 454 likely Democratic presidential primary voters and 343 likely Republican presidential primary voters. The results for these sub-samples are statistically significant at ±5% and ±5.5%, respectively. The error margin increases for cross-tabulations.